Dems eyeing smaller magic number for House majority

[PLizzy]

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings

The magic number of seats Democrats need to hit to win back the House majority is 23. But in reality, it’s almost certainly a much smaller number.

Several GOP-held seats are seemingly already in the bag, meaning Democrats likely need to take a smaller number of competitive seats — perhaps as few as 15 — to return to the majority for the first time since 2010.

It’s all making Republicans nervous — even before Tuesday’s special election in Ohio, where a Republican candidate appears to have just scraped by in a district that has been in GOP hands since 1983 and that President Trump won two years ago by 11 points.

“I don’t think there is necessarily a blue wave, but what concerns me is suburban districts in New Jersey, Philadelphia, New York, Illinois and California — those are not good for us,” said one House Republican from a blue state.
“Educated women, young people independents — they are energized. I clearly think [Democrats] have enough to win over 24 seats.”

Democrats, for their part, are taking nothing for granted, saying it’s well too soon to divert resources from any districts.

What they're talking about is the fact that Cook Political rates about 10 races (NH-02, PA-05, PA-06, AZ-02, CA-49, FL-27, NJ-11, PA-07, PA-17, and VA-10) as already heavily favored to switch control from Republicans to Democrats, which basically means the Democrats need to focus on winning 15 of the current toss-ups to win back control of the House.

Wave or no wave it's very doable.

 

[bearpoker]

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings


What they're talking about is the fact that Cook Political rates about 10 races (NH-02, PA-05, PA-06, AZ-02, CA-49, FL-27, NJ-11, PA-07, PA-17, and VA-10) as already heavily favored to switch control from Republicans to Democrats, which basically means the Democrats need to focus on winning 15 of the current toss-ups to win back control of the House.

Wave or no wave it's very doable.

Yes indeed. It doesn't do to get cocky, though. It's not that hard to pull defeat from the jaws of victory. Just ask Hilary.

 

[Floridafan]

Yes indeed. It doesn't do to get cocky, though. It's not that hard to pull defeat from the jaws of victory. Just ask Hilary.

It was all about Russia. Without them Hillary would have won. Oh yes, lets not forget James Comey.

 

[Xelor]

Dems eyeing smaller magic number for House majority

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings


What they're talking about is the fact that Cook Political rates about 10 races (NH-02, PA-05, PA-06, AZ-02, CA-49, FL-27, NJ-11, PA-07, PA-17, and VA-10) as already heavily favored to switch control from Republicans to Democrats, which basically means the Democrats need to focus on winning 15 of the current toss-ups to win back control of the House.

Wave or no wave it's very doable.

No, it doesn't "basically," or in any other way but one, mean that. The one way in which it "basically means" that is that in the editors of Cook Political Report's minds, that's what Democrats need to do. Democrats -- candidates for the available House seats, and the leadership of the DNC -- may or may not concur with Cook's analysis of what seats are "favored to switch control from Republicans to Democrats." The page to which you linked doesn't say a Democrats actually think on the matter; it only presents Cook's point of view on the matter.

 

[Roadvirus]

All this early celebrating....reminds me of Queen Hillary before it all came crashing down, ending with egg all over her face (and probably tears) on election night.

 

[PLizzy]

All this early celebrating....reminds me of Queen Hillary before it all came crashing down, ending with egg all over her face (and probably tears) on election night.

Who's celebrating? I tell ya', if the Democrats do win control of the government, we'll be sure to be as sore winners as you guys have been.

 

[Chomsky]

Who's celebrating? I tell ya', if the Democrats do win control of the government, we'll be sure to be as sore winners as you guys have been.

Yeah, forget the celebrating. Roll-up the sleeves, and get to work! There's more swamp the ever, and much of it is felonious!

 

[bearpoker]

Yeah, forget the celebrating. Roll-up the sleeves, and get to work! There's more swamp the ever, and much of it is felonious!

If things go as well as I hope, I intend to gloat relentlessly. Until then, color me circumspect.