It depends. Does he dig his heels in and attempt to continue to push his ideology or does he pull a Clinton, relent, and focus on whatever policies he can realistically work with Republicans on.
If he does the former, I think there's a good shot he's a one term. If he does the latter there's a good shot he's a two term. Other factors play in...how much the economy recovers and how much it can be spun for Obama rather than the congress, who the Republicans run, how much fervor is still going with the tea party, etc...but I think the above is going to be a big one.
I'm more cynical. I think it has more to do with whether the GOP candidate has more charisma. That's consistently been the most accurate predicter in Presidential elections in the TV age.
Purrrrrrs
Its not the media that is trying to prop Palin up....its the people in the Republican party that WANT Sarah Palin. The political powers in the GOP are trying to drag her down because she isn't "Their" candidate. I hope that the people in the Republican party win out because Palin is the best candidate out there for the GOP and she ABSOLUTELY should get the nomination.
I'm more cynical. I think it has more to do with whether the GOP candidate has more charisma. That's consistently been the most accurate predicter in Presidential elections in the TV age.
Purrrrrrs
The times they are a changin' in terms of what people find charismatic in a candidate. Up until Obama, the charm was good looks, smooth tongue & somewhat clean past. Looking at what the GOP voters find interesting, you'll see a lot more of Chris Christie, Paul LePage* types.
* I know LePage is a virtual unknown on the national stage, and while he's an interesting man, I'm not sure he's got the chops to be a great governor. What's surprising about Paul LePage in terms of likability & charisma, is that a little more than a month before the election, he publicly stated that he would "tell President Obama to go to hell." In. A. Blue. State. :shock: Physically he's a slob, he talks like a hick, he's not terribly experienced, and he's got a great rags to riches story that he won't discuss. More and more "real guy/chick" candidates are going to be the trend in politics IMO. 2 years is a long way out, but if the election were this particular point in time, I could see the nation taking more to a Chris Christie than the smooth tongued Obama.
You know, for a segment of the voters, you are correct. I think the independents are the ones swayed by the charisma and they are ones who decide elections.
Purrrrrrs
Exactly, and they are the ones who decided the mid-terms.
Simple prediction. Whaddyasay?
Depends on who runs against Pres.BHO
If Mayor Bloomberg runs I will seriously consider voting for Mike.
The media in general wants to prop her up because they know she will lose just like McCain did or even worse than McCain did. Which is why every liberal out there wants her to run.
I think you are completely wrong. There is no better spokesperson for the GOP today than Palin
It seems more likely that he wants Palin as spokesperson for the GOP because in his opinion, she'll harm rather than help it – and at that, more harm than any other possible spokesperson.Are you republican? You keep insisting this, so I'm wondering if you know something the rest of us don't.
i like him as well.
Are you republican? You keep insisting this, so I'm wondering if you know something the rest of us don't.
I think you are completely wrong. There is no better spokesperson for the GOP today than Palin
Sure and that's why every lib wants her to run for president against Obama. Because of the fact Palin quit being governor of Alaska because people said mean things about her or her family she is a like a conservative republican who hands the media his gay love affair sex tape.
People said that Clinton would be a one term President and look how that turned out.
People thought there was no chance in hell that GWB would be given a second term and look how that turned out.
Honestly...unless some unknown rises from the ranks of the GOP there isn't a front runner right now that would beat Obama....even as bad as things are right now and that assumes that things don't improve.
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