On what are you basing the idea that deaths won't increase this fall/winter? Seems to me the pattern is set, and while the crest will be lower I see no reason to believe another wave isn't coming.
"On what are you basing the idea that deaths won't increase this fall/winter?"
And exactly where did you see me say that? Oh, I know, "The Voices" told you that I had said that.
"Seems to me the pattern is set, and while the crest will be lower I see no reason to believe another wave isn't coming."
That's fair enough - if you are into the "prediction game". I'm not.
I will "project" the data, but I make it quite clear that that projection is based on the conditions and trends remaining unchanged.
PS - I agree with you that there is likely to be an increase in cases and deaths over the winter season. Not only that, but if you are going to say "and that increase will be more concentrated in areas with some combination of two or more of:
[1] poor vaccination rates,
[2] poor masking policy compliance,
[3] poor social distancing policy compliance,
[4] high resistance to compliance with simple, cheap, and safe methods that have proven to ameliorate the spread of disease,
[5] a lower than national average educational level,
and
[6] a higher than average level of support for the Republican Party
then I will agree with that statement in advance.