What Americans Think about Elections

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The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 28% of Likely U.S. Voters say they are likely to vote for a third-party candidate in this year’s presidential election, including 12% who are Very Likely to vote third-party. Fifty-nine percent (59%) are unlikely to vote third-party, including 30% who say it’s Not At All Likely. Another 14% are not sure. Third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s campaign announced Monday that it met the signature requirement to qualify for the ballot in North Carolina. Nationwide, 47% of voters under 40 say they’re at least somewhat likely to vote third-party in this year’s presidential election, compared to 24% of those ages 40-64 and 10% of voters 65 and older.

And for a little more detail, while the percentages of Republicans and Democrats that are Somewhat Likely to vote for a third-party candidate are almost the same (14% vs. 15%), the Democrats are twice as likely to be Very Likely to do so (14% vs. 7%).

 

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The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that in a two-way contest between Biden and Trump, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose Trump, and 41% would vote for Biden. In February, Trump led by 6 points, 47% to 41% for Biden. Eight percent (8%) now say they’d vote for another candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. Democrats have criticized Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as a “spoiler” in the election, the survey doesn’t show Kennedy with a large impact on the outcome. Nor is the margin significantly affected by the inclusion of Green Party candidate Jill Stein and former Harvard Professor Cornell West. In a three-way matchup between Biden, Trump, and RFK Jr., 44% would vote for Trump, 38% for Biden, and 10% for Kennedy. In February, Kennedy had 12%. In a five-watch matchup, 45% would vote for Trump, 38% for Biden, nine percent (9%) for Kennedy, two percent (2%) for West, and one percent (1%) for Stein.

 

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A new national telephone and online survey by Rasmussen Reports and The Heartland Institute finds that 28% of Likely U.S. voters would engage in at least one kind of illegal voting practice if that was “the only way to stop” an opposing candidate from winning, while 72% say they would not cheat. There is little variation in the willingness to cheat whether voters support President Joe Biden, former President Donald Trump, third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or some other candidate. Twenty-seven percent (27%) of Biden voters, 29% of Trump voters and 25% of RFK Jr. voters answered “yes” to at least one question about whether they’d engage in various illegal voting practices.

 

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The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 41% of Likely U.S. Voters believe the Democratic Party is more effective at winning elections, compared to just 17% who think Republicans are more effective. Thirty-three percent (33%) say both parties are about equally effective at winning elections and 10% are not sure. After becoming chairman of the Republican National Committee, Michael Whatley said last week: “You've got to have observers and attorneys in the room when the votes are being cast, and when the votes are being counted.” Seventy-five percent (75%) of voters believe it is important for parties to have observers in polling places to make sure election results are fair and accurate, including 55% who say it’s Very Important. Twenty-one percent (21%) don’t think election observers are important.