Hamster Buddha
DP Veteran
- Joined
- Nov 15, 2013
- Messages
- 3,675
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- Political Leaning
- Libertarian
Huh? We followed events in Egypt. Mubarak was ahead of us, of all people. We managed to screw over every possible ally in that country that we had or could have had. We had all the political courage of someone endorsing Obama for president in December of 2008.
We still have allies in Egypt, mostly in the military mind you (thanks in large part to many of the Egyptian Generals having working with the US in the past and several billion in military aid helps as well). And when Obama finally said that Mubarak had to go, low and behold he was gone.
On the contrary, the protesters started chanting "Obama you are with us or you are with them" as they were being dragged by the basij into the black vans, and in response the Obama administration released a statement calling for restraint by all sides.
In the beginning that was true. But once the violence became more apparent, he did condemn it. Short of invading the country, what more did you want Fact Check: Was Obama 'silent' on Iran 2009 protests? - CNN.com
Our programs to "aid" the rebels? Yeah. If we wanted to kill Assad, we could. This is like trying to destroy Burger King by ordering a frosty at Wendy's.
I never said he did a great job or trying to remove him, only that he did want him gone.
And Tunisia, which has not only rejected the more Islamic-leading party, but also effectively hunted the Islamist groups within its' borders while holding free public elections.
Coincidentally, the one country on this list where we haven't been involved with much. Interesting don't you think?
:shrug: I know when we finished the Surge out, Iraq was a stable, place with a pluralistic government. Then we decided to follow the same "hands-off" policy that you identified we tried in Libya. We chose..... poorly.....
....sort of... it's pointing out that any system which artificially tamps down on volatility actually creates net increased volatility that releases explosively rather than bleeds off sustainably. It really is a fun piece, I think you might like it.
If you think so, then you are confusing my intent.
Well, of those nations, Egypt is a military authoritarian regime currently involved in hunting down Islamists, both of the MB and ISIL variety. Syria (the government) remains run by Assad while Syria (the territory) is in a civil war over the issue. Yemen isn't run by Islamists of either camps, but rather by Tribal militia's in the north who receive support from Iran, and (it seems) a mixture of local military leadership, maybe President Hadi, and tribal militia's in the south who receive support from Saudi Arabia. Iraq (the government) remains the only functioning Arab democracy in the middle east, despite massive assault from it's north. Iraq (the territory) is in the same boat as Syria, and the Palestinians were basically weaponized by the Arab regimes that you are claiming provide "stability" decades ago in order to ensure that they would always support groups like Hamas.
If you want to keep the radicals a problem, keep the dictators in power. So long as radicalization and violence is the only means for political volatility to express itself, that is what you will continue to get.
Let me sum all this up, and feel free to tell me where I'm wrong, but you are suggesting that we follow the Iraq Plan as it was a success and invade what? Ten countries to establish secular governments in each one? So there's another 20 trillion down the hole and 45,000 Americans dead. And then you want us to keep a force of 20,000 (last I checked that was the proposed SOFA) in each of those countries... so a residual force of 200,000 would be necessary then correct? Call me crazy, but I don't see us going your route and the numbers game working out in our favor....
Look I'm not saying that installing dictators in power will last forever, but right not it's the best option we've got. Hell, you even pointed out that once the Military took over in Egypt, they're now apart of war effort against ISIS. I doubt we could of counted on such help from the MB.