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It is accurate that as things currently stand, if the elections went precisely (or fairly close) to how the polls indicate they will, Trump would lose.Look at these maps exactly one week before Election Day:
Using a calculator on my browser to add up electoral votes for red, blue, and swing states, I figured out the most Donald Trump could get if today was Election Day is 248. That is 22 EC votes short. That means he would have to steal two states from Joe Biden with no chance of winning New York or California even if he wins Texas and Florida. Realistically, no scenario will award the rattlesnake 270 EC votes.270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map
Create your own forecast for the 2024 presidential electionwww.270towin.com
All of the polling would have to be just as off as it was in 2016, and even if that's true, Biden still has the edge. It's hard to see how Trump pulls it off, considering he narrowly won in 3 states in 2016, and I doubt he gained additional voters. However, it is 2020, and this is a bizarre, ridiculous year, so I'm being cautious about this. Optimistic, but cautious.Look at these maps exactly one week before Election Day:
Using a calculator on my browser to add up electoral votes for red, blue, and swing states, I figured out the most Donald Trump could get if today was Election Day is 248. That is 22 EC votes short. That means he would have to steal two states from Joe Biden with no chance of winning New York or California even if he wins Texas and Florida. Realistically, no scenario will award the rattlesnake 270 EC votes.270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map
Create your own forecast for the 2024 presidential electionwww.270towin.com
All of the polling would have to be just as off as it was in 2016, and even if that's true, Biden still has the edge. It's hard to see how Trump pulls it off, considering he narrowly won in 3 states in 2016, and I doubt he gained additional voters. However, it is 2020, and this is a bizarre, ridiculous year, so I'm being cautious about this. Optimistic, but cautious.
Look at these maps exactly one week before Election Day:
Using a calculator on my browser to add up electoral votes for red, blue, and swing states, I figured out the most Donald Trump could get if today was Election Day is 248. That is 22 EC votes short. That means he would have to steal two states from Joe Biden with no chance of winning New York or California even if he wins Texas and Florida. Realistically, no scenario will award the rattlesnake 270 EC votes.270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map
Create your own forecast for the 2024 presidential electionwww.270towin.com
Look at these maps exactly one week before Election Day...
All of the polling would have to be just as off as it was in 2016, and even if that's true, Biden still has the edge. It's hard to see how Trump pulls it off, considering he narrowly won in 3 states in 2016, and I doubt he gained additional voters. However, it is 2020, and this is a bizarre, ridiculous year, so I'm being cautious about this. Optimistic, but cautious.
1) The Electoral College is biased in favor of Republicans.
2) Trump eked out a very narrow victory based on a few thousand votes in 2016.
3) Trump and the Republicans are doing everything they can to suppress Democratic votes.
I pray to God you are correct my friendLook at these maps exactly one week before Election Day:
Using a calculator on my browser to add up electoral votes for red, blue, and swing states, I figured out the most Donald Trump could get if today was Election Day is 248. That is 22 EC votes short. That means he would have to steal two states from Joe Biden with no chance of winning New York or California even if he wins Texas and Florida. Realistically, no scenario will award the rattlesnake 270 EC votes.270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map
Create your own forecast for the 2024 presidential electionwww.270towin.com
You guys put way too much faith in polls, there's a majority of people who simply don't answer polls.
Take a look at this link here, it's to a Reuters Poll, what it says doesn't matter....but how many responses it gets does.
Biden has solid lead in Wisconsin, narrower edge in Pennsylvania: Reuters/Ipsos poll
Democratic presidential challenger Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by a solid margin in Wisconsin and maintains a narrower advantage in Pennsylvania with just over a week until Election Day, Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls showed on Monday.www.reuters.com
- Wisconsin - 1,008 people out of a state population of 5.822 million, let's say half of that...won't/can't vote.....you are still looking at 1,008 people out of 2.4 million.....
So put faith in polls....but dont be suprised when he wins again, there's a large swath of people who won't tell you they will vote for him, because they don't want the BS that goes along with that....
This is the biggest takeaway for me. He no longer has "what have you got to lose" in his favor. Hillary was also a very dislikable person. Biden is not.The thing is, the polling was not far off in 2016. It did not focus on or accuretely predict the electoral college vote. It did reflect the popular vote accurately.
And since Trump’s win was almost entirely attributable to low voter turnout amongst Democrats in the states he pulled his inside straight from, that’s not likely to repeat, unless the Trump forces can get out a lot more talk radio types.
And Trump is now a know entity. He has no record to run on, dispite the empty rantings of his supporters. And he has a crisis that he has ignored and mismanaged from the beginning.
I think it will hinge on whether or not sufficient numbers of Americans are tired of his act.
He still has a path to victory. It's more narrow than 2016; his edges in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are gone, but he can still string together enough states to win the EC.
Look at these maps exactly one week before Election Day:
Using a calculator on my browser to add up electoral votes for red, blue, and swing states, I figured out the most Donald Trump could get if today was Election Day is 248. That is 22 EC votes short. That means he would have to steal two states from Joe Biden with no chance of winning New York or California even if he wins Texas and Florida. Realistically, no scenario will award the rattlesnake 270 EC votes.270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map
Create your own forecast for the 2024 presidential electionwww.270towin.com
Anything can happen, though. I learned that years ago. People need to not be complacent and get out and vote, if they haven't done so already.
Do you have a link to back this BS up?Even Joe Biden himself brags that the Democratic Party has the most organized voter fraud activities in USA election history.
See 2016.
Can you elaborate on #1 please?1) The Electoral College is biased in favor of Republicans.
2) Trump eked out a very narrow victory based on a few thousand votes in 2016.
3) Trump and the Republicans are doing everything they can to suppress Democratic votes.
Do you have a link to back this BS up?
Have a nice day.
Every election there are hundreds of threads started declaring certainty of the outcome relying on polls. In fact, statistically polls have been proven so wrong the odds are vastly better by figuring out the opposite outcome and that is most likely what is accurate.
Look at these maps exactly one week before Election Day:
Using a calculator on my browser to add up electoral votes for red, blue, and swing states, I figured out the most Donald Trump could get if today was Election Day is 248. That is 22 EC votes short. That means he would have to steal two states from Joe Biden with no chance of winning New York or California even if he wins Texas and Florida. Realistically, no scenario will award the rattlesnake 270 EC votes.270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map
Create your own forecast for the 2024 presidential electionwww.270towin.com
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