Much too early on the senate. On the house, I do think the Dems take it back because Trump is president and independents are coming off the fence against him or at least, don't approve of the job he is doing. The first midterm is usually about how one views the president. Ossoff had TV ads all over the place down here. I must have seen close to a hundred of his to none for any of the Republican candidates. I live south of Atlanta, but get all the Atlanta stations and CD-6 if just north of Atlanta.
You had over 200,000 vote in that special election which is really a bunch considering special elections usually draw less than 100,000 down here and runoffs are usually well below 50,000 What I hear through the grape vine is Ossoff will try to make the election about Trump while Handel will try to make it about Pelosi. In other words, nationalize it. If Ossoff can get the same type of turnout he got for this special election, he has a darn good chance. CD 6 is a republican district, Price won with 61% last November. But Price was much more popular than Trump there. There still is a lot of Republicans who don't care for Trump. Trump won Georgia, but other state wide Republicans did at least 5 points better than Trump. Perhaps reverse coat tails?
In CD-6 Trump has an approval rating of 51%, that is close to ten point higher than nationwide. But it will all boil down to turnout. Which side has the most motivation. I don't read too much into these special election this far out. Now if it were June of 2018 instead of 2017, then perhaps one ought to keep an eye on it.
I heard the Democrats spent 8 million dollars on ads for Ossoff. I haven't heard how much the Republicans spent. But judging from lack of political ads, probably not that much. I would throw in a word of caution. Coming as close as Ossoff did to winning right off, that may have shook the complacency of the Republicans off. If so, you're talking about a district that is roughly 3-2 Republican. Even with all the money Ossoff spent, remember the total vote across all eleven Republicans in the field was 51%, vs. 49% for the five Democrats. Handel was Secretary of state a while back, then she ran for Governor and later for senator, losing in the Republican primaries both times.
I like these jungle type elections and wish every election in Georgia was like that. I also like the runoffs if no candidate receives 50% plus one vote.