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What kind of election year do you think 2026 will be ?

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  • Total voters
    27
Voted, "A very light Democratic year" with the assumption of gains in the House, unsure about the Senate, unsure about whatever State elections are up in 2026 as well.

But there should be an option for "shit show deluxe."
 
2025 is already shaping up as a strong D year (special elections, VA, NJ).

Will it continue into 2026 and the "midterms" ?

I think so. The question is how big the D gains are going to be.
 
I'm waiting to see if it's a free and fair election. Once in charge, authoritarians don't like to lose.
And of course if there's one thing Dear Leader excels at it's doing the very thing he accuses others of.
 
I voted strong D year. Unless things dramatically shift (which I don't forsee).
 
Dems take the House, Reps keep the Senate. Impeachapalooza until the end of Trump’s term.
 
I voted "very light D year" because the Senate makeup for next year is not helpful at all for Ds ... even though 2x as many Republican seats are up for re-election.

Most R seats are in heavy rightwing states, which no Democrat can flip, even in a Democratic wave year. The Republican advantage is just too high already in this polarized political era.

Ds are also at 4 incumbent retirements already, while only Mitch McConnell is retiring on the R side.

And in Georgia, Ds are completely on the defense with Jewish Senator Ossoff (GA has many pro-Gaza voters).

This means Ds are unlikely to win a net +4 seats to win the Senate control (from 47 to 51 seats).

Their better chances are in the House and with Governor races.
 
Democrats and/or Republicans will prevail, the people, as usual, will complain.
 
It'll be a red waaaaveeeee, everyone knows when you predict a red waaaaveeee, you get a red waaaaaaveeee.

Also, I didn't vote for Trump.

😅
 
Voted, "A very light Democratic year" with the assumption of gains in the House, unsure about the Senate, unsure about whatever State elections are up in 2026 as well.

But there should be an option for "shit show deluxe."

I second the shit show option addition.
 
I think that Mid-terms should bring Modest gains for dems, but enough to get majorities in both Houses, which will be enough to squash anything that Trump tries to float.

And Trump of course will veto anything that dems try to float. It will be a stalemate.
 
Depends on the economy and the stock market.
 
What is your best estimate ?
Based on the past , it will be driven by irrationality. Image over substance. 3rd-hand info over facts.................................................History will not be used to make a judgment, as it should be.....

If the Democrats take both houses of congress, then I will admit I was in error......
 
Im going to continue to vote but im not expecting much… we’re cooked.
 
It'll be a red waaaaveeeee, everyone knows when you predict a red waaaaveeee, you get a red waaaaaaveeee.

Also, I didn't vote for Trump.

😅
Trump and the GOPs are the only ones advertising at this time.
No matter the state I travel by car and stay at by motel, with family, and/or friend.
Democrats sat out the 2014 elections also, losing 9 Senators.

https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2025/
ALSO

The ‘commissions’ have hurt the D’s in AZ, CO, etc. with pro-GOP House maps.
The 3 lost House seats in N.C. are gone forever thru apartheid gerrymandering.
Dems can’t keep up with Trump court cases.
I’m watching for any clues from Trump’s Ice Maiden, Susie Wiles.
 
2025 is already shaping up as a strong D year (special elections, VA, NJ).

Will it continue into 2026 and the "midterms" ?

I think so. The question is how big the D gains are going to be.
Looks like you could add NY to your list:

Earlier this month, Democrat Sam Sutton defeated his Republican opponent to win New York’s 22nd State Senate District special election — a district Trump won by 55 points in 2024.
 
I think that Mid-terms should bring Modest gains for dems, but enough to get majorities in both Houses, which will be enough to squash anything that Trump tries to float.

And Trump of course will veto anything that dems try to float. It will be a stalemate.
Democrats don’t need to win the Senate. Winning the House of Representatives is far more likely and would create the same stalemate legislatively.
 
What is your best estimate ?
The out of power party usually gains seats in the house, that is the party that doesn’t hold the presidency. The last time the party in power, the president’s party gained seats was in 2002 when the GOP gained 8 seats. Today we have mixed signals. The democrats have a slight 1.9 lead in the generic congressional ballot. But when taking in the competitive seats, the at risk of switching seats, the democrats currently have 22 of these vs. 18 for the republicans. Hence, the mixed signals. Which translate into that either major party can gain or lose between 0-5 seats.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/generic-congressional-vote

But a lot can change in 17 months, between now and November 2026. There’s also usually some unforeseen major event or happening that upsets the whole apple cart. I usually stick with the hard numbers as stated above. But I’ll give it a SWAG. I think independents/swing voters will tire of Trump’s antics and the chaos he has created. The democrats regain control of the house, perhaps by as many as 10-15 seats but the GOP retains control of the senate probably losing only Maine to the democrats.

Now while we’re still in fantasy land with predictions without hard numbers, the newly democratic controlled house will impeach Trump for the 3rd time in early 2027 while the GOP controlled house finds him not guilty for the 3rd time.
 
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