Daily Statistical Summary of COVID-19

[TU Curmudgeon]

GENERAL NOTES

If you have any dispute/discussion regarding the statistics, please feel free to link back to the latest post in the NEW THREAD that you start so that we can debate what your dispute/discussion is.

DATA SOURCE - COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic (at aprox. 1400 GMT the day of posting) except where noted.
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NOTE 1 –

“Mortality Rate (All)” appears to bear a one to one correlation to “[Mortality Rate (Closed)] x [Clearance Rate]”. That means that it is likely that the _real_ mortality rate is the “Mortality Rate (Closed)” and only the differing lengths of time from diagnosis to death is obscuring that.
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NOTE 2 –

Chinese figures are not accepted as reliable at this time. However they do not appear to be outside the parameters of countries with equivalent “Asian” population percentages.

US figures are not accepted as reliable at this time. However they do not appear to be outside the parameters of countries with equivalent “Racial” population percentages.
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SPECIAL EXPLANATORY NOTE 3 FOR GRADUATES OF “PIOOYA STATISTICS” CLASSES TAUGHT BY INNUMERATE DOLTS (who probably have a BA [Pla-Doh], a BS [Statistics], and a PhD [Finger Painting] from the University of Numerology)

1. All charts employ a 30 day forward projection. (Thanks to “Jay59” for the upgrading suggestion.)
2. Further suggestions to improve the accuracy of the PROJECTIONS are welcomed. “I don’t like the data or what generally accepted mathematical formulae say about the data – so you are full of crap.” comments will be ignored.
3. Reported deaths normally take dips on weekends (which means the Sunday and Monday numbers are lower than the actual numbers of deaths and the Tuesday and Wednesday numbers are higher),
4. Reported deaths normally take dips around “emotionally significant dates” (sometimes known as “The ‘Christmas’ Effect” or “The ‘Birthday’ Effect”).
5. The trend lines are based on actual current and past data and are footed on the assumption that the conditions current as of the generation of the chart do not change.
6. IF those conditions do change THEN the trend lines WILL change. This, unlike what some dolt will tell you, does NOT mean that the trend lines were wrong when calculated.
7. Simply pulling numbers out of your butt or cherry-picking data, the way that some dolts do, and then using those PIOOYA numbers to claim expertise just doesn’t hack it in the real world (well, outside of Mar-a-Lago, Florida).

NOTE 4 – SPECIAL NOTES REGARDING TABLES AND GRAPHS CONCERNING U.S. STATES

1. There are a whole lot of posts comparing "State X" against "States A, B, and C" without any acknowledgement that there are actually 50 states. (This is known as "cherry picking data" and I don’t do that.)
2. The states have been ranked as to how far they vary from “The American Neutral” [which would be exactly 50% “Republican” (whatever that means) and 50% “Democrat” (whatever that means)] using the actual vote totals from the last Presidential, Senatorial, (Federal) Representative, and Gubernatorial elections plus the actual seat counts in the several states upper and lower chambers. The color coding indicates the relative position of the grouping to which each state belongs.
3. Since blue is the traditional colour for “Conservative” and since all of the major American political parties rank as “Conservative” on the international scale, only various shades of blue are used.
4. The totals are lower than the totals on Worldometer because US colonial possessions are excluded and only the actual US states are considered.

NOTE 5 –

How does the number of tests related to the "Mortality Rate"? It doesn't, and I'm no longer going to be posting that table routinely.
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NOTE 6 –

How does the NATIONAL “Population Density” relate to either the “Infection Rate” or the "Mortality Rate"? It doesn't, (with respect to specified areas inside countries it does, but I simply don’t have the facilities to deal with THAT much nitpicking) and I'm no longer going to be posting that table routinely.​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 1 - DATA and CORRELATIONS

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Compare how the “G-8+China” group, an aggregated “Europe” and an aggregated “World” are doing vis-à-vis each other.

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Projections based on the trends current as of the day of posting showing how COVID-19 is likely to progress, its likely total in its first year in the US, and comparing its effect with that of the “-Spanish- 1918 Flu”.

COVID-19 is now likely to kill ONLY 115.46% of the number of Americans that died from the “1918 Flu”.

The US “Mortality Rate (Closed)” is now at 161.14% of the Canadian one.


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COVID-19 is the THIRD largest cause of death in the US for the second year in a row.

At the current rate (the algorithms were adjusted on 01 MAR 21), the estimated rates for the “Low 365 Day” death count are 69.123% that of Cancer and is 64.09% that for Heart Disease, for the estimated “High 365 Day” death count, it is 76.39% that of Cancer and 70.83% that of Heart Disease.

The US rolling 7 day average number of deaths from COVID-19 had been MORE THAN FIVE times as high as the (2019 data) US average number of daily deaths from accidents but is now just over 5.90 TIMES as high.

The next "Grim Mortality Milestone” is the psychologically significant number

* * * – 950,000 – * * *
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IF the current trends continue, THEN this number will be reached 14 FEB 22.

The projected annual death toll from COVID-19 for 2021 has dropped by 26.22% from the total projected on 01 JAN 21.

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This table shows how well the various areas are doing with respect to both the US and the World after adjustments for various factors.

To see how well likely a random person in the “G-8+China” group, an aggregated “Europe” or an aggregated “World” is to die from COVID-19 (which is a combination of the answers to the questions “How likely am I to catch COVID-19?” and “If I do catch COVID-19, then how likely am I to die from it?”) as well as how well the areas are doing in respect of their (per capita) relative abilities to pay for fighting COVID-19 and with respect to the (per capita) amount that they previously spent on supporting their healthcare systems you will have to go to the Block 11 and look at the third table there.

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[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 2 - DATA
(WITH ARROWS [for the graduates of the BS {Statistics} program at The University of Numerology])

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QUICK SUMMARY OF Comparative COVID-19 (Total Deaths/Total Cases) & Mortality Closed %
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- Data source - COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic (at ~1400 GMT on the date of posting) -

-See “General Notes” for caveats as to accuracy of data and “Mortality Rate (Closed)” use.

21/10/16 – World (4,907,345/240,961,318) 2.20% [⇓] / USA (743,880/45,738,585) 2.06% [⇓] / Canada (28,468/1,676,873) 1.73% [⇓] (84.01% of the US rate)

21/10/23 – World (4,955,908/243,867,520) 2.19% [⇓] / USA (755,721/46,264,596) 2.06% [↭] / Canada (28,729/1695,914) 1.72% [⇓] (83.82% of the US rate)

21/10/31 – World (5,007,903/246,938,125) 2.19% [↭] / USA (765,722/46,771,979) 2.05% [⇓] / Canada (28,951/1,712,125) 1.72% [↭] (89.85% of the US rate)

21/11/06 – World )5,057,234/250,026,689) 2.19% [↭] / USA (774,673/14,280,449) 2.04% [⇓] / Canada (29,132/1,727,686) 1.71% [⇓] (83.95% of the US rate)

21/11/13 – World (5,108,210/253,423,535) 2.18% [⇓] / USA (782,933/47,834,810) 2.03% [⇓] / Canada (29,309/1,745,349) 1.70% [⇓] (84.03% of the US rate)

21/11/20 – World (5,159,347/257,187,968) 2.17% [⇓] / USA (791,184/48,528,020) 2.02% [⇓] / Canada (29,481/1,762,434) 1.70% [↭] (84.02% of the US rate)

21/11/27 – World (5,21,292/261,071,718) 2.16% [⇓] / USA (799,138/49,050,917) 2.02% [↭] / Canada (29,618/1,782,171) 1.69% [⇓] (83.61% of the US rate)

21/12/04 – World (5,261,745/265,364,343) 2.15% [⇓] / USA (808,116/49,878,049) 2.01% [⇓] / Canada (29,757/1,802,359) 1.68% [⇓] (83.54% of the US rate)

21/12/11 – World (5,315,212/269,584,311) 2.14% [⇓] / USA (817,326/50,705,257) 2.00% [⇓] / Canada (29,900/1,827,755) 1.67% [⇓] (83.10% of the US rate)

21/12/18 – World (5,363,888/274,092,007) 2.13% [⇓] / USA (826,716/51,610,281) 2.00% [↭] / Canada (30,032/1,866,907) 1.65% [⇓] (82.52% of the US rate)

21/12/25 – World (5,411,970/279,500,972) 2.12% [⇓] / USA (837,671/52,986,307) 2.00% [↭] / Canada (30,139/1,957,060) 1.63% [⇓] (81.48% of the US rate)

22/01/01 – World (5,455,429/388,697,862) 2.10% [⇓] / USA (846,905/55,696,500) 2.00% [↭] / Canada (30,319/2,183,527) 1.58% [⇓] (79.22% of the US rate)

22/01-08 – World (5,499,445/304,063,804) 2.08% [⇓] / USA (858,346/60,464,426) 1.99% [⇓] / Canada (30,668/2,482,142) 1.46% [⇓] (73.42% of the US rate)

22/01/15 – World (5,549,558/324,646,006) 2.05% [⇓] / USA (872,086/66,209,535) 1.99% [↭] / Canada (31,317/2,717,982) 1.33% [⇓] (67.01% of the US rate)

22/01/22- World (5,605,292/347,495,076) 1.98% [⇓] / USA (887,643/71,394,579) 1.97% [⇓] / Canada (32,369/2,889,454) 1.25% [⇓] (63.25% of the US rate)

22/01/30 – World (5,677,640/373,741,363) 1.89% [⇓] / USA (906,861/75,481,122) 1.94% [⇓] / Canada (33,647/3,027,167) 1.20% [⇓] (62.06% of the US rate)

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The “Rolling 7 day US average deaths per day” TODAY is 2,605 (LAST WEEK it was 2,222).

The US 10 day average of the “Rolling 7 day US average deaths per day” has inching up all week as we enter “Flu Season”. “The Red Team” has a new quota – 1,000,000 dead Americans by St. Patrick’s Day.

The states are being quite “spotty” in reporting their number of recovered cases (the number of states not reporting “recovered” yesterday was 21 [it frequently goes as high as 30]).[/b]

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The number of deaths per day data continues to act “normally”. The graph indicates that the US is coming out of the last wave BUT because of poor vaccination response in the ROAN states likely headed into a “Winter Wave”.

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How are the major nations coping? This chart, from Our World in Data

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illustrates the relative growth rates of COVID-19 in those areas.

What is “Omicron” doing? Will the US rates continue to improve? See the next blocks and draw your own conclusions.​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 3 – TODAY’S “WAVE (TSUNAMI [?] / RIPPLE [?])” CHARTS

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Today’s charts are based on Worldometer data as of ~1400 GMT on the day of posting)
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The rolling "7 Day Average" death rate (2,605 today) is down from the 3,312 that it was last 30 JAN. Will Mr. Biden be able to match Mr. Trump’s high of 3,531? After all Mr. Trump issued an EO to make it "vanish in a couple of weeks” (mind you, he didn’t specify WHICH "couple of weeks").

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The rolling "10 Day Average of the 7 Day Averages" - which gives a much "cleaner" charting - death rate (2,588.5) is below the 3,586.5 that it was last 30 JAN. When the official word was that “COVID-19 isn’t anything to worry about”.

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The daily average of new cases for the past 30 days is 664,132, for the past 10 days it is 567,277, and for the past five days it is 504,486. Has the US peaked?

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Yesterday, the US, with around 4.24% of the world’s population accounted for about 20.20% of the world’s covid-19 cases. This is approximately 4.76 times its proportionate share which results in a grade of “F”.

The indicators point to an increasing incidence and a decreasing mortality – UNLESS you live in a “ROAN” state in which case the second half doesn’t appear to apply.

Will people continue to stupidly ignore recommended safety measures and/or dying to prove their loyalty to Donald Trump {BBHN}? It “Trump” merchandise made in China?

Draw your own conclusions from the charts and the facts NOT from the latest version of the currently operative, “officially” sanctioned, "Team SpreDispare" approved, CT-News issued, “truth-of-the-day” as delivered by the “Claque Failed Casino Operator” people, OnAN, or FOX News (or “The Reliable Unimpeachable Magnificently Perceptive News” as it is sometimes known).​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 4A – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS

IN TABLES

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HOW IS YOUR STATE DOING?

All base data is from Worldometer as of ~1400 GMT on the date of posting.
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NOTE – 1

The Alabama, California, District of Columbia, Hawai’i, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Texas, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin data for recovered cases is out of date and there is no newer data available. Washington stopped reporting fully last week. The “Mortality Rate (Closed)” and “Recovered Rate” for those states are HIGHLY unreliable AND with only 56.86% (the average of the last three days) of the reports that should have been received actually being received that means that the US numbers are also HIGHLY unreliable.
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NOTE – 2

In addition to the above EIGHTEEN states, some other states (21 today) don’t report the number of "Recovered" regularly.
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NOTE – 3

Neither Maryland’s nor Rhode Island’s “Recovered” and “Mortality Rate (Closed)” make any sense – however the sizes of the populations of those two states means that this doesn’t appear to have any significant effect on the whole of the US data – but I could be wrong.
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NOTE – 4

Taking the above into consideration, you should consider that the US “Mortality Rate (Closed)” is more than somewhat “iffy” – and may well be lower (or higher) than the available data indicates.
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NOTE – 5

The data presented respecting "Right Of American Neutral States", “Mostly Occupying American Neutral States” and "Left Of American Neutral States" is NOT to be taken as indicating that "'State X' is doing 'Y' because it is a '_[fill in the blank]_ State'. The tables and graphs show correlation ONLY, and NOT causation. The entirety of American political discourse is inextricably bound to a "My States" (read as “The REAL Americans”) vs. "Their States" (read as “The Destroyers of America”) dichotomy (or trichotomy if you prefer) and to ignore that fact is silly. To insist that that fact MUST be ignored simply because of the fact that you don't like it that a state is identified as being BOTH a "_[fill in the blank]_ State" and also producing data that you don't want to hear is even sillier.
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NOTE – 6

The states have been ranked as to how far they vary from “The American Neutral” [which would be exactly 50% “Republican” (whatever that means) and 50% “Democrat” (whatever that means)] using the actual vote totals from the last Presidential, Senatorial, (Federal) Representative, and Gubernatorial elections plus the actual seat counts in the several states upper and lower chambers. The color coding indicates the relative position of the grouping to which each state belongs.

Since blue is the traditional colour for “Conservative” and since all of the major American political parties rank as “Conservative” on the international scale, only various shades of blue are used.

If you don’t like that method, please provide some detailed (show your working) alternative method and I will consider it. Absent the production of such a detailed (show your working) proposal, you are just whining and will be ignored.​

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And then sorted by “Cases per Million” only:

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And then sorted by “Deaths per Million” only:

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Those are OK if you want to look up specific numbers, but, because they are “single data point” tables, they don’t actually show you what is happening over time. For that, see the next block.​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 4B – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS
IN CHARTS

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HOW ARE THE "MY" AND "THEIR" STATES DOING?

All base data is from Worldometer as of ~1400 GMT on the date of posting.
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The states have been ranked as to how far they vary from “The American Neutral” [which would be exactly 50% “Republican” (whatever that means) and 50% “Democrat” (whatever that means)] using the actual vote totals from the last Presidential, Senatorial, (Federal) Representative, and Gubernatorial elections plus the actual seat counts in the several states upper and lower chambers. The color coding indicates the relative position of the grouping to which each state belongs.

Since blue is the traditional colour for “Conservative” and since all of the major American political parties rank as “Conservative” on the international scale, only various shades of blue are used.

The new indicators in the Percentages column show how far (and in which direction) the aggregated states are from their statistical norm. For example, a X.xx% indicates that they are X.xx% away from the norm and on the "Good" side while a Y.yy% indicates that they are Y.yy% away from the norm and on the "Bad" side. NOTE - This is a PERCENTAGE difference and so a "30" in one column with a "40" in the population column will be "25%" and not "10%".

The “MOAN” and “ROAN” states are WORSE than their respective percentage of the population for shares for cases and deaths - the “LOAN” states are better.

Now ask yourself these questions:

(If a group of states has both its percentage of national cases and percentage of national deaths LOWER than its percentage of national population, would you say that that group of states is doing ___ better or ____ worse than the national average?)

(If a group of states has both its percentage of national cases and percentage of national deaths HIGHER than its percentage of national population, would you say that that group of states is doing ___ better or ____ worse than the national average?)​

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The situation with respect to both “Cases per Million” and “Deaths per Million” is NOT “happy making”. In fact, NO STATE has a “Cases per Million” or “Deaths per Million” rate that is lower than the world average and the only reason why the US position isn’t significantly worse than it is is that the IMPROVEMENT in the “LOAN” state data is partially offsetting the DETERIORATION in the “ROAN” state data.

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As far as “Deaths per Million” goes, the results can be slightly confusing since some of the very small states have very low numbers of deaths but a high “Deaths per Million” rate.

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[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 5 – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS
Mortality Measurements

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All base data is from Worldometer as of ~1400 GMT on the date of posting.
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NOTE – 1

Several states have (apparently) updated their recovered cases and that has caused a significant shift in the “Mortality Rate (Closed)” numbers. Of course, other states are still not reporting new recovered cases on a regular basis (or at all). You cannot work with “the numbers” if people don’t tell you what “the numbers” are.
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NOTE – 2

The data presented respecting "Right Of American Neutral States", “Mostly Occupying American Neutral States” and "Left Of American Neutral States" is NOT to be taken as indicating that "'State X' is doing 'Y' because it is a '_[fill in the blank]_ State'. The tables and graphs show correlation ONLY, and NOT causation. The entirety of American political discourse is inextricably bound to a "My States" vs. "Their States" dichotomy (or trichotomy if you prefer) and to ignore that fact is silly. To insist that that fact MUST be ignored simply because a state is identified as being BOTH a "_[fill in the blank]_ State" and also producing data that you don't want to hear about is even sillier.
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NOTE – 3

The states have been ranked as to how far they vary from “The American Neutral” [which would be exactly 50% “Republican” (whatever that means) and 50% “Democrat” (whatever that means)] using the actual vote totals from the last Presidential, Senatorial, (Federal) Representative, and Gubernatorial elections plus the actual seat counts in the several states upper and lower chambers. The color coding indicates the relative position of the grouping to which each state belongs.

Since blue is the traditional colour for “Conservative” and since all of the major American political parties rank as “Conservative” on the international scale, only various shades of blue are used.

If you don’t like that method, please provide some detailed (show your working) alternative method and I will consider it. Absent the production of such a detailed (show your working) proposal, you are just whining and will be ignored.
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The “Mortality Index” continues to hover. That indicates that the number of deaths and the number of tests are both increasing at a proportional rate, so you cannot blame the increase in deaths on the increase in tests. However it does look like the "Mortality Index" is starting to dip that's a good sign. My suspicion is that the reason why the “Mortality Index” is not falling is that the emphasis has changed from reconnaissance (testing) to combat (vaccination).

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In table format, here is how the individual states are doing. While the "ROAN States" continue to dominate the list of states with lower mortality rates, they also have more cases. "What you gain on the swing, you lose on the roundabout."

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[If you can believe that

Washington (with the fifth lowest “Deaths per Million” in the country) has an approximate recovery rate of ~32%;
Hawai'i (with the lowest “Deaths per Million” in the country) has an approximate recovery rate of ~7%;
Maine (with the fourth lowest “Deaths per Million” in the country) has an approximate recovery rate of ~8%;
Virginia (with the eleventh “Deaths per Million” in the country) has an approximate recovery rate of ~4%;
and
Maryland (with the sixteenth lowest “Deaths per Million” in the country) has an approximate recovery rate of ~1%;
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then please contact me by PM because I have several really primo *T*R*U*M*P* ski lodge condos on Mercury (the hottest resort property in the Solar System) for sale at really good prices.]

And to give an overview of how states are doing here is that data reduced to a graph. NOTE - The only explanation that I can think of for the rather precipitous drop in the "LOAN" state number on 17 JUN 21 is that several states appear to have (finally) updated their "recovered" numbers. The Mortality Rate for the "LOAN" states now appears to make sense.

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[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 6 – THE “TOP 25”s

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Of the 25 countries with the highest number of TOTAL cases, the US, with around 9.39% of the total population of the group, has around 18.77% of the total cases for the group. This is roughly 2.00 times its proportional share and earns a “D“.

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Of the 25 countries with the highest number of currently ACTIVE cases, the US, with around 9.39% of the total population of the group, has around 59.55% of the total cases for the group. This is roughly 6.34 times its proportional share and earns an “F- -)” (young Sammy dropped BELOW an “F - - -” two times last week and was suspended for two days. His parents have been notified that he is going to be expelled unless he cleans up his act..

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Extracted from Worldometer, here is the list of the 25 countries with the highest number of COVID-19 “Deaths per Million”. The US [#18] (up[?] from #19 last week) is doing 2.50% better than Poland and just 0.29% worse than Armenia.

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That table shows that those people who are panic mongering and claiming that the US has the world’s highest COVID-19 death rate either simply don’t know what they are talking about or are deliberately attempting to spread false information.

<SARC>Since there are 17 COUNTRIES that have a HIGHER “DEATHS per MILLION” rate than the US does, that means (according to the Florida OFFICE OF THE Former PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA [and its authorized representatives – ROOMS TO RENT – contact “Donnie” at 1-900-968-3658]) that the US is doing better than any other country and that that is all due to the inspired leadership of Donald John Trump {BBHN}.

As everyone knows, almost all of the countries with higher “Deaths per Million” counts than the US has have those so-called “Universal Healthcare Insurance” programs and that is definitive proof that those so-called “Universal Healthcare Insurance” programs are ineffective and result in the deaths of millions because of their reliance on Death Panels to ration healthcare (unlike the US where you get all the healthcare that you can pay for out of your own pocket [at rates determined by totally unbiased actuaries and CFOs {solely concerned with maximizing profit <AND who already have really great healthcare insurance plans as part of their employment>}]) </SARC>.​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 7 – US States DATA and CORRELATIONS
Mortality Measurements

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The fact that the total number of US deaths continues to rise isn’t going to surprise anyone other than Dr. Mashmont who jusknowz that the ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM number of COVID-19 deaths peaked out at 10,300 and that there hasn’t been a single COVID-19 death in the US since April 4, 2020.

The "Mashmont Theory" appears to be that the world's medical community and every other government in the world are all lying about the impact of COVID-19 on the people of the world AND that they are doing so specifically to make God, Mr. Trump, and **D*O*C*T*O*R** Mashmont (not necessarily in that order) look bad.

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Updated to the past 24 hours, the US (with approximately 4.24% of the world’s population) has had approximately 20.20% of the world’s COVID-19 cases. That is a disparity of 4.76 :: 1 (which is an “F”). It also has 15.97% of the world’s COVID-19 deaths, which is a disparity of 3.77 :: 1 (which is an “E-“).

A more easily grasped illustration <SARC>(with almost all of those confusing numbers removed [and brightly colored] so that even the innumerate followers of **D*O*C*T*O*R** Mashmont can follow it) </SARC> of what the "Daily Death Rate" (using the Friday numbers [and those since the last weekly update] for simplicity) is doing in the US is

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The US rate IS going back up due to the fact that “Claque Failed Casino Operator” convinced a whole lot of people that they didn’t need to get vaccinated because [1] everyone else was doing is so they didn’t have to and [2] there was no reason to fear the spread of COVID-19 because everyone was getting vaccinated and it really wasn’t all that serious (if it existed at all). That increase WILL resume if "Claque Failed Casino Operator" is successful in its campaign to ensure that the current administration does not succeed in bringing the US out of the current situation (a campaign which they are waging REGARDLESS of the actual effects on the American people because the ONLY thing that "Claque Failed Casino Operator" is concerned with is ensuring that it rules America).

(Doesn’t it suck that I have more faith in the US and [most of] its people [and wish them both more good fortune] than the members of “Claque Failed Casino Operator” do?)

When only the “Top 25” countries are looked at, then the US with around 9.39% of the total population, has around 18.48% of the “Total Deaths”, which is a letter grade of “D”.

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[TU Curmudgeon]

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BLOCK 8 – VACCINATIONS

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The US is still in the #8 position (at 79.89% of the UK [#4], 79.74% of Canada [#3], 78.17% of China [#2], and 76.71% of Italy [#1] with respect to the “Number of vaccinations per capita”. Canada, with only 82.65% of the population over 5 years old fully vaccinated, still has a way to go).

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The US (the only country that Pfizer has not reduced deliveries to) is still #2 with respect to total vaccinations.

However the US (still in the #7 position – behind the UK, France, Japan, Italy, Canada, and China has vaccinated around 75.21% of its population (at least with one shot). China last reported (on 28 JAN 22) vaccinating around 87.70%.

The US (still in 8th place – behind the UK, Germany, France, Italy, Canada, Japan, and China) has completely vaccinated around 63.71% of its population.

On balance, the US administrations (Federal and State) are still (considering the intransigence of some segments of the American population [and the actual efforts to sabotage it by others]) doing a pretty good job (as opposed to the “one heckuva job” they were doing prior to 20 JAN 21) as the US “Mortality Rate (Closed)” is now a mere 161.14% of the Canadian rate. As long as the US doesn’t run out of people willing to be vaccinated it should be in good shape (however it is now pretty obvious that the US IS running out of people willing to get vaccinated).

"Claque Failed Casino Operator" is demanding that the current (illegal) so-called "administration" **D*O** **S*O*M*E*T*H*I*N*G** about this "terrible failure" (PROVIDED that that “something” doesn’t include vaccinations or quarantines or anything else that inconveniences them in the slightest).

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For DAILY per capita vaccinations, Italy has held onto the #1 slot. The US (at 30.00% of France [#4], 27.27% of Germany [#3], 19.67% of Canada [#2]and 14.46% of Italy [#1] rates) is well back and “off the podium” [at #9].

​

The situation APPEARS to be that it isn't so much other countries increasing their rates of vaccination (although they are doing that as well [Canada has given 88.89% of its population over 5 years old at least one shot and fully vaccinated 82.65% where as the US numbers FOR 5+ are uncertain as some states do not report this metric]) as it is that the US (which has LOTS of vaccine and LOTS of places where you can get vaccinated) is simply running out of people who are willing to get vaccinated. The people who aren't getting vaccinated appear to be working on the assumption that they will never encounter another non-vaccinated person and so there will be no chance of them contracting COVID-19. In gambler's terms, that's like betting, repeatedly, everything you own on something where the odds are 3.5 to 1 in your favour but the payout is only 1 for 1,000,000. If you don't understand that, what it means is that you will "win" a whole lot of the time, but you only have to lose once in order to be busted.

These disparities MAY increase as other countries find sources of supply that are not American owned and/or devoting almost all of their production to the US (which has already contracted for more vaccine than is required to vaccinate every single person in the United States of America IF the US does what it says and donates the surplus vaccine it has purchased to countries which couldn’t get enough because the US was buying it all up.​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

***********************************************

BLOCK 9 – IMMUNIZATION LEVELS
(and other stuff)

***********************************************
​

The US is still at SEVENTH (at 93.53% of the Japanese [#4], 90.62% of the Italian [#3], 88.57% of the Canadian [#2], and 85.75 of the Chinese [#1] {28 JAN 22} levels) for the share of its population that has received a single dose of COVID-19 vaccine.

​

When it comes to providing full vaccination, the US [#8] is doing slightly worse. The US has fully vaccinated 83.33%as much of its population as much as Italy [#4], 80.48% as much as Canada [#3], 80.28% as much as Japan [#2], and 74.71% as much as China [#1] {28 JAN 22 data} BUT simply trounces Russia by having 1.33 times as much of its population fully vaccinated. (The US IS still looking over the wrong shoulder – while the American people bicker over the colour of the artificial surface of the track!)

​

The disparity between the “One Shot” and “Full Shot” rates can possibly be explained by the fact that the US had a “lock” on the vaccines that only required a single dose to be effective (and would not license them for production outside of the US) while other countries were forced to rely on vaccines that required two doses for full effectiveness AND because the US concentrated on “Full Vaccination” rather than “Maximum Vaccination” – but that’s just an EWAG.

=================================================================================================================
​

Here is the latest data comparing the several states vaccination rates with their “LOAN”, “MOAN”, and “ROAN” status. The data on vaccination rates comes from the CDC website’s COVID Tracker (digging down two levels). See the “General Notes” and the notes for other blocks to see how “LOAN”, “MOAN”, and “ROAN” status is determined.

If you see a relationship between "tending to the (American) left" and "likely to be vaccinated" or between "tending to the (American) right" and "likely not to be vaccinated", there isn't much I can do about that (but I would suspect that you could count past 20 [in public] without getting arrested). Of course, if you don't then there isn't much that I can do about that either.

RED numbers indicate values that are 5+% WORSE than the national average.
BLUE numbers indicate values that are within ±5% of the national average.
GREEN numbers indicate values that are 5+% BETTER than the national average.


​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

***********************************************

BLOCK 10 – COVID-19 “BURDEN”
(and other stuff)

***********************************************
​

Since dead people do not require any medical supplies, medical personnel, medical facilities, or vaccinations, they really are not (crass and heartless as it sounds) a “burden” in any logistical sense.

That means that, when you consider ONLY the living, the following picture with regard to the “Top 20” plus the “G-8+China” group emerges.

​

As you can see, France (#10) ( with almost 20% MORE of a “COVID burden” than the US) and the US (#13) are in the “Top 25”. The average “COVID Burden” for the “G-8+China” countries is 41.15% of the US rate and EXCEPT for the US and China it is 38.62% of the US rate.

The daily vaccination rate in the US is now being reported in sections so yesterday’s numbers aren’t available yet. The latest that I have is for 28 JAN 22 and then the US rate was down (by about 45.06%) from the 20 JAN 21 rate and was (adjusted for population size) 44.20% of the Chinese rate.

"Claque Failed Casino Operator" (while still refusing to get vaccinated to ensure that sufficient Americans die and the current administration fails in its efforts to combat COVID-19) is still gloating its infantile

"Therelyin’ an Bidenzfailin’
- toljaso -

Therelyin’ an Bidenzfailin’
- TOLJASO -

Therelyin’ an Peopleardyin an Bidenzfailin’
- Hooray -

Therelyyin’ an Peopleardyyin’ an Bidenzfaailin’,
- HOORAY -
Therelyyyyin’ an Peopleardyyyyin’ an Bidenzfaaaailin’,
HOORAY!!!!
HOORAY!!!!
HOORAY!!!!
​

mantra to accompany their sniveling

“<WHINY VOICE>Idza lyin’hoxe an EvrewunELSE bedderged vaxinated so I kin gotothuh Wurld Champeenship WetTeShirt Allstar NASCAR Dancin' wid Aprendis Survivers uv thuh Grade Amerucun Monsder TruckanTracder Demulishun Derby BBQ & Beer Celebration paaarrrrddeeeee like I godda KONSDITUSHUNUL ritetado.</WHINY VOICE>”.
​

It appears that there are a large number of people who are taking the position “I won’t get vaccinated because I don’t have to get vaccinated, because everyone else is getting vaccinated, so I don’t need to get vaccinated.” and, for some reason, they don’t appear to quite understand the logical fallacy involved.

​

The US (75,481,122 cases [4,086,543 new in the past week], 906,861 deaths [19,218 new in the past week], and 225,950 C/M [up 12,206 from last week]) still beats Croatia and is NOW DOWN to being ONLY the 33rd worst performer on the "Cases per Million" list. No one from “Claque Failed Casino Operator” was available for comment this week as they were all attending the “How To Profit From Bankruptcy Through Gerrymandering, Voter Suppression, Stupid Law Suits, Ridiculous Lies, and Other Really Neat Ways to Destroy an Electoral System So That You Always Win” symposium sponsored by the International League of Isolationist Nations – not even off the record.

EVERY country that the US IS doing better than is “Socialist” and has those so-called “Universal Healthcare Programs”), thus proving the superiority of NOT having a “Universal Healthcare Program) – right?

​

You might have noticed from that last table how, sometimes, measures that LOOK like they make sense for comparison purposes don't quite actually do so.​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

***********************************************

BLOCK 11 – ODDS AND SODS
(and other stuff)

***********************************************
​

Comparing “chance of death” (a combination of “chance of infection” and “mortality rate) to “ability to pay” (PPP GDP per capita) and “previous support for healthcare system” (per capita spending on health care), the data is indicative that the US could have done considerably better than it actually did.

Italy is well back into the ±5% of the US on “raw deaths” AND, if this trend continues, the EVERY other country/area in this grouping will be doing 10+% better than the US on EVERY metric within about 10 days.

​

Is there some “HUMOUNGOUSLY HUGE JUMP” in the US death and infection rates?

Doesn’t look like it from here.

Is the current administration REALLY doing as badly as the out gone administration?

Well, everyone knows how well the Trump Administration dealt with COVID-19 so I’m not going to repeat that graph, but this what the COVID-19 situation looked like AFTER Mr. Trump was no longer the President of the United States of America

​

The trend lines for the two administrations are almost identical except for one thing – one goes up (indicating a worsening condition) and one goes down (indicating an improving condition). Independent laboratory testing has shown that 99.94% of the members of “Claque Failed Casino Operator” were unable to identify which graph had the trend line that was going up (and indicating a worsening condition). Can you guess which graph it is that indicates a worsening condition and which indicated an improving condition

PS – For those who are following along, the number of US COVID-19 deaths is 87.198 “Mashmont-D”s and the number of US COVID-19 cases is 580.624 “Mashmont-C”s. That puts *D*O*C*T*O*R* Mashmont’s average accuracy at an absolutely astonishing 659.522 M%.

[A “Mashmont-D” is equal to 10,400, a “Mashmont-C” is equal to 130,000 and an “M%” is equal to .001%.]

While the daily “New Cases” rate has been zooming, the daily “New Deaths” rate has been dropping and when you compare the (14 day) subsequent deaths to the number of new cases this is what you get is that the curve is now at the lowest point it has ever been.

This appears to be due to the fact that the latest version of COVID-19 is [1] more infectious than previous versions, and [2] less serious than previous versions.

NOTE
​

If you have noticed slight changes in the numbers between “Block 1” and the end of the weekly summary (and there SOMETIMES are changes) that is because both Worldometers and Ourworldindata are constantly updating their tables & charts so the numbers that they report later in the day (read as “for the later blocks”) can have increased. The amount of effort required to INCREASE the numbers in the earlier blocks by the small amount of change in the four plus hours it takes to do the weekly update so that they are consistent with the later blocks interferes with my caffeine intake – so don’t expect me to do it UNLESS you pay me, of course.​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

***********************************************

BLOCK 11 – STRESS RELIEVERS
(and other stuff)

***********************************************
​

Now that I've got you all stressed out by providing facts, here are a few graphics to take the edge off.

​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

Today's
QUIK-EE-REVU®

31 JAN 22

<SARC>
WELCOME TO McCOVID’s – OVER 75,000,000 SERVED
The McCOVID’s BIG ‘LXXVI contest is now on.
!!! HURRY – GET YOUR tickets NOW !!!
and
!!!! Avoid the rush !!!!

CONSERVATIVES
!*! REMAIN VIGILANT !*!
(or the bogyman will get you)
</SARC>

***************************************************************
​

America’s performance against COVID-19 relative to the other “G-8+China” group remains consistent (which is like saying “The Cubs have the same chance of winning the pennant this year as they had last year.”).

​

There has been no substantial change to the vaccination status of the several states BUT the “LOAN” states may move into the 80% “GREEN” zone and the “ROAN” states might move into the 8.0% “GREEN” zone next week – so that means that they are doing exactly the same – right?.

BUT the seven day average deaths IS inching upwards again - "You can always tell a Trumpist, but you can't tell him .... ." – right?

There is a two week lag between infection and death and that pattern looks hopeful.

​

What appears to be happening is that the substantial increase in cases is being accompanied by a substantial decrease in severity of cases.

The US daily vaccination rate for 29 JAN 22 was 56.29% of the 20 JAN 21 rate and, adjusted for population size, was 45.19% of the Chinese rate. Full 30 JAN 22 data is not available at the time of posting.

While it is true that if the US had followed “The Swedish Way” (which meant actually getting vaccinated – so THAT wasn’t going to happen) that would have saved around 389,130 lives, what the members of “Claque Failed Casino Operator” are actually saying is:

“I’m OK with an additional 223,791 MORE Americans dying (a total of 612,921) by going the ‘Swedish Way’ instead of ‘The Canadian Way.’”.
and
“I’m OK with an additional 468,292 MORE Americans dying (a total of 857,421) by going the ‘Swedish Way’ instead of ‘The Japanese Way’.”.
– “But them Kanookz, Japz an Sweedz are geddin vaxxuhnaded and I’m not gonna do that.” –
​

Of the “G-8+China” countries, ONLY France [#10] and the US [#13] remain in the “Top 25” for “COVID-19 Burden” – Sweden [#21] is also in that “Top 25”.

HOWEVER, on the “brighter(?)” side,

[1] Only 12 of 102 state vaccination rates are under 55%. *D*O*C*T*O*R* Mashmont says that means that [102 – 12 =] 90% have been fully vaccinated and COVID-19 doesn’t exist any more (if it ever did).

[2] “The Red Team” is pushing strongly and gearing up to meet its NEW “1,000,000 Dead by Valentine’s’” goal.

​

AND

[3] the US

(a) is doing 2.50% better than Poland (but 0.22% worse than Armenia) and is ONLY the 18th worst country with respect to “Deaths per Million”;

(b) at #18 is still higher up on the list than Italy which is still hanging on to the #25 spot on that list;

(c) with “the world’s best healthcare system(?)” is doing much better than the 32 countries that have a commie “universal healthcare system” that are doing worse than it is and is doing a massive 1.90% better than Croatia (and only 0.75% worse than Curaçao )

(<SARC>So who says that the US healthcare system isn’t competitive with that of the other “powerhouse” nations?</SARC>);

(d) mortality rate (which at 161.10% of the Canadian one) shows that (according to “Mashmontian Math”) the US is doing almost 3 times BETTER than Canada [because 1.6110 is closer to 3 than it is to 0]);

and

(e) number of daily deaths continues to (allowing for the cyclic pattern arising from the fact that a lot of people in a lot of states don't think that what happens on the weekends is worth bothering to report as it happens) improve.
​

– FULLER REPORTS ON SATURDAYS –​

 

[TU Curmudgeon]

Well, it finally happened. My data base crashed totally and I'll have to rebuild it. I have no idea how long that is going to take but when I have finished it I'll be starting a new thread "Daily Statistical Summary of COVID-19 NEW Thread".

Hopefully I'll be back to reporting and not code pounding soon.

TU C