We do know there was ample evidence that a crime was committed and there was a very reasonable expectation that additional evidence of that crime would be found in Trump's residence at Mar A Lago. Those are facts. Much beyond that, we are reading tea leaves.
There isn't "ample evidence that a crime was committed." There is suspicion, based on the asserted labeling of documents as confidential. However, the label isn't the end of the legal analysis as to whether an President has the right to have them before and after he leaves office. The Presidential Records Act of 1978 allowed Trump to have the records allegedly in his possession, and that the general statutes cited in the search warrant — such as the Espionage Act — do not override it.
Trump’s documents are covered by a specific statute, the Presidential Records Act of 1978. It has long been the Supreme Court position, as stated in
Morton v. Mancari (1974), that “where there is no clear intention otherwise, a specific statute will not be controlled or nullified by a general one, regardless of the priority of enactment.” The former president’s rights under the PRA trump any application of the laws the FBI warrant cites.
The PRA lays out detailed requirements for how the archivist is to administer the records, handle privilege claims, make the records public, and impose restrictions on access. Notably, it doesn’t address the process by which a former president’s records are physically to be turned over to the archivist, or set any deadline, leaving this matter to be negotiated between the archivist and the former president.
So, it is not at all clear that he was not allowed to have them.
That said, do not let go of the reality that a politician can be considered guilty when most of the public believes he is guilty.
I don't care what he is "considered" by the public, which doesn't have any knowledge except that peddled by their "news" source of choice.
There was enough evidence taken that seemed consistent with the expectation of what was there that Trump is on the cusp of being considered guilty..... and we are also there regarding his efforts to overturn the election where 1/2 the population is already there. Those are facts as well.
About half of Americans think former President Donald Trump should face criminal charges for his role in the deadly insurrection that took place at the U.S. Capitol, but most doubt he will be.
www.pbs.org
More than half of U.S. voters say former President Trump should face criminal charges for his role in the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol, according to a new Harvard CAPS-Harris poll relea…
thehill.com
There are too many times where what we read in the news about Trump turns out to be false. Too many times that we were told doubting allegations against Trump was conspiracy theory, while the allegations themselves were, in fact, false conspiracy theories. Too many times did the FBI lie to courts to get warrants. Too many times were biased statements from FBI officials stating they were going to "stop him." Too many times were anonymous sources in the media shown to be wrong, and too many times did the political actors use anonymity and law enforceent/intelligence community for their own political purposes.
Anyone who thinks there is any evidence at this time to show that there is probable cause to arrest Trump "for January 6" is just falling for propaganda. There is not. And, not a single person on this message board, for example, has articulated the barest legal and factual basis for any such arrest. To believe it is to believe a "narrative" peddled by his political enemies, not to believe established facts.
To say "more than half" of voters think one thing or the other is not relevant. We have a country which has been dumbed down to a degree that substantial parts of the electorate believe the country is a patriarchal, fascist regime, that dihydrogen monoxide should be banned to save the environment, and that Russia was paying bounties on US soldiers in Afghanistan - half the country will believe a lot of things, when the media join forces with a politicians political enemies and peddle lies over and over again -
https://taibbi.substack.com/p/aaugh-a-brief-list-of-official-russia
That is why we don't go by what people "believe." We go by what Trump actually said and did, in actual fact, not someone's spin and not fluffy vague language. And, if you do that, you can't present any proof that Trump committed any crime "for January 6." If you think you can, please do.