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According to an ABC/Washington Post poll released yesterday, Biden is beating Trump nationally by 10 points.
However, when Third Party Candidates Jorgensen (Libertarian Party) and Hawkins (Green Party) are added into the poll options, Biden's lead drops 4 points to +6.
Five Thirty Eight requires that you click on the "More" tab in order to actually see this breakdown.
What could this mean?
All other polls averaged into RCP this week had only two options, Trump or Biden. Both Jorgensen and Hawkins will be on the ballot. Meaning it is very likely that BIden's RCP lead is actually much narrower than it appears.
Which would explain why this same poll shows Trump's approval rating up from 42% to 44%.
And his disapproval numbers down from 57% to 53%.
However, when Third Party Candidates Jorgensen (Libertarian Party) and Hawkins (Green Party) are added into the poll options, Biden's lead drops 4 points to +6.
Five Thirty Eight requires that you click on the "More" tab in order to actually see this breakdown.
President: general election Polls
The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
What could this mean?
All other polls averaged into RCP this week had only two options, Trump or Biden. Both Jorgensen and Hawkins will be on the ballot. Meaning it is very likely that BIden's RCP lead is actually much narrower than it appears.
Which would explain why this same poll shows Trump's approval rating up from 42% to 44%.
And his disapproval numbers down from 57% to 53%.