My Power Rankings as of Monday, 1/05/2015:
1. Seattle Seahawks.
2. New England Patriots.
3. Denver Broncos.
4. Green Bay Packers.
5. Dallas Cowboys.
6. Baltimore Ravens.
7. San Francisco 49ers.
8. Indianapolis Colts.
9. Kansas City Chiefs.
10. Cincinnati Bengals.
11. Philadelphia Eagles.
12. Detroit Lions.
13. Buffalo Bills.
14. Houston Texans.
15. Miami Dolphins.
16. Pittsburgh Steelers.
17. Arizona Cardinals.
18. San Diego Chargers.
19. St. Louis Rams.
20. New Orleans Saints.
21. Atlanta Falcons.
22. Carolina Panthers.
22. Minnesota Vikings.
24. New York Giants.
25. Cleveland Browns.
26. New York Jets.
27. Chicago Bears.
28. Washington Redskins.
29. Jacksonville Jaguars.
30. Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
31. Oakland Raiders.
32. Tennessee Titans.
I'm not adjusting my power rankings past the end of the regular season, so they remain the same as two weeks ago .. with my top two teams playing in the Super Bowl.
My predictions for this week's big game:
Seattle Seahawks by 0.50
This Super Bowl is really too close to call. If Seattle's defense isn't quite up to par, Brady will pick them apart. If the Seahawks' D shows up big, then it'll be up to Russel Wilson and God to edge out New England's secondary.
Covers currently has the game rated even (
NFL Football Scores - Box Scores). But what's interesting is the point total of 47.5 points, an average of 24 for each team. The experts think someone is going to win with perhaps 27 or 28 points and by about a touchdown. That doesn't sound like they're predicting a defensive struggle. The general consensus at Covers is close to 2-to-1 in favor of New England. Are some thinking a New England blow-out?
The complete regular season match-ups (according to my system) are as follows:
1. New England ranks 22nd rushing the ball and Seattle is 3rd defensively against the run. Advantage Seattle defense.
2. Seattle ranks 3rd rushing the ball and New England is 7th defensively against the run. Slight edge Seattle offense.
3. New England ranks 5th in passing and Seattle is 5th defensively against the pass. Even.
4. Seattle ranks 7th in passing and New England is 11th defensively against the pass. Slight edge Seattle offense.
5. New England ranks 3rd in scoring and Seattle is 1st defensively in scoring. Even.
6. Seattle ranks 9th in scoring and New England is 7th defensively in scoring. Even.
So, three evens, two slight edges Seattle, and one advantage Seattle.
However .. Richard Sherman (probable, elbow) and Earl Thomas (questionable, shoulder), stars in the Seattle secondary, are nursing injuries which may hamper their effectiveness .. whereas New England is pretty healthy. Considering Seattle's strength against the run, Brady may test the Seattle secondary often .. maybe often enough.
Of course, Brady may be suffering a bit with hurt feelings, you know, from all the questions about that ol' "shrinkage" thing, so his "performance" Sunday may depend on whether the balls he brings are .. sufficiently inflated .. .. . (Sorry -- couldn't resist.)
So, though I predict a Seattle victory, it won't be by much, as there's no real home-team advantage here, and handicapping this week may depend on the healing progress of Thomas's shoulder and his upgrade from questionable to probable .. and I don't think there's any way Thomas misses this game.
Good luck to all!