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Assuming Republicans take the Senate, will Democrats still want to get rid of that Jim Crow relic, the filibuster? I’m going to take a wild guess and say “no.”
All Democrats can hope for now is the triple-flip parlay, which had good odds.
The two DEMs in AZ-01 & AZ-06 are winning their GOP incumbents.
Biden won these CDs by barely 1.5% and 0.1% respectively adjusted to 2022 remaps.
Bret Baier just reported that it's looking like the Dems have a pretty good chance of flipping the House. I'm not sure which seats - but he said it looks like it might be a bright spot for the Dems tonight.
Two Democrats, Manchin and Sinema, prevented what you accused
from reaching a 51-50 vote, with all GOPs opposing.
Each side calls the filibuster a relic when they have it used against them.
You’ll remember McConnell setting all-time records for filibustering during Obama.
Trump begged for McConnell to get rid of the filibuster and he wouldn’t, but McConnell will be gone in 2027.
Understanding what’s happening on Capitol Hill requires an understanding of the federal budget process, which is notoriously technical, complex and arcane.
www.pgpf.org
My is on Sen. Thune as the next Senate Majority Leader.
I prefer GOP Senators from the Great Plains if I have to have one.
My bet is Democrats will introduce a motion to impeach Trump on January 3rd. They’ll never learn, such will they be convinced that Adolf Hitler was just elected President of the United States.
Schumer spent $80 million trying to take out Ted Cruz. That money would have been far better spent in PA, WI and MI. Thanks Chuck. I sense you're about to lose your party leadership position.
All Democrats can hope for now is the triple-flip parlay, which had good odds.
The two DEMs in AZ-01 & AZ-06 are winning their GOP incumbents.
Biden won these CDs by barely 1.5% and 0.1% respectively adjusted to 2022 remaps.
Dems are still ahead in the two AZ seats they want to flip, plus one in Iowa, and to flip 3 in NY.
DEMs will lose 3 in N.C. and are barely leading in their CD-01, with flips in LA and AL.
DEMs are barely holding off challengers in CO-8 and NM-2, while failing to flip CO-3.
CA looks good for multiple flips for DEMs but it’s early and the voter totals are embarrassingly low.
Other important states left in play for the House are PA, MI, OR, WA, and the DEM in AK.
All specific voter totals can be found here:
Elissa Slotkin has taken the lead in the MI Senate race by about 12,000 votes. Ruben Gallego leads Kari Lake in the AZ Senate race by about 61,000 votes.
The AP has called the MI Senate race for Slotkin. In Arizona, Gallego leads by about 60,000 votes with around a million more ballots left to be counted.
It looks like DEM Porter threw away her CA House seat for a run for the Senate.
Georgia saw an average margin of victory for the 5 DEM seats of 45.48%. (I know.)
GOPs had an ave margin of victory of 27.71% in their seats.
The average margin of victory for all 14 seats was 34.1%. (North Carolina is worse.)
GA ave ~ 360,000 votes per CD, probably a mix of high turnout and being close to a 15th CD.
(North Carolina averaged ~ 400,000 votes AFTER gaining a 14th CD this decade.)
California averaged only 193,000 votes per CD, fertile territory
for further GOP flips and possible further losses of CDs.
Arizona had its usual huge underperformances in DEM CDs 3 and 7, affecting statewide races.
While this is specific to CA, all state voter totals can easily be accessed here.
Be assured that one of the parties is already working on the 2030 midterm remaps.
They’re the same party that employed REDMAP 2010 to start a domination of this century.
The following site is data used by all campaigns, but the scheme started with GOPs in 2010.
It’ll take them a few weeks to get the 2024 potus election done by CD.
Daily Kos Elections is now The Downballot! You can find all of our calculations of presidential election results by congressional district here: the-db.co/presbycd Please update your bookmarks!
www.dailykos.com
Every History teacher I knew would use this if looking at 2026 elections.
Dr. Shah is now down by nearly 10,000 votes in AZ CD one to Schweikert. I don't think that there is going to be enough of a blue shift for him to catch up. Hopefully, I'm wrong.
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their GOP incumbents.
www.pgpf.org
is on Sen. Thune as the next Senate Majority Leader.
