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The markets are called to open limit down today after the Fed cut interest rates down to close to zero last night. Such a cut would normally have generated a huge rally in the market but at this time it was a clear sign that the Fed believes things are worse than any of us have considered up to now. As such, the cut put fear again into the hearts of all traders.
It is presently impossible to guess as to where the market will trade down to today but using what is happening to Goldman Sachs (GS) that is due to open around $150 right now and closed on Friday at $177 (down about 16%), it would mean that the DOW will trade below 20,000 today if the index mimics what GS is showing.
Where will all of this stop and when?
That is the $64 million dollar question as everything is being closed worldwide and companies will be losing income across the board. Many companies are likely to g bankrupt because their only option will be to borrow money to stay open but borrowing money will not guarantee any income coming in. What makes it even worse is that people are staying home and not working and in many (if not most) of the cases they will not be getting an income or if getting one, it will be less than what they were making before, meaning that when things begin to get normal, they will not have any "extra" money to buy anything other than absolute needs, meaning that new cars, gifts, trips, going to the movies, going to restaurants, etc. will not be happening and that will extend the economic malaise months after the Corona Virus is heading down and at this time, that is not even an idea of when it will stop. This is only the 2nd inning in a 9 inning game, to give you an example.
The Corona Virus is no longer just a medical issue but has become probably one of the worst economic issues we have ever faced, and at this time no one knows how much worse it can get. The only thing that is known today is that it has caused the DOW to drop close to 33% in just 4 weeks.
By the way, when Trump took office in January 2017, the DOW was trading at 19943 and it seems that is about where it is due to open around there today, meaning that all the economic benefits that Trump brought to then nation will be wiped out. The virus is not Trump's fault but the only thing that Trump can actually be credited for is the economy and that will all be wiped out (if not more). From now on, health is likely to be a bigger and more important issue than economics and health is not an issue that Trump has addressed the past 3 years and will not be addressing in the future. I believe this was a wake up call for everyone that staying alive is more important than making money and that everyone (especially the rich) have to get involved in making our health system the best in the world.
I believe Health Care will be the most important issue for the 2020 election, especially after everyone in the U.S. will likely lose a loved one this year to the Corona Virus.
By the way, this is a good time to point out that Germany has an excellent Health Care system and an excellent President in Merkel. She started preparing for the Corona Virus in December (versus Trump in March) and in Germany they have only had 11 deaths from 5900 cases of the Corona Virus, whereas we have seen 69 deaths from 3800 cases. In Germany, they have had 6 times less death in almost double the amount of cases, meaning that their approach to the virus has been 10 times better than ours and all of that has to be credited to Merkel and their Health Care system.
Anyhow, and back to the market. I have been in the market since 1977 (43 years) and I have never ever seen a scarier economic problem than the one we are facing right now. It is downright chilling.
It is presently impossible to guess as to where the market will trade down to today but using what is happening to Goldman Sachs (GS) that is due to open around $150 right now and closed on Friday at $177 (down about 16%), it would mean that the DOW will trade below 20,000 today if the index mimics what GS is showing.
Where will all of this stop and when?
That is the $64 million dollar question as everything is being closed worldwide and companies will be losing income across the board. Many companies are likely to g bankrupt because their only option will be to borrow money to stay open but borrowing money will not guarantee any income coming in. What makes it even worse is that people are staying home and not working and in many (if not most) of the cases they will not be getting an income or if getting one, it will be less than what they were making before, meaning that when things begin to get normal, they will not have any "extra" money to buy anything other than absolute needs, meaning that new cars, gifts, trips, going to the movies, going to restaurants, etc. will not be happening and that will extend the economic malaise months after the Corona Virus is heading down and at this time, that is not even an idea of when it will stop. This is only the 2nd inning in a 9 inning game, to give you an example.
The Corona Virus is no longer just a medical issue but has become probably one of the worst economic issues we have ever faced, and at this time no one knows how much worse it can get. The only thing that is known today is that it has caused the DOW to drop close to 33% in just 4 weeks.
By the way, when Trump took office in January 2017, the DOW was trading at 19943 and it seems that is about where it is due to open around there today, meaning that all the economic benefits that Trump brought to then nation will be wiped out. The virus is not Trump's fault but the only thing that Trump can actually be credited for is the economy and that will all be wiped out (if not more). From now on, health is likely to be a bigger and more important issue than economics and health is not an issue that Trump has addressed the past 3 years and will not be addressing in the future. I believe this was a wake up call for everyone that staying alive is more important than making money and that everyone (especially the rich) have to get involved in making our health system the best in the world.
I believe Health Care will be the most important issue for the 2020 election, especially after everyone in the U.S. will likely lose a loved one this year to the Corona Virus.
By the way, this is a good time to point out that Germany has an excellent Health Care system and an excellent President in Merkel. She started preparing for the Corona Virus in December (versus Trump in March) and in Germany they have only had 11 deaths from 5900 cases of the Corona Virus, whereas we have seen 69 deaths from 3800 cases. In Germany, they have had 6 times less death in almost double the amount of cases, meaning that their approach to the virus has been 10 times better than ours and all of that has to be credited to Merkel and their Health Care system.
Anyhow, and back to the market. I have been in the market since 1977 (43 years) and I have never ever seen a scarier economic problem than the one we are facing right now. It is downright chilling.
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