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The problem is that politically it is a stupid fight to pick.Since the Dobbs decision, some states gave set various and seemingly arbitrary restrictions on abortion, such as at 6, 15, and 20 weeks gestation. There seems to be no rational rhyme or reason for such restrictions. Many who do advocate for restrictions or prohibiting abortion seem to do so based on emotion or feelings. However, there is no rational or logical reason to restrict abortion at all. Briefly, here's why:
1. Women have bodily autonomy and can choose what they want to do with their bodies or in matters of health. This includes abortion.
2. A ZEF is not a legal person and therefore has no legal rights or protections. But a pregnant woman is a person with rights. Therefore, hers are paramount.
3. No one can be compelled to have their body used for the benefit of another without consent. This is established legal precedent.
4. Pregnancy & birth can have negative (but not limited to) physical effects. While most states have some kind of exceptions in place for abortion, this can also be a case of preventative medicine before issues arise.
There are several states where abortion services are unavailable and in some cases a woman can be several hundred miles from the nearest abortion services. Tens of millions of American women have no access to abortion and no hope of access to abortion in their state (or even in neighboring states). That is the status quo.
Around 97% of abortions occur in the first 15 weeks of pregnancy. Moreover, only 8% of Americans believe that third trimester abortions should be legal in all cases. At the same time, a solid majority of Americans are in favor of abortion rights up to 15 weeks. https://apnews.com/article/only-on-...igion-health-2c569aa7934233af8e00bef4520a8fa8
So, let's break this down:
1. Tens of millions of women currently live in states without any access to abortion care.
2. The vast, vast majority of abortions occur in the first 15 weeks of pregnancy.
3. A solid majority of Americans are in favor of legal abortion in the first 15 weeks of pregnancy.
4. A very low percentage of Americans are in favor of elective late term abortions.
5. Elective late term abortions are exceedingly rare.
In light of that, where do Republicans and their strategists want the national abortion debate to be? They want it to be about late term abortions, what they call "Partial Birth Abortions". When it's about late term abortions, they win because they have 92% of Americans on their side with that one. Where they don't want the abortion fight to be is with first trimester abortions, because they lose then. They have a solid majority of Americans against their position when it comes to first trimester abortion access. That is a huge loser issue for Republicans - and they know it.
The best thing Democrats could do for those tens of millions of American women without abortion access today, and the best thing they could do politically, would be to introduce bills at the federal level to protect abortion rights nationwide at the federal level for every woman up to 15 weeks of pregnancy and after that, just leave it to the individual states. Would it get through congress today? No, but it would be a huge campaign issue for them in 2024 and they would have a good shot of passing it after that. The result would be that women in states like Texas, Florida, Arkansas, Oklahoma and so on would have abortion access up to 15 weeks. States like California, Vermont and so on would protect abortion rights much later in pregnancy.
Is that the perfect? No, but it is a million times better than the situation today.
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