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Coral Reef recovering rapidly

Ok. Since you don’t know, I’m going to go with the people who DO know- which is what I originally posted.



Less heat stress means lower temperatures, unless it means something else in your world.

Well, no, you have assumed it means less heat. Your own quoted source can't differentiate the change between "a few acute stresses" and "less accumulated heat", nor does your quote quantify the number.

Here are all of the anomaly maps for December-February, the warmest months for the GBR:


So we have one SH Summer where the temperatures were cooler than average, 2018-2019, and then the warmer than average returned. That period after the 1 year respite, while the region was warmer than average, was when the recovery happened.

In fact, that summer of cooler than average temperatures resulted in a loss of coral that year.

So again this is an issue where the hand waved "a few other acute stresses" is the hidden lead in the GBR recovery story.
 
Well, no, you have assumed it means less heat. Your own quoted source can't differentiate the change between "a few acute stresses" and "less accumulated heat", nor does your quote quantify the number.

Here are all of the anomaly maps for December-February, the warmest months for the GBR:


So we have one SH Summer where the temperatures were cooler than average, 2018-2019, and then the warmer than average returned. That period after the 1 year respite, while the region was warmer than average, was when the recovery happened.

In fact, that summer of cooler than average temperatures resulted in a loss of coral that year.

So again this is an issue where the hand waved "a few other acute stresses" is the hidden lead in the GBR recovery story.
Thanks for confirming you dont know.

Again, as posted, the combination of less heat and no typhoons along with less starfish (who like warmer water) is why we have some recovery.

And why its likely just a blip.
 
Don’t get analogies, do ya?

Figures, though.
It was really a simple question,
Can you show and link to a similar graph for the area of the Great Barrier Reef?
Showing a graph of sea ice coverage, is not relevant, or a good analogy to the condition of a reef in tropical waters.
 
It was really a simple question,
Can you show and link to a similar graph for the area of the Great Barrier Reef?
Showing a graph of sea ice coverage, is not relevant, or a good analogy to the condition of a reef in tropical waters.
LOL.

you’re real sharp.
 
That is excellent news! It's just another great example of how when we stop poisoning and destroying our environment, it often has the ability to recover in time.
While it is indeed good news, it is not because of anything humans have done or didn't do. We are still killing coral with our pollution. That has not changed.
 
If I remember correctly Dr Peter Ridd was fired from James Cook University because he questioned
if the bleaching was because of water temperature, or because an El Nino event had exposed large sections of the
reef to air.
Both would result in coral bleaching. As well as the toxic run-off that we contribute after every storm.
 
In either case, the cause would be anthropogenic.


Not entirely. While humans have certainly contributed with our pollution, the majority of the coral bleaching is a result of either extreme temperature changes of the water (too hot or too cold for the algae), or by being exposed to the air during extreme low tides.
 
Both would result in coral bleaching. As well as the toxic run-off that we contribute after every storm.
Agreed, Ridd speculated that because the areas with the most bleaching were the shallow coral,
that some of the bleaching may have been related to a loss of sea level during the El-Nino event,
that moved water away from the reef, and towards the central Pacific.
Air exposure would be very bad for Coral.
 
Agreed, Ridd speculated that because the areas with the most bleaching were the shallow coral,
that some of the bleaching may have been related to a loss of sea level during the El-Nino event,
that moved water away from the reef, and towards the central Pacific.
Air exposure would be very bad for Coral.
That does not make sense. During El Nino events sea temperatures increase, which would result in increasing tides due to the thermal expansion of the water, particularly around the equator, not a reduction in the tides. During La Nina events when sea temperatures decrease, then it makes more sense for tides to be lower and possibly expose the coral.

During both El Nino and La Nina events the temperature of the water can change enough - either way - to kill the algae in the polyps and cause bleaching.
 
That does not make sense. During El Nino events sea temperatures increase, which would result in increasing tides due to the thermal expansion of the water, particularly around the equator, not a reduction in the tides. During La Nina events when sea temperatures decrease, then it makes more sense for tides to be lower and possibly expose the coral.

During both El Nino and La Nina events the temperature of the water can change enough - either way - to kill the algae in the polyps and cause bleaching.
The El Nino is a bulge of water in the central Pacific, collecting the water there supposedly lowers it elsewhere.
 
The El Nino is a bulge of water in the central Pacific, collecting the water there supposedly lowers it elsewhere.
It is a bulge of water caused by heat and a planet that is rotating at ~1,000 mph. It does not lower the tides anywhere, but rather increases the tides everywhere due to thermal expansion. During La Nina events, when sea temperatures drop, then the tides will decrease accordingly.
 
Thanks for confirming you dont know.

Again, as posted, the combination of less heat and no typhoons along with less starfish (who like warmer water) is why we have some recovery.

And why its likely just a blip.

The records shows that there is significant warming in the northern and central Great Barrier reef zones, and the southern zone is generally the coolest of the three zones, which stands to reason since the Southern zone is roughly 2000 km closer to the pole... or roughly the distance between Nags Head NC and Smooth Rock Falls, Ontario.

The problem with your argument above is that the zone you want to claim is cooling is, per the AIMS study, also the zone with an ongoing COTS infestation... so are you wrong about what COTS like, or the cooling? :unsure:

(Hint: COTS infestations are tied to algae blooms from farm fertilizer run off, which has the greatest impact on the middle and northern zones, and is also tied to La Nina events for reasons that, until yesterday, you were unaware)

So you swing and miss again.
 
It is a bulge of water caused by heat and a planet that is rotating at ~1,000 mph. It does not lower the tides anywhere, but rather increases the tides everywhere due to thermal expansion. During La Nina events, when sea temperatures drop, then the tides will decrease accordingly.
The Bulge, from what I have read is a strip in the central Pacific.
NASA El Niño
In a normal year the trade winds blow westward and push warm surface water near Australia and New Guinea.
During an El Niño event the trade winds weaken. Warm, nutrient-poor water is not pushed westward and comes to occupy the entire tropical Pacific Ocean.
Ocean surface height may rise as much as 6 to 13 inches above normal in some ocean regions during an El Niño.
Think of it like this, in normal conditions there is a LONG fetch piling water up in the Western Pacific.
When the Winds lay down during an El Nino event, the wind blown tide is no longer pushed against Australia,
so they tides are lower, both high and low tide.
 
(Hint: COTS infestations are tied to algae blooms from farm fertilizer run off, which has the greatest impact on the middle and northern zones, and is also tied to La Nina events for reasons that, until yesterday, you were unaware)
The toxic runoff in California is so bad that you cannot swim in the ocean within 72 hours after any storm, or you risk serious chemical burns. You have to go several miles out to sea before you find any fish. They are so concerned about the air that they have completely ignored the ocean. The east coast is no different. New York and New Jersey have been using the Atlantic as their landfill for multiple decades.
 
That does not make sense. During El Nino events sea temperatures increase, which would result in increasing tides due to the thermal expansion of the water, particularly around the equator, not a reduction in the tides. During La Nina events when sea temperatures decrease, then it makes more sense for tides to be lower and possibly expose the coral.

During both El Nino and La Nina events the temperature of the water can change enough - either way - to kill the algae in the polyps and cause bleaching.

That is generally a false statement when talking about regional water temperatures.

El Nino events occur when winds blow warmer surface water in the Pacific eastward, the vacating water results in an upwelling of cold deep ocean water in the western Pacific. The End result is that the Eastern Pacific gets warmer as a regional average while the regional average for the western Pacific is colder.

La Nina is exactly the opposite, where winds blowing west push the warm water to the western Pacific, causing an upwelling of cold water off the coast of South America, cooling the average regional temperature of the Eastern Pacific.

The overall impact on the global SST is mostly driven by how cold the upwelling water actually is.

Either way, the predominant effect of El Nino and La Nina is in the Eastern and Western Pacific, though the events have global effects that follow from those changes in regional Pacific temperatures... like La Nina warming off the coast of Australia leading to heavy rains in Australia.
 
The Bulge, from what I have read is a strip in the central Pacific.
NASA El Niño



Think of it like this, in normal conditions there is a LONG fetch piling water up in the Western Pacific.
When the Winds lay down during an El Nino event, the wind blown tide is no longer pushed against Australia,
so they tides are lower, both high and low tide.
Warmer water temperatures do have fewer nutrients than colder water temperatures. That doesn't change physics however. Warmer water expands, colder water contracts. On a spinning sphere water is always going to move away from the poles and towards the equator (Coriolis force). The more water you have, the more will amass around the equator. This is why there is a bulge of water on the surface of the Pacific around the equator during El Nino events. Thermal expansion will cause the water to increase in volume, and therefore occupy more space by increasing the tides. While La Nina events result in exactly the opposite effect.
 
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The toxic runoff in California is so bad that you cannot swim in the ocean within 72 hours after any storm, or you risk serious chemical burns. You have to go several miles out to sea before you find any fish. They are so concerned about the air that they have completely ignored the ocean. The east coast is no different. New York and New Jersey have been using the Atlantic as their landfill for multiple decades.

It's bad everywhere. There is a halo of trash floating off the coast of Brazil where the tides carry copious amounts of trash off of Brazilian beaches before the tide sublimates to the incoming waves. My brother used to work as an engineer on a research ship in that area and would send me pictures. Gross.
 
Warmer water temperatures do have fewer nutrients than colder water temperatures. That doesn't change physics however. Warmer water expands, colder water contracts. On a spinning sphere water is always going to move away from the poles and towards the equator (Coriolis force). The more water you have, the more will amass around the equator. This is why there is a bulge of water on the surface of the Pacific around the equator during El Nino events. Thermal expansion will cause the water to increase in volume, and therefore occupy more space by increasing the tides. While La Nina events result in exactly the opposite effect.
The temperature expansion would not cause the change in levels reported.
I found this PSMSL for Cairns, note the large drop in the annual sea level around 2015-2016, when a major El Nino was happening.
You have to go to the data, but the 2014 annual sea level dropped by 63 mm in 2015.
1660074840577.webp
 
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