Daily Statistical Summary of COVID-19

[TU Curmudgeon]

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GENERAL ADVICE FOR DEALING WITH COVID-19

The best advice anyone can give you is



TAKE IT!

AND

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......|…...PLEASE ........| ...
.........| ..DON'T FEED ...| ......
…......| .THE TROLLS ...| .......
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.............ooO Ooo.............
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[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 5 – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS

Mortality Measurements

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The “Mortality Index” continues to climb. That indicates that the number of deaths is increasing faster than the number of tests so you cannot blame the increase in deaths on the increase in tests.

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In table format, here is how the individual states are doing

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And to give an overview of how the “Red States” and “Blue States” are doing here is that data reduces to a chart.

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[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 6 – THE “TOP 20”s

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Of the 20 countries with the highest number of TOTAL cases, the US, with around 10.17% of the total population of the group, has around 32.39% of the total cases for the group. This is roughly 3.18 times its proportional share.

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Of the 20 countries with the highest number of currently ACTIVE cases, the US, with around 10.79% of the total population of the group, has around 49.61% of the total cases for the group. This is roughly 4.60 times its proportional share.

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Extracted from Worldometer, here is the list of the 20 countries with the highest number of COVID-19 “Deaths per Million”

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That table shows that those people who are panic mongering and claiming that the US has the world’s highest COVID-19 death rate either simply don’t know what they are talking about or are deliberately attempting to spread false information.

The US remains as #7 on the list of the Top 20 countries for "Cases per Million" and has a long way to go before its number (78,791 on 28 JAN 21) surpasses Luxembourg's (79,280 on 28 JAN 21) to move into the #6 slot.

As you can plainly see, <SARC> from that table, all of the countries with higher “Deaths per Million” counts than the US has have those so-called “Universal Healthcare Insurance” programs and that is definitive proof that those so-called “Universal Healthcare Insurance” programs are ineffective and result in the deaths of millions because of their reliance on Death Panels to ration healthcare (unlike the US where you get all the healthcare that you can pay for out of your own pocket [at rates determined by totally unbiased actuaries and CFOs]) </SARC>.

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 7 – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS

Mortality Measurements

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The fact that the total number of US deaths continues to rise isn’t going to surprise anyone other than Dr. Mashmont who jusknowz that the ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM number of COVID-19 deaths peaked out at 10,300 and that there hasn’t been a single COVID-19 death in the US since April 4, 2020.

The "Mashmont Theory" appears to be that the world's medical community and every other government in the world are all lying about the impact of COVID-19 on the people of the world AND that they are doing so specifically to make Mr. Trump (and **D*O*C*T*O*R** Mashmont [not necessarily in that order]) look bad.

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In the past 24 hours, the US (with approximately 4.26% of the world’s population) has had approximately 25.77% of the world’s COVID-19 cases. That is a disparity of 6.05 :: 1 (which is a “Percentage Grade” of 16.52%). It also has 20.10% of the world’s COVID-19 deaths, which is a disparity of 4.72 :: 1 (which is a “Percentage Grade” of 21.21%).

Each of those “Percentage Grades” is an “F”

A more easily grasped illustration (with an expanded colour scale so that even the innumerate followers of **D*O*C*T*O*R** Mashmont can follow it) of what the "Daily Death Rate" is doing in the US is

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Comparing “chance of death” (a combination of “chance of infection” and “mortality rate) to “ability to pay” (PPP GDP per capita) and “previous support for healthcare system” (per capita spending on health care), the data is indicative that the US could have done considerably better than it actually did.

Italy and the UK continue to do poorly (due to the emergence of a new strain of COVID-19), but Italy looks like it might be getting a grip on the situation. UNFORTUNATELY the new strain that caused Europe's current wave of cases appears to have managed to cross the Atlantic and reach North America. HOPEFULLY that new strain can be contained and no other new strain of increased severity develops.

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[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 8 – VACCINATIONS

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The US, at #2, continues (at more than two and one half the Italian [#3] rate) to do well with respect to per capita vaccination rates. Canada continues to lag due to the fact that the American company (Pfizer) that contracted to deliver vaccines to Canada has said that it will not do so. The disparity will likely get much greater as soon as the Canadian vaccine supply has been exhausted.

Pfizer has not indicated when, if ever, it will resume deliveries of vaccine to Canada - despite its contractual obligations to do so.

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The US (the only country that Pfizer has not reduced deliveries to) is still #1 with respect to total vaccinations.

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The US (double the French (#3) and almost triple the Canadian (#4) rates) is doing well in daily vaccinations per capita and has a firm grip on the #2 slot.

This disparity is likely to increase due to the fact that the American company (Pfizer) that had contracted to sell one of the vaccines to Canada has announced that it will not be delivering any vaccine to Canada and has reduced its deliveries to France by about 50%. Pfizer's deliveries to the US are not being reduced.

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The rolling seven day average of daily COVID-19 vaccinations in the US (as reported on 26 JAN 21) was 1.12 million.

That average is not available for 27 JAN 28 at the time of posting.

The previous high number was 1.13 million which was reported on (25 JAN 21).

Assuming that the supply of vaccine continues, the US appears to be well on its way to meeting (or beating) the 1,000,000 per day vaccination rate initially announced by the new administration. The announcement that the new goal is 1,500,000 per day has already been made. When the seven day rolling average reaches 1,350,000, expect a new goal to be announced. This is the type of “moving the goal posts” that no one (except the diehard members of “Claque Failed Casino Owner”) is going to complain about (but they’d complain that if Mr. Biden walked on water that he was scaring the fish).

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 9 – COVID-19 “BURDEN”

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Since dead people do not require any medical supplies, medical personnel, medical facilities, or vaccinations, they really are not (crass and heartless as it sounds) a “burden” in any logistical sense.

That means that, when you consider ONLY the living, the following picture with regard to the “G-8+China” group

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As you can see, of the "G-8+China" group ONLY France has a greater COVID-19 "burden" than the US does (the UK is just barely inside the "±5% of the US" window and falling).

It actually makes sense for the US to retain vaccine and administer it to Americans rather than share it with the other "G-8+China" countries (France and the UK excepted) which have 26.86% (or less) of a COVID-19 "burden" than the US does.

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[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 1 - DATA and CORRELATIONS

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Compare how the “G-8+China” group, an aggregated “Europe” and an aggregated “World” are doing vis-à-vis each other.

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Projections based on the trends current as of the day of posting showing how COVID-19 is likely to progress, its likely total in its first year in the US, and comparing its effect with that of the “-Spanish- 1918 Flu”. COVID-19 is now killing Americans at almost 1.5 times the daily rate that the “1918 Flu” did.

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COVID-19 is officially the THIRD largest cause of death in the US. However, looked at on a 265 day basis, and considering that many people who would have otherwise died of Heart Disease will have died early from COVID-19, it is highly likely that COVID-19 is actually the #1 cause of death in the United States of America. At the present rate (the algorithms were adjusted on 29 JAN 21), the estimated “Low 365 Day” death count from COVID-19 exceeds the official annual rate for Cancer (it's 91.32% that of Cancer) and is 84.68% that for Heart Disease. For the estimated “High 365 Day” death count, it is 100.94% that of Cancer and 93.59% that of Heart Disease.

COVID-19 is now killing Americans at 1.558 times the daily rate that “The 1918 Flu” killed them.

The next "Grim Mortality Milestone” is the psychologically significant number

– 500,000 –​

IF the current trends continue, THEN this number will be reached on or about 15 FEB 21.

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This table shows how well the various areas are doing with respect to both the US and the World after adjustments for various factors. To see how well likely a random person in the “G-8+China” group, an aggregated “Europe” or an aggregated “World” is to die from COVID-19 (which is a combination of the answers to the questions “How likely am I to catch COVID-19?” and “If I do catch COVID-19, then how likely am I to die from it?”) as well as how well the areas are doing in respect of their (per capita) relative abilities to pay for fighting COVID-19 and with respect to the (per capita) amount that they previously spent on supporting their healthcare systems you will have to go to the Block 6 and look at the final table.

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[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 2 - DATA

(WITH ARROWS [for the graduates of the BS (Statistics) program at The University of Numerology])

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QUICK SUMMARY OF Comparative COVID-19 (Total Deaths/Total Cases) & Mortality Closed %

- Data source - COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic (at aprox. 1400 Z on the date of posting) -

See “General Notes” for caveats as to accuracy of data and “Mortality Rate (Closed)” use.

20/11/20 – World (1,368,622/57,394,073) 3.32% [↭] / USA (258,363/12,075,243) 3.44% [⇓] / Canada (11,265/315,754) 4.27% [⇓]

20/11/25 – World (1,417,896/60,242,064) 3.29% [↭] / USA (265,986/12,958,805) 3.36% [⇓] / Canada (11,618/342,444) 4.08% [⇓]

20/11/30 – World (1,467,511/63,199,555) 3.25% [⇓] / USA (273,126/13,753,146) 3.26% [⇓] / Canada (12,032/307,278) 3.93% [⇓]

20/12/05 – World (1,527,740/66,408,088) 3.22% [↭] / USA (285,786/14,784,826) 3.19% [⇓] / Canada (12,496/402,569) 3.76% [⇓]

20/12/10 – World (1,579,100/69,418,464) 3.17% [⇓] / USA (296,836/15,829,017) 3.11% [⇓] / Canada (12,983/435,330) 3.58% [⇓]

20/12/15 – World (1,631,067/73,337,911) 3.07% [⇓] / USA (308,091/16,943,897) 3.02% [⇓] / Canada (13,553/468,862) 3.45% [⇓]

20/12/20 – World (1,694,129/76,728,477) 3.05% [⇓] / USA (323,404/18,078,925) 2.98% [⇓] / Canada (14,154/501,594) 3.33% [⇓]

20/12/25 – World (1,751,877/79,864,734) 3.02% [↭] / USA (337,075/19,113,266) 2.92% [↭] / Canada (14,719/535,212) 3.21% [⇓]

20/12/30 – World (1,800,115/82,477,841) 2.99% [↭] / USA (346,604/19,979,759) 2.84% [⇓] / Canada (15,378/565,506) 3.12% [⇓]

21/01/05 – World (1,863,908/86,250,039) 2.96% [⇓] / USA (362,130/21,354,933) 2.76% [⇓] / Canada (16,074/611,424) 3.00% [⇓]

20/01/10 – World (1,937,942/90,267,680) 2.91% [↭] / USA (381,557/22,714,728) 2.77% [↭] / Canada (16,833/652,473) 2.96% [⇓]

21/01/15 – World (2,005,523/93,668,581) 2.91% [↭] / USA (398,185/23,862,138) 2.74% [↭] / Canada (17,538/688,891) 2.87% [⇓]

21/01/19 – World (2,051,808/96,100,446) 2.90% [⇓] / USA (408,623/24,628,198) 2.73% [⇓] / Canada (18,120/715,072) 2.83% [⇓]

21/01/20 – World (2,069,135/96,759,303) 2.89% [⇓] / USA (411,594/24,814,003) 2.71% [⇓] / Canada (18,266/719,751) 2.82% [⇓]

20/01/21 – World (2,086,148/97,421,975) 2.89% [↭] / USA (415,909/25,000,676) 2.70% [⇓] / Canada (18,462/725,495) 2.81% [⇓]

21/01/22 – World (2,103,101/98,213,310) 2.89% [↭] / USA (420,318/25,198,489) 2.71% [⇑] / Canada (18,622/731,450) 2.80% [⇓]

21/01/23 – World (2,118,975/98,852,622) 2.90% [⇑] / USA (424,275/25,397,214) 2.71% [↭] / Canada (18,828/737,407) 2.80% [↭]

21/01/24 – World (2,132,033/99,405,023) 2.90% [↭] / USA (427,635/25,566,789) 2.71% [↭] / Canada (18,974/742,531) 2.80% [↭]

21/01/25 – World (2,140,550/99,846,375) 2.89% [⇓] / USA (429,490/25,702,125) 2.711% [↭] / Canada (19,094/747,383) 2.79% [⇓]

21/01/26 – World (2,152,125/100,377,364) 2.89% [↭] / USA (431,397/25,862,984) 2.69% [⇓] / Canada (19,238/753,011) 2.79% [↭]

The world total for COVID-19 cases has now passed 100,000,000.

21/01/27 – World (2,169,948/100,940,602) 2.89% [↭] / USA (435,475/26,012,818) 2.69% [↭] / Canada (19,403/757,022) 2.78% [⇓]

21/01/28 – World (2,187,055/101,549,699) 2.89% [↭] / USA (439,528/26,168,001) 2.68% [⇓] / Canada (19,533/761,227) 2.78% [↭]

21/01/29 – World (2,203,253/102,144,523) 2.89% [↭] / USA (443,794/26,340,631) 2.69% [⇑] / Canada (19,664/766,103) 2.77% [⇓]

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The “Rolling 7 day US average deaths per day” TODAY is 3,354 (YESTERDAY it was 3,374).

The US, the 10 day average of the “Rolling 7 day US average deaths per day” is back above 3,500 (but just barely).

The US mortality rate for CLOSED cases has been fluttering – mostly due to the lack of progress on the part of the “Red States” which has obscured the gains made in the “Blue States”.

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The number of deaths per day data has returned to acting “normally”. However the graph seems to indicate that the increase has begun to crest.

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How are the major nations coping? This chart, from Our World in Data

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illustrates the relative growth rates of COVID-19 in those areas.

Europe IS in the midst of "The Second Wave" of COVID-19. Is the US in a "(First?) Second (Third?) Wave"? See the next block and draw your own conclusions.

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 3 – TODAY’S “WAVE (TSUNAMI [?])” CHARTS

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Today’s charts are based on Worldometer data as of approximately 1400 Z on the day of posting)

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The rolling "7 Day Average" death rate is now higher than it has been since the beginning of May (shortly after the official announcement that COVID-19 would "vanish in a couple of weeks”).

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The rolling "10 Day Average of the 7 Day Averages" (which gives a much "cleaner" charting) death rate is now higher than it has been since the beginning of May (shortly after the official announcement that COVID-19 would "vanish in a couple of weeks").

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The daily average of new cases for the past 30 days is 212,029, for the past 10 days it is 171,243, and for the past five days it is 154,768. The graphs indicate that there is a possibility that this wave has crested in the US.

Is this the “Second Wave” or the "Third Wave"? Will there be another? Will the US simply continue its (essentially) straight line path without leveling until the pandemic crests and crashes? Draw your own conclusions from the charts and the facts NOT from the latest version of the currently operative, “officially” sanctioned, "Team Reactionary" approved, CT-News issued, truth-of-the-day as delivered by the -ONAN- (oops, sorry, that's) OANN people.

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 4A – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS

IN TABLES

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HOW IS YOUR STATE DOING? ​

All base data is from Worldometer as of ~1400 on the date of posting.

NOTE – 1

The Oregon, Kansas, Delaware, and Alaska data for recovered cases are out of date and there is no newer data available. The “Mortality Rate (Closed)” and “Recovered Rate” are unreliable for those states.​

NOTE – 2

The percentage [top chart at the bottom of the tables] shows how well the “Red States” and “Blue States” are doing in terms of their percentage of the US population. If the “X States” had 50% of the population and 55% of whatever was being measured, then the “X States” would show as 110% while the “Y States” would show as 90%.​

First, the table sorted by "Blue States" (listed by "Mortality Rate [Closed]") and "Red States" (listed by "Mortality Rate [Closed]")

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And then sorted by “Cases per Million”

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And then sorted by “Deaths per Million”

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Those are OK if you want to look up specific numbers, but, because they are “single data point” tables, they don’t actually show you what is happening over time. For that, see the next block.

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 4B – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS

IN CHARTS

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HOW ARE THE "RED" AND "BLUE" STATES DOING?​

As you can see from the "Summary" table, BOTH the "Red States" and the "Blue States" have now moved into the blue "±5% of Average" zone on the "Deaths per Million" column. The "Red States" have moved into that zone from the green "LESS that 95% of Average" zone (for those who still believe that their "expert prediction of 10,300 ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM deaths is accurate, that means that their performance is getting worse)and the "Blue States" have moved into that zone from the red "MORE than 105% of Average" zone (for those who still believe that their "expert prediction of 10,300 ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM deaths is accurate, that means that their performance is getting better).

The “Red States” relative percentage of deaths has now moved from the (more than 5% lower than the National Average) “Green Zone” into the (±5% of National Average) “Blue Zone.

The "Blue States" relative percentage of deaths has now moved from the (more than 5% higher than the National Average) “Green Zone” into the (±5% of National Average) “Blue Zone.

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The situation with respect to “Cases per Million” continues NOT to be “happy making”. In fact, NO STATE has a “Cases per Million” rate that is lower than the world average.

The "Red States" increase in "Cases per Million" continues at a faster pace than that of the "Blue States".

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As far as “Deaths per Million” goes, the “Blue States” and the “Red States” are still battling it out to see which can win the "I can kill more of my people than you can" title (the “Red States” continue to draw ahead of the “Blue States” and now have a significant lead).

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[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 5 – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS

Mortality Measurements

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The “Mortality Index” continues to climb. That indicates that the number of deaths is increasing faster than the number of tests so you cannot blame the increase in deaths on the increase in tests.

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In table format, here is how the individual states are doing

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And to give an overview of how the “Red States” and “Blue States” are doing here is that data reduces to a chart.

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[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 6 – THE “TOP 20”s

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Of the 20 countries with the highest number of TOTAL cases, the US, with around 10.19% of the total population of the group, has around 32.41% of the total cases for the group. This is roughly 3.18 times its proportional share.

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Of the 20 countries with the highest number of currently ACTIVE cases, the US, with around 10.79% of the total population of the group, has around 49.77% of the total cases for the group. This is roughly 4.61 times its proportional share.

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Extracted from Worldometer, here is the list of the 20 countries with the highest number of COVID-19 “Deaths per Million”

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That table shows that those people who are panic mongering and claiming that the US has the world’s highest COVID-19 death rate either simply don’t know what they are talking about or are deliberately attempting to spread false information.

The US remains as #7 on the list of the Top 20 countries for "Cases per Million" and has a short way to go before its number (79,310 on 29 JAN 21) surpasses Luxembourg's (79,497 on 28 JAN 21) to move into the #6 slot.

As you can plainly see, <SARC> from that table, all of the countries with higher “Deaths per Million” counts than the US has have those so-called “Universal Healthcare Insurance” programs and that is definitive proof that those so-called “Universal Healthcare Insurance” programs are ineffective and result in the deaths of millions because of their reliance on Death Panels to ration healthcare (unlike the US where you get all the healthcare that you can pay for out of your own pocket [at rates determined by totally unbiased actuaries and CFOs]) </SARC>.

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 7 – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS

Mortality Measurements

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The fact that the total number of US deaths continues to rise isn’t going to surprise anyone other than Dr. Mashmont who jusknowz that the ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM number of COVID-19 deaths peaked out at 10,300 and that there hasn’t been a single COVID-19 death in the US since April 4, 2020.

The "Mashmont Theory" appears to be that the world's medical community and every other government in the world are all lying about the impact of COVID-19 on the people of the world AND that they are doing so specifically to make Mr. Trump (and **D*O*C*T*O*R** Mashmont [not necessarily in that order]) look bad.

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In the past 24 hours, the US (with approximately 4.26% of the world’s population) has had approximately 25.79% of the world’s COVID-19 cases. That is a disparity of 6.06 :: 1 (which is a “Percentage Grade” of 16.51%). It also has 20.14% of the world’s COVID-19 deaths, which is a disparity of 4.73 :: 1 (which is a “Percentage Grade” of 21.13%).

Each of those “Percentage Grades” is an “F”

A more easily grasped illustration (with an expanded colour scale so that even the innumerate followers of **D*O*C*T*O*R** Mashmont can follow it) of what the "Daily Death Rate" is doing in the US is

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Comparing “chance of death” (a combination of “chance of infection” and “mortality rate) to “ability to pay” (PPP GDP per capita) and “previous support for healthcare system” (per capita spending on health care), the data is indicative that the US could have done considerably better than it actually did.

Italy and the UK continue to do poorly (due to the emergence of a new strain of COVID-19), but Italy looks like it might be getting a grip on the situation. UNFORTUNATELY the new strain that caused Europe's current wave of cases appears to have managed to cross the Atlantic and reach North America. HOPEFULLY that new strain can be contained and no other new strain of increased severity develops.

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[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 8 – VACCINATIONS

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The US, at #2, continues (at more than two and one half the Italian [#3] rate) to do well with respect to per capita vaccination rates. Canada continues to lag due to the fact that the American company (Pfizer) that contracted to deliver vaccines to Canada has said that it will not do so. The disparity will likely get much greater as soon as the Canadian vaccine supply has been exhausted.

Pfizer has not indicated when, if ever, it will resume deliveries of vaccine to Canada - despite its contractual obligations to do so.

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The US (the only country that Pfizer has not reduced deliveries to) is still #1 with respect to total vaccinations.

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The US (triple the French (#3) and almost five times the Canadian (#6) rates) is doing well in daily vaccinations per capita and has a firm grip on the #2 slot.

This disparity is likely to increase due to the fact that the American company (Pfizer) that had contracted to sell one of the vaccines to Canada has announced that it will not be delivering any vaccine to Canada and has reduced its deliveries to France by about 50%. Pfizer's deliveries to the US are not being reduced.

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The rolling seven day average of daily COVID-19 vaccinations in the US (as reported on 28 JAN 21) was 1,240,000.

The previous high rolling seven day average was 1,160,000 which was reported on (27 JAN 21).

Using "Eyeball Analysis" it looks like the US just might reach the latest INTERIM goal of 1,500,000 per day within a week (assuming that the supply of vaccine continues).

When the seven day rolling average reaches around 1,350,000, expect a new goal to be announced. This is the type of “moving the goal posts” that no one (except the diehard members of “Claque Failed Casino Owner”) is going to complain about (but they’d complain that if Mr. Biden walked on water that he was scaring the fish).

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 9 – COVID-19 “BURDEN”

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Since dead people do not require any medical supplies, medical personnel, medical facilities, or vaccinations, they really are not (crass and heartless as it sounds) a “burden” in any logistical sense.

That means that, when you consider ONLY the living, the following picture with regard to the “G-8+China” group

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As you can see, of the "G-8+China" group ONLY France has a greater COVID-19 "burden" than the US does (the UK is just barely inside the "±5% of the US" window (still on the "good side" but heading toward the "bad side" of the window).

It actually makes sense for the US to retain vaccine and administer it to Americans rather than share it with the other "G-8+China" countries (France and the UK excepted) which have 26.56% (or less) of a COVID-19 "burden" than the US does.

More for historical interest than anything else, here are two tables that I still maintain but no longer post routinely to compare. The first is from 29 AUG 20 and the second from 29 JAN 21 (six months apart)

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Back in August 2020, the Canadian "Mortality Rate (Closed)" was 142.53% that of the US and today it is 102.97%. Mind you, no one is saying that the US "Mortality Rate (Closed)" is an ultimate goal to be aimed for.

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 1 - DATA and CORRELATIONS

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Compare how the “G-8+China” group, an aggregated “Europe” and an aggregated “World” are doing vis-à-vis each other.

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Projections based on the trends current as of the day of posting showing how COVID-19 is likely to progress, its likely total in its first year in the US, and comparing its effect with that of the “-Spanish- 1918 Flu”. COVID-19 is now killing Americans at almost 1.5 times the daily rate that the “1918 Flu” did.

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COVID-19 is officially the THIRD largest cause of death in the US. However, looked at on a 265 day basis, and considering that many people who would have otherwise died of Heart Disease will have died early from COVID-19, it is highly likely that COVID-19 is actually the #1 cause of death in the United States of America. At the present rate (the algorithms were adjusted on 29 JAN 21), the estimated “Low 365 Day” death count from COVID-19 exceeds the official annual rate for Cancer (it's 91.95% that of Cancer) and is 85.26% that for Heart Disease. For the estimated “High 365 Day” death count, it is 101.62% that of Cancer and 94.23% that of Heart Disease.

COVID-19 is now killing Americans at 1.566 times the daily rate that “The 1918 Flu” killed them.

The next "Grim Mortality Milestone” is the psychologically significant number

– 500,000 –​

IF the current trends continue, THEN this number will be reached on or about 15 FEB 21.

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This table shows how well the various areas are doing with respect to both the US and the World after adjustments for various factors. To see how well likely a random person in the “G-8+China” group, an aggregated “Europe” or an aggregated “World” is to die from COVID-19 (which is a combination of the answers to the questions “How likely am I to catch COVID-19?” and “If I do catch COVID-19, then how likely am I to die from it?”) as well as how well the areas are doing in respect of their (per capita) relative abilities to pay for fighting COVID-19 and with respect to the (per capita) amount that they previously spent on supporting their healthcare systems you will have to go to the Block 6 and look at the final table.

​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 2 - DATA

(WITH ARROWS [for the graduates of the BS (Statistics) program at The University of Numerology])

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QUICK SUMMARY OF Comparative COVID-19 (Total Deaths/Total Cases) & Mortality Closed %

- Data source - COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic (at aprox. 1400 Z on the date of posting) -

See “General Notes” for caveats as to accuracy of data and “Mortality Rate (Closed)” use.

20/11/20 – World (1,368,622/57,394,073) 3.32% [↭] / USA (258,363/12,075,243) 3.44% [⇓] / Canada (11,265/315,754) 4.27% [⇓]

20/11/25 – World (1,417,896/60,242,064) 3.29% [↭] / USA (265,986/12,958,805) 3.36% [⇓] / Canada (11,618/342,444) 4.08% [⇓]

20/11/30 – World (1,467,511/63,199,555) 3.25% [⇓] / USA (273,126/13,753,146) 3.26% [⇓] / Canada (12,032/307,278) 3.93% [⇓]

20/12/05 – World (1,527,740/66,408,088) 3.22% [↭] / USA (285,786/14,784,826) 3.19% [⇓] / Canada (12,496/402,569) 3.76% [⇓]

20/12/10 – World (1,579,100/69,418,464) 3.17% [⇓] / USA (296,836/15,829,017) 3.11% [⇓] / Canada (12,983/435,330) 3.58% [⇓]

20/12/15 – World (1,631,067/73,337,911) 3.07% [⇓] / USA (308,091/16,943,897) 3.02% [⇓] / Canada (13,553/468,862) 3.45% [⇓]

20/12/20 – World (1,694,129/76,728,477) 3.05% [⇓] / USA (323,404/18,078,925) 2.98% [⇓] / Canada (14,154/501,594) 3.33% [⇓]

20/12/25 – World (1,751,877/79,864,734) 3.02% [↭] / USA (337,075/19,113,266) 2.92% [↭] / Canada (14,719/535,212) 3.21% [⇓]

20/12/30 – World (1,800,115/82,477,841) 2.99% [↭] / USA (346,604/19,979,759) 2.84% [⇓] / Canada (15,378/565,506) 3.12% [⇓]

21/01/05 – World (1,863,908/86,250,039) 2.96% [⇓] / USA (362,130/21,354,933) 2.76% [⇓] / Canada (16,074/611,424) 3.00% [⇓]

20/01/10 – World (1,937,942/90,267,680) 2.91% [↭] / USA (381,557/22,714,728) 2.77% [↭] / Canada (16,833/652,473) 2.96% [⇓]

21/01/15 – World (2,005,523/93,668,581) 2.91% [↭] / USA (398,185/23,862,138) 2.74% [↭] / Canada (17,538/688,891) 2.87% [⇓]

21/01/19 – World (2,051,808/96,100,446) 2.90% [⇓] / USA (408,623/24,628,198) 2.73% [⇓] / Canada (18,120/715,072) 2.83% [⇓]

21/01/20 – World (2,069,135/96,759,303) 2.89% [⇓] / USA (411,594/24,814,003) 2.71% [⇓] / Canada (18,266/719,751) 2.82% [⇓]

21/01/22 – World (2,103,101/98,213,310) 2.89% [↭] / USA (420,318/25,198,489) 2.71% [⇑] / Canada (18,622/731,450) 2.80% [⇓]

21/01/23 – World (2,118,975/98,852,622) 2.90% [⇑] / USA (424,275/25,397,214) 2.71% [↭] / Canada (18,828/737,407) 2.80% [↭]

21/01/24 – World (2,132,033/99,405,023) 2.90% [↭] / USA (427,635/25,566,789) 2.71% [↭] / Canada (18,974/742,531) 2.80% [↭]

21/01/25 – World (2,140,550/99,846,375) 2.89% [⇓] / USA (429,490/25,702,125) 2.711% [↭] / Canada (19,094/747,383) 2.79% [⇓]

21/01/26 – World (2,152,125/100,377,364) 2.89% [↭] / USA (431,397/25,862,984) 2.69% [⇓] / Canada (19,238/753,011) 2.79% [↭]

The world total for COVID-19 cases has now passed 100,000,000.

21/01/27 – World (2,169,948/100,940,602) 2.89% [↭] / USA (435,475/26,012,818) 2.69% [↭] / Canada (19,403/757,022) 2.78% [⇓]

21/01/28 – World (2,187,055/101,549,699) 2.89% [↭] / USA (439,528/26,168,001) 2.68% [⇓] / Canada (19,533/761,227) 2.78% [↭]

21/01/29 – World (2,203,253/102,144,523) 2.89% [↭] / USA (443,794/26,340,631) 2.69% [⇑] / Canada (19,664/766,103) 2.77% [⇓]

21/01/30 – World (2,218,394/102,725,175) 2.89% [↭] / USA (447,459/26,512,193) 2.69% [↭] / Canada (19,801/770,793) 2.77% [↭]

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The “Rolling 7 day US average deaths per day” TODAY is 3,312 (YESTERDAY it was 3,354).

The US, the 10 day average of the “Rolling 7 day US average deaths per day” is back above 3,500 for the second day in a row.

The US mortality rate for CLOSED cases has been fluttering – mostly due to the lack of progress on the part of the “Red States” which has obscured the gains made in the “Blue States”.

​

The number of deaths per day data has returned to acting “normally”. However the graph seems to indicate that the increase has begun to crest.

​

How are the major nations coping? This chart, from Our World in Data

​

illustrates the relative growth rates of COVID-19 in those areas.

Europe IS in the midst of "The Second Wave" of COVID-19. Is the US in a "(First?) Second (Third?) Wave"? See the next block and draw your own conclusions.

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 3 – TODAY’S “WAVE (TSUNAMI [?])” CHARTS

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Today’s charts are based on Worldometer data as of approximately 1400 Z on the day of posting)

​

The rolling "7 Day Average" death rate is now higher than it has been since the beginning of May (shortly after the official announcement that COVID-19 would "vanish in a couple of weeks”).

​

The rolling "10 Day Average of the 7 Day Averages" (which gives a much "cleaner" charting) death rate is now higher than it has been since the beginning of May (shortly after the official announcement that COVID-19 would "vanish in a couple of weeks").

​

The daily average of new cases for the past 30 days is 209,840, for the past 10 days it is 169,819, and for the past five days it is 162,014. The graphs indicate that there is a possibility that this wave has crested in the US.

Is this the “Second Wave” or the "Third Wave"? Will there be another? Will the US simply continue its (essentially) straight line path without leveling until the pandemic crests and crashes? Draw your own conclusions from the charts and the facts NOT from the latest version of the currently operative, “officially” sanctioned, "Team Reactionary" approved, CT-News issued, truth-of-the-day as delivered by the -ONAN- (oops, sorry, that's) OANN people.

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 4A – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS

IN TABLES

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HOW IS YOUR STATE DOING? ​

All base data is from Worldometer as of ~1400 on the date of posting.

NOTE – 1

The Oregon, Kansas, Delaware, and Alaska data for recovered cases are out of date and there is no newer data available. The “Mortality Rate (Closed)” and “Recovered Rate” are unreliable for those states.​

NOTE – 2

The percentage [top chart at the bottom of the tables] shows how well the “Red States” and “Blue States” are doing in terms of their percentage of the US population. If the “X States” had 50% of the population and 55% of whatever was being measured, then the “X States” would show as 110% while the “Y States” would show as 90%.​

First, the table sorted by "Blue States" (listed by "Mortality Rate [Closed]") and "Red States" (listed by "Mortality Rate [Closed]")

​

And then sorted by “Cases per Million”

​

And then sorted by “Deaths per Million”

​

Those are OK if you want to look up specific numbers, but, because they are “single data point” tables, they don’t actually show you what is happening over time. For that, see the next block.

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 4B – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS

IN CHARTS

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HOW ARE THE "RED" AND "BLUE" STATES DOING?​

As you can see from the "Summary" table, BOTH the "Red States" and the "Blue States" have now moved into the blue "±5% of Average" zone on the "Deaths per Million" column. The "Red States" have moved into that zone from the green "LESS that 95% of Average" zone (for those who still believe that their "expert prediction of 10,300 ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM deaths is accurate, that means that their performance is getting worse)and the "Blue States" have moved into that zone from the red "MORE than 105% of Average" zone (for those who still believe that their "expert prediction of 10,300 ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM deaths is accurate, that means that their performance is getting better).

The “Red States” relative percentage of deaths has now moved from the (more than 5% lower than the National Average) “Green Zone” into the (±5% of National Average) “Blue Zone.

The "Blue States" relative percentage of deaths has now moved from the (more than 5% higher than the National Average) “Green Zone” into the (±5% of National Average) “Blue Zone.

​

The situation with respect to “Cases per Million” continues NOT to be “happy making”. In fact, NO STATE has a “Cases per Million” rate that is lower than the world average.

The "Red States" increase in "Cases per Million" continues at a faster pace than that of the "Blue States".

​

As far as “Deaths per Million” goes, the “Blue States” and the “Red States” are still battling it out to see which can win the "I can kill more of my people than you can" title (the “Red States” continue to draw ahead of the “Blue States” and now have a significant lead).

​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 5 – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS

Mortality Measurements

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The “Mortality Index” continues to climb. That indicates that the number of deaths is increasing faster than the number of tests so you cannot blame the increase in deaths on the increase in tests.

​

In table format, here is how the individual states are doing

​

And to give an overview of how the “Red States” and “Blue States” are doing here is that data reduces to a chart.

​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 6 – THE “TOP 20”s

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Of the 20 countries with the highest number of TOTAL cases, the US, with around 10.19% of the total population of the group, has around 32.43% of the total cases for the group. This is roughly 3.18 times its proportional share.

​

Of the 20 countries with the highest number of currently ACTIVE cases, the US, with around 10.98% of the total population of the group, has around 49.75% of the total cases for the group. This is roughly 4.53 times its proportional share.

​

Extracted from Worldometer, here is the list of the 20 countries with the highest number of COVID-19 “Deaths per Million”

​

That table shows that those people who are panic mongering and claiming that the US has the world’s highest COVID-19 death rate either simply don’t know what they are talking about or are deliberately attempting to spread false information.

The US has moved up to #6 on the list of the Top 20 countries for "Cases per Million" and with its 79,825 on 30 JAN 21 has shot past Luxembourg (79,746 on 30 JAN 21). Whether or not the US can continue to best Luxembourg and Slovenia for this position is something that only time will tell.

As you can plainly see, <SARC> from that table, all of the countries with higher “Deaths per Million” counts than the US has have those so-called “Universal Healthcare Insurance” programs and that is definitive proof that those so-called “Universal Healthcare Insurance” programs are ineffective and result in the deaths of millions because of their reliance on Death Panels to ration healthcare (unlike the US where you get all the healthcare that you can pay for out of your own pocket [at rates determined by totally unbiased actuaries and CFOs]) </SARC>.

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 7 – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS

Mortality Measurements

***********************************************​

The fact that the total number of US deaths continues to rise isn’t going to surprise anyone other than Dr. Mashmont who jusknowz that the ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM number of COVID-19 deaths peaked out at 10,300 and that there hasn’t been a single COVID-19 death in the US since April 4, 2020.

The "Mashmont Theory" appears to be that the world's medical community and every other government in the world are all lying about the impact of COVID-19 on the people of the world AND that they are doing so specifically to make Mr. Trump (and **D*O*C*T*O*R** Mashmont [not necessarily in that order]) look bad.

​

In the past 24 hours, the US (with approximately 4.26% of the world’s population) has had approximately 25.81% of the world’s COVID-19 cases. That is a disparity of 6.06 :: 1 (which is a “Percentage Grade” of 16.49%). It also has 20.17% of the world’s COVID-19 deaths, which is a disparity of 4.74 :: 1 (which is a “Percentage Grade” of 21.10%).

Each of those “Percentage Grades” is an “F”

A more easily grasped illustration (with an expanded colour scale so that even the innumerate followers of **D*O*C*T*O*R** Mashmont can follow it) of what the "Daily Death Rate" is doing in the US is

​

Comparing “chance of death” (a combination of “chance of infection” and “mortality rate) to “ability to pay” (PPP GDP per capita) and “previous support for healthcare system” (per capita spending on health care), the data is indicative that the US could have done considerably better than it actually did.

Italy and the UK continue to do poorly (due to the emergence of a new strain of COVID-19), but Italy looks like it might be getting a grip on the situation. UNFORTUNATELY the new strain that caused Europe's current wave of cases appears to have managed to cross the Atlantic and reach North America. HOPEFULLY that new strain can be contained and no other new strain of increased severity develops.

​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 8 – VACCINATIONS

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The US, at #2, continues (at more than 2.8 times the Italian [#3] rate) to do well with respect to per capita vaccination rates. Canada continues to lag due to the fact that the American company (Pfizer) that contracted to deliver vaccines to Canada has said that it will not do so. The disparity will likely get much greater as soon as the Canadian vaccine supply has been exhausted.

Pfizer has not indicated when, if ever, it will resume deliveries of vaccine to Canada - despite its contractual obligations to do so.

​

The US (the only country that Pfizer has not reduced deliveries to) is still #1 with respect to total vaccinations.

​

The US (triple the German (#3) French (#4) and almost seven and one half times the Canadian (#7) rates) is doing well in daily vaccinations per capita and has a firm grip on the #2 slot.

This disparity is likely to increase due to the fact that the American company (Pfizer) that had contracted to sell one of the vaccines to Canada has announced that it will not be delivering any vaccine to Canada and has reduced its deliveries to all European countries by about 50%. Pfizer's deliveries to the US are not being reduced.

​

The rolling seven day average of daily COVID-19 vaccinations in the US (as reported on 29 JAN 21) was 1.25 million.

The previous high number was 1.24 million which was reported on (28 JAN 21).

Assuming that the supply of vaccine continues, the US appears to be well on its way to meeting (or beating) the interim 1,500,000 per day vaccination rate announced by the new administration. When the seven day rolling average reaches 1,350,000, expect a new goal to be announced.

This is the type of “moving the goal posts” that no one (except the diehard members of “Claque Failed Casino Owner”) is going to complain about (but they’d complain that if Mr. Biden walked on water that he was scaring the fish).