Will Biden announce he won't run in 2024 and, if so, when?

[Old 'N Chill]

I've predicted the Dems will push Biden out of the 2024 contest by the end of this summer (Sept. 20th or so) to make room for others, like Newsom. I think the Dem party will put enough pressure on Biden that he'll say he won't be running after all - maybe citing health reasons.

I believe President Biden will run, unless there is something that makes it impossible, like a serious health issue. I'm not a Democrat, but I don't think they will push out someone who already helped the country by kicking trump's bloated useless anti-American ass to the curb. Biden is our President, whether you like it or not, and traitor trump is the sore lying loser.....boo hoo.

 

[Eriech]

I've predicted the Dems will push Biden out of the 2024 contest by the end of this summer (Sept. 20th or so) to make room for others, like Newsom. I think the Dem party will put enough pressure on Biden that he'll say he won't be running after all - maybe citing health reasons.

My prediction is Biden will keep the decks cleared as long as possible stepping aside after he has sealed the nomination. Michelle O will step in to save the day spared of having any scrutiny or the heavy lifting of a national campaign. I made this same prediction in 2020. I never thought that the "President " Biden charade was a sustainable one but have pulled it off. Cracks are showing in the sycophant media.
I do not believe the Obama's would let Newsom near the White House. It would be the end of their reign.

 

[reflechissez]

The media has started being especially hard on Biden, questioning his ability to serve another term more and more. His age, falls, gaffes, time away from the White House, and short work days have all been written and/or talked about. Today, his temper toward staff is making the news.

Biden has a profane temper behind closed doors: report

President Biden has a profane temper behind closed doors that contrasts with his folksy, affable public demeanor, according to a report. Axios reports that, according to current and former aides, t…

thehill.com

The media. ok

 

[Visbek]

I've predicted the Dems will push Biden out of the 2024 contest by the end of this summer (Sept. 20th or so) to make room for others, like Newsom. I think the Dem party will put enough pressure on Biden that he'll say he won't be running after all - maybe citing health reasons.

You're confusing the concept of "prediction" with "wishful thinking." Maybe you ought to fix that.

 

[ldub23]

The focus on Biden's ability to govern for another 4 years has made people forget that as of now, we have no one else capable of winning the election against *Rump or a few of the other R candidates. Obviously there may be Ds holding back on declaring but geez folks, here's what we currently have:

View attachment 67456115

IF RFK JR were the dem nominee and he was running against trump he would beat Trump like a rented mule.

 

[trouble13]

I think he very much wants to run. Certainly, now that more news is being learned and breaking about the Biden family business, there is also protection in being president - especially if, like I most certainly do, you believe the DOJ and FBI are politicized.
But I think the Dems simply have to be increasingly worried about Biden's chances of winning. Once enough of them reach that point, don't you think they'll be able to successfully force him to bow out?
If he didn't agree, they could always just go with the plan of convincing Newsom to just enter. I think Newsom would jump at the chance if he had the blessing of the party elites.

Not only that but 1 term presidencies are viewed as failures. He isn't going to willingly agree to be thought of that way.

 

[Ethel2]

I've predicted the Dems will push Biden out of the 2024 contest by the end of this summer (Sept. 20th or so) to make room for others, like Newsom. I think the Dem party will put enough pressure on Biden that he'll say he won't be running after all - maybe citing health reasons.

Wishful thinking. He’s going to run and he’s going to beat whoever the repulsican nominee is, especially if it’s the jackass

 

[Ethel2]

I think the likelihood is that Biden will run as he did last time - the antidote for MAGA: as long as Trump is in the race, who better than the guy who already beat him once and for the same reasons?

The understanding being of course, that Biden's voters know he's getting on in years and may not finish his term. If so, the expectation is that should he step down for health reasons, his VP will take over and carry the torch, delivering much of the same policy and direction. That's what running mates are for right?

That said, I wouldn't mind seeing a fresh race next year without either Trump or Biden. Maybe a Newsom-Christie face off, if I can play a little fantasy league here...

I don’t think Newsome can win. He’s too far left.

 

[uptower]

I don’t think Newsome can win. He’s too far left.

He'll just do what any smart politician would - play to the base for the primaries then move toward the center for the general.

Watch Desantis: he'll ditch a lot of the culture war stuff and start talking actual policy if he wins the nomination.

 

[Ethel2]

He'll just do what any smart politician would - play to the base for the primaries then move toward the center for the general.

Watch Desantis: he'll ditch a lot of the culture war stuff and start talking actual policy if he wins the nomination.

He can try. But he’s pretty far left and has a long history of being that way. Unless he moves towards the center I don’t think I can support him as my top candidate.

 

[uptower]

He can try. But he’s pretty far left and has a long history of being that way. Unless he moves towards the center I don’t think I can support him as my top candidate.

True but a lot of swing voters and independents don't follow the primaries, or allow themselves to be swayed by the change in tack during the general election.

 

[Callen]

I think the only thing that might make Biden reconsider is the relentless attacks on his son. Other than that I think it is a drum beat the right is trying to create. One thing I think is for sure... If he steps out it will be his choice not the choice if some anonymous democrat elites.

 

[reflechissez]

True but a lot of swing voters and independents don't follow the primaries, or allow themselves to be swayed by the change in tack during the general election.

Most "swing voters and independents" have a political lean and I'm sure their interest in primaries, etc is no less than everyone else.

 

[VanceMack]

I cant really see him running...but that leaves the democrats with a real PR problem. If not Joe...then Kamala...right? I mean...how do you throw the first black woman VP and a super person doing a GREAT job as VP under the bus and back someone else? Terrible optics.

 

[VanceMack]

I think the only thing that might make Biden reconsider is the relentless attacks on his son. Other than that I think it is a drum beat the right is trying to create. One thing I think is for sure... If he steps out it will be his choice not the choice if some anonymous democrat elites.

His son and the rest of his family that has taken bribes will probably be the leverage the democrats will use to get him out.

 

[Callen]

His son and the rest of his family that has taken bribes will probably be the leverage the democrats will use to get him out.

Oh OK............will wait for it

 

[Argent]

IF RFK JR were the dem nominee and he was running against trump he would beat Trump like a rented mule.

They are alike in enough ways that they'd make better running mates than opponents.

 

[Pippi Longstock]

The focus on Biden's ability to govern for another 4 years has made people forget that as of now, we have no one else capable of winning the election against *Rump or a few of the other R candidates. Obviously there may be Ds holding back on declaring but geez folks, here's what we currently have:

View attachment 67456115

You guys can have Pence.

 

[trixare4kids]

I've predicted the Dems will push Biden out of the 2024 contest by the end of this summer (Sept. 20th or so) to make room for others, like Newsom. I think the Dem party will put enough pressure on Biden that he'll say he won't be running after all - maybe citing health reasons.

He wouldn't be lying if he uses this as his excuse for stepping down.

 

[trixare4kids]

I don't see Biden voluntarily stepping aside. If they want to run anyone else they will need to force him out.

Ironically, I think it's his family who is forcing a man with dementia to stay in, as the entire clan have egos the size of the grand canyon, especially Jill Biden. They wouldn't want to give up the gravy train.

 

[Perotista]

I've predicted the Dems will push Biden out of the 2024 contest by the end of this summer (Sept. 20th or so) to make room for others, like Newsom. I think the Dem party will put enough pressure on Biden that he'll say he won't be running after all - maybe citing health reasons.

There’s enough out there, poll wise that shows Biden is probably a very weak candidate. Biden’s is currently tied with Trump in a head to head matchup when considering the MOE of plus or minus 3 points.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2024 - General Election: Trump vs. Biden

RealClearPolitics - Election 2024 - General Election: Trump vs. Biden

www.realclearpolitics.com

Independents have soured on Biden; they now are leaning toward Trump. In fact, 67% of independents don’t want Biden to run again. Question 21. This is a group of voters Biden won by 13 points in 2020, 54-41 over Trump. If Trump manages just a split among independents, very possible today considering the numbers. That number, 13% would translate into 7 million less votes for Biden. Only 42% of all Democrats want Biden to run again, 38% don’t, the rest undecided. That’s a split decision in my book even among democrats.

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/01qmicwezl/econTabReport.pdf

These numbers are only getting worse for Biden. I would think Biden being an uninspiring candidate, one who lacks energy and apparently stamina, that wouldn’t look good in a general election campaign where Biden would be expected to go all out. An old, feeble, unenergetic, uninspiring candidate is the last candidate I would want to run for the presidency. I think I’ll go with by the end of the year. The democrats will give him another couple of months hoping the numbers change. I don’t think they will. The bottom line is as of today, Biden has become more disliked by independents than Trump. This harkens back to 2016 when Hillary Clinton was disliked more than Trump among independents, although both major party candidates were disliked. Only Hillary was disliked more. Keeping Biden/Harris as the democratic ticket looks like a repeat of 2016. Questions 10 and 11 will give you the favorable/unfavorable numbers on how independents viewed Clinton and Trump, November 2016.

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/l37rosbwjp/econTabReport_lv.pdf

Questions 2B and 3A will give you how independents view Trump and Biden today.

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/kpnwbn3sup/econTabReport.pdf

 

[Ethel2]

I cant really see him running...but that leaves the democrats with a real PR problem. If not Joe...then Kamala...right? I mean...how do you throw the first black woman VP and a super person doing a GREAT job as VP under the bus and back someone else? Terrible optics.

He has already said he is running.

 

[Argent]

You guys can have Pence.

We have enough of our trash.

 

[Ethel2]

There’s enough out there, poll wise that shows Biden is probably a very weak candidate. Biden’s is currently tied with Trump in a head to head matchup when considering the MOE of plus or minus 3 points.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2024 - General Election: Trump vs. Biden

RealClearPolitics - Election 2024 - General Election: Trump vs. Biden

www.realclearpolitics.com

Independents have soured on Biden; they now are leaning toward Trump. In fact, 67% of independents don’t want Biden to run again. Question 21. This is a group of voters Biden won by 13 points in 2020, 54-41 over Trump. If Trump manages just a split among independents, very possible today considering the numbers. That number, 13% would translate into 7 million less votes for Biden. Only 42% of all Democrats want Biden to run again, 38% don’t, the rest undecided. That’s a split decision in my book even among democrats.

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/01qmicwezl/econTabReport.pdf

These numbers are only getting worse for Biden. I would think Biden being an uninspiring candidate, one who lacks energy and apparently stamina, that wouldn’t look good in a general election campaign where Biden would be expected to go all out. An old, feeble, unenergetic, uninspiring candidate is the last candidate I would want to run for the presidency. I think I’ll go with by the end of the year. The democrats will give him another couple of months hoping the numbers change. I don’t think they will. The bottom line is as of today, Biden has become more disliked by independents than Trump. This harkens back to 2016 when Hillary Clinton was disliked more than Trump among independents, although both major party candidates were disliked. Only Hillary was disliked more. Keeping Biden/Harris as the democratic ticket looks like a repeat of 2016. Questions 10 and 11 will give you the favorable/unfavorable numbers on how independents viewed Clinton and Trump, November 2016.

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/l37rosbwjp/econTabReport_lv.pdf

Questions 2B and 3A will give you how independents view Trump and Biden today.

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/kpnwbn3sup/econTabReport.pdf

Biden beat the snot out of the jackass in 2020-and that was BEFORE the jackass became a convicted sex offender. It’s not likely to be any different of a shellacking in 2024.

 

[trixare4kids]

I think he very much wants to run. Certainly, now that more news is being learned and breaking about the Biden family business, there is also protection in being president - especially if, like I most certainly do, you believe the DOJ and FBI are politicized.
But I think the Dems simply have to be increasingly worried about Biden's chances of winning. Once enough of them reach that point, don't you think they'll be able to successfully force him to bow out?
If he didn't agree, they could always just go with the plan of convincing Newsom to just enter. I think Newsom would jump at the chance if he had the blessing of the party elites.

I don't think Newsom would even win his own state.

As of March, '23,

70% of California Voters Oppose 2024 Presidential Run for Gov. Newsom, New Poll Finds