I've linked to this before, I can find it if you need me to.,
....
2016 8.5 million super tuesday for republicans.
2016 5.9 million super tuesday for democrats.
Yup. So?
1. The General election is a 130 million voter ecosystem, not a 9 million voter ecosystem.
2. Turnout in GOP elections is
also driven high by people coming out to vote against Trump.
Trump has performed at around or under his polls. He hasn't been "defying the polls". He's been defying the pundits who thought eventually his base would wake up.
Didn't work for the Republicans with Romney.
Obama wasn't perceived as an actual threat the way that Trump is, and Obama had higher favorable ratings. Hard conservatives tend to project their own approach across the general GOP electorate, but the data doesn't follow.
show me his numbers going down.
Check out Super Tuesday. The debate immediately before, Cruz and Rubio tag-teamed Trump, and finally started running anti-Trump advertising (up until then, everyone had generally left him alone). Trump was projected to win 10 states. He won 7, and came within 3 percentage points of only winning 4 (Kasich hooked him up by continuing with the fratricide, mostly targeting Rubio in places like Virginia). In Oklahoma, for example, polls had Trump up by more than 11. Cruz won by 6. In Virginia, Trump's 15 point lead plunged to 2.8. In Texas, Trump dropped from being within striking distance to a 17 point loss. His 15 point lead in Vermont shrank to 2.3%. In Louisiana, Trump enjoyed a
26 point lead in the early voting... which shrank to 3 percent by election day, as he lost points after the debate and he started receiving incoming fire.
The data shows that Trump loses support when competently attacked.
In contrast. The last debate, everyone was really super nice to each other. Trump won Florida in a blowout.
Donald Trump is the
weakest frontrunner in Republican history. He is the
most widely loathed candidate that Gallup has polled, ever, which is why
in the last month of polling, Hillary is beating him by an average of 8 points, and that lead is accelerating.
Do you really believe clinton is not as hated as trump?
That's what the data says. Though both are underwater in terms of favorability, Donald Trump is underwater by
33 percentage points. Hillary is underwater by about 10. So Trump is hated (net) about three times as much as Hillary is. He is the best GOTV operation that the Democrats could possibly have gotten this cycle.
And. Again. All of Hillary's negatives are pretty much baked into her cake thus far. The media did a crap job of vetting Trump for the vast majority of this race, and his opposition candidates did almost no opposition research until very recently, as they assumed he would eventually flame out. If you think that the MSM and Democrats (but I repeat myself) aren't waiting for July to begin absolutely unloading a can of worms after a can of worms after a can of **** after a can of worms, your fooling yourself.
No they are not. just look at his margins in the highest turn out states.
What, you mean like Iowa, where turnout blew past all past GOP records?
Two Thirds of those who didn't vote for Trump in the GOP Primaries on March 15th say they will seriously consider a third party candidate if Trump gets the nomination.
Yes, we are.
the goals however of trump, vs the msm are completely different
Which is a non-answer to the data, which demonstrates that in fact you are incorrect - that overwhelming media focus and attention has been an instrumental part in Trump's rise.
so we get obama's anti 2nd scotus in, and hillary in.... that's a recipe for disaster.... are you sure that's what you want to do?
No it's not what I want. I wanted Walker. Then I wanted Perry. Then I wanted Rubio. I loathe Hillary Clinton as a person, and will likely be angry every day of her Presidency. But at that point, it is the less-awful option, because it is the one the conservative movement and the GOP can recover from. Which isn't to say that they
will. The data suggests Trump locks Hispanics into the Democrat party about as solidly as African-Americans already are, ensuring that they win national-level elections for a generation or more.
