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Fairleigh Dickinson poll on conspiracy theories
Comparing the number of Democratic partisans who believe Bush stole the 2004 election vs. Republican partisans who believe Obama stole the 2012 election, they're almost identical, though higher numbers of independents and Republicans who believe Bush stole the election makes the number of believers in that theory marginally higher:
It's an interesting observation, to me, that there are more Republicans and independents believe the 2004 election was stole than Democrats and independents who believe that the 2012 election was stolen, despite the fact Romney won independents in 2012 handily. This likely owes to the fact that 2004 was much closer than 2012, and thus had more potential to be 'stolen'.
Sixty-three percent of registered voters in the U.S. buy into at least one political conspiracy theory, according to results from a recent Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind Poll. The nationwide survey of registered voters asked Americans to evaluate four different political conspiracy theories: 56 percent of Democrats and 75 percent of Republicans say that at least one is likely true. This includes 36 percent who think that President Obama is hiding information about his background and early life, 25 percent who think that the government knew about 9/11 in advance, and 19 percent who think the 2012 Presidential election was stolen. Generally, the more people know about current events, the less likely they are to believe in conspiracy theories – but not among Republicans, where more knowledge leads to greater belief in political conspiracies.
The most popular of these conspiracy theories is the belief that President Obama is hiding important information about his background and early life, which would include what’s often referred to “birtherism.” Thirty-six percent of Americans think this is probably true, including 64 percent of Republicans and 14 percent of Democrats.
Comparing the number of Democratic partisans who believe Bush stole the 2004 election vs. Republican partisans who believe Obama stole the 2012 election, they're almost identical, though higher numbers of independents and Republicans who believe Bush stole the election makes the number of believers in that theory marginally higher:
23 percent of those interviewed say that President Bush’s supporters committed significant voter fraud to win him the 2004 Presidential election in Ohio. Belief in this conspiracy theory is highest among Democrats, (37 percent say it is likely true), though 17 percent of independents and 9 percent of Republicans think so as well.
Twenty percent of Americans think that President Obama’s supporters committed significant voter fraud in the2012 elections. Thirty-six percent of Republicans think this is the case, but only 4 percent of Democrats do.
It's an interesting observation, to me, that there are more Republicans and independents believe the 2004 election was stole than Democrats and independents who believe that the 2012 election was stolen, despite the fact Romney won independents in 2012 handily. This likely owes to the fact that 2004 was much closer than 2012, and thus had more potential to be 'stolen'.