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Because if the front is a few hundred miles outside of Moscow, the "outcome was (NOT) pretty much certain by 44". Had it been a few hundred miles outside of Berlin, you would have an arguement. The Soviets "by 44" still had to fight through Belorussia and Poland just to get to Germany. Just to get back to square one where they started in 41.
What difference does it make? If the German army was crumbling and in full retreat there wasn't much issue about the fight. And by Jun 44 the Russians were thru Belorussia and Poland and on the German border.