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From Reuters:
Abbas signs international conventions; Kerry cancels visit | Reuters
That the current round of peace talks almost certainly will end without a meaningful agreement is not surprising. The Palestinians have refused to abandon their demand concerning a "right of return" of Palestinian refugees and their descendants to Israel, a position that precludes the possibility of a peace agreement.
This latest action again illustrates the reality that the Palestinians calculate that they won't be held accountable for the consequences of their actions. That expectation has hindered prospects for a peace agreement. At the same time, the Palestinians expect, if not demand, that Israel put its life on hold for however long it takes before Israel capitulates to Palestinian demands e.g. that concerning a "right of return." The Palestinian side holds to such demands, which makes it impossible to conclude a peace agreement, as no rational nation can accept national suicide as the price for peace. At the same time, even as it maintains unreasonable positions and takes measures that contradict the terms to which it agreed, it expects that Israel be bound by terms it never accepted e.g., not expand settlements even as Israel disputes the Palestinian narrative.
As noted in the past, I believe the talks should have focused on reaching a narrower interim agreement in which each side yielded on some substance or gave "something for something." Palestinian agreement that the settlement of Palestinian refugees and their descendants in a new Palestinian state would satisfy their goal of a "right of return" in exchange for Israel agreeing on yielding a guaranteed share of the West Bank would have been reasonable. That formula could then have laid the ground work for laying out details of borders, land swaps, etc., for the next interim agreement. As each issue was resolved and the parties fulfilled the agreed terms, a new narrative of cooperation and trust could have evolved, making it possible to reach a final settlement, much as happened between Israel and Egypt.
Unfortunately, the focus of the talks was far too ambitious. At the same time, yet again the Palestinians decided to take a step that violated the terms that they had accepted. Going forward, if Israel decides to break ground on expansion beyond natural growth of existing settlements (approvals are theoretical and do not have to be implemented; breaking ground and launching construction is not theoretical), the Palestinians will complain, but given their own actions won't be in a strong position.
Hopefully, Israel will take a measured response and hold off on launching construction of new settlements, at least for a time. Construction in the boundaries of existing settlements would not be unreasonable and it would bring home the reality to a Palestinian leadership that seems detached from reality that actions have costs. In this case, the Palestinian failure to be flexible in the negotiations and its ignoring its own stated commitments results in developments that could make it more difficult for Israel to remove some of the settlements beyond the blocs envisioned to be retained in any peace agreement. Perhaps if the Palestinian leadership is not insulated from the costs of its bad decisions, it will begin to develop a capacity for take a more practical approach. That's still not a high probability given the current context, but that probability would be higher than would otherwise be the case were it again held largely immune from the consequences of its choices.
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas signed more than a dozen international conventions on Tuesday, citing anger at Israel's delay of a prisoner release in a decision that jeopardized U.S. efforts to salvage fragile peace talks...
Abbas had pledged not to seek to join world bodies during the U.S.-brokered negotiations, which are scheduled to run until the end of April and have made little apparent headway so far.
Abbas signs international conventions; Kerry cancels visit | Reuters
That the current round of peace talks almost certainly will end without a meaningful agreement is not surprising. The Palestinians have refused to abandon their demand concerning a "right of return" of Palestinian refugees and their descendants to Israel, a position that precludes the possibility of a peace agreement.
This latest action again illustrates the reality that the Palestinians calculate that they won't be held accountable for the consequences of their actions. That expectation has hindered prospects for a peace agreement. At the same time, the Palestinians expect, if not demand, that Israel put its life on hold for however long it takes before Israel capitulates to Palestinian demands e.g. that concerning a "right of return." The Palestinian side holds to such demands, which makes it impossible to conclude a peace agreement, as no rational nation can accept national suicide as the price for peace. At the same time, even as it maintains unreasonable positions and takes measures that contradict the terms to which it agreed, it expects that Israel be bound by terms it never accepted e.g., not expand settlements even as Israel disputes the Palestinian narrative.
As noted in the past, I believe the talks should have focused on reaching a narrower interim agreement in which each side yielded on some substance or gave "something for something." Palestinian agreement that the settlement of Palestinian refugees and their descendants in a new Palestinian state would satisfy their goal of a "right of return" in exchange for Israel agreeing on yielding a guaranteed share of the West Bank would have been reasonable. That formula could then have laid the ground work for laying out details of borders, land swaps, etc., for the next interim agreement. As each issue was resolved and the parties fulfilled the agreed terms, a new narrative of cooperation and trust could have evolved, making it possible to reach a final settlement, much as happened between Israel and Egypt.
Unfortunately, the focus of the talks was far too ambitious. At the same time, yet again the Palestinians decided to take a step that violated the terms that they had accepted. Going forward, if Israel decides to break ground on expansion beyond natural growth of existing settlements (approvals are theoretical and do not have to be implemented; breaking ground and launching construction is not theoretical), the Palestinians will complain, but given their own actions won't be in a strong position.
Hopefully, Israel will take a measured response and hold off on launching construction of new settlements, at least for a time. Construction in the boundaries of existing settlements would not be unreasonable and it would bring home the reality to a Palestinian leadership that seems detached from reality that actions have costs. In this case, the Palestinian failure to be flexible in the negotiations and its ignoring its own stated commitments results in developments that could make it more difficult for Israel to remove some of the settlements beyond the blocs envisioned to be retained in any peace agreement. Perhaps if the Palestinian leadership is not insulated from the costs of its bad decisions, it will begin to develop a capacity for take a more practical approach. That's still not a high probability given the current context, but that probability would be higher than would otherwise be the case were it again held largely immune from the consequences of its choices.