Hedgology
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- May 31, 2018
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Troy Balderson leads by 0.9 percentage points, or 1,754 votes, over Danny O’Connor with 100 percent of precincts fully reporting.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...-ohio-special-house-election-district-12.html
I smell recount.
Um...didn't Trump win this district by double digits?
Um...didn't Trump win this district by double digits?
Um...didn't Trump win this district by double digits?
@kylegriffin1
Ohio 12 is too close to call. Trump won the district by 11-pts in 2016. Pat Tiberi won by almost 37-pts in 2016. GOP-linked groups spent ~$4.1 million on the race.
Important note: Cook Political Report calculates that there are 60 GOP districts more Democratic than this one.
LMAO, "Blue Wave...
Not a good take for any aspiring Republican strategist to have.
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Recounts only occur if the margin differential is equal to or less than 0.5%. The margin differential is roughly 1%.
It was last one by a 36 points margin.Um...didn't Trump win this district by double digits?
This race was another data point in a clear trendline. So, really, there wasn't much more to look for in a special election.I'm not sure what more you're looking for from a special election.
Are you really that dense?LMAO, "Blue Wave...."
None of the networks want to declare a winner. They figured it was too close to call for anyone to embarrass themselves; however, the New York Times has 100% reporting in all the counties in district 12 (Franklin, Delaware, Licking, Richland, Muskingun, Morrow, and Marion).
More results are probably going to come in, but I'm calling the final results: Troy Balderson (R-OH) 101,574, Danny O'Connor (D-OH) 99,820, Joe Manchik (G-OH)
LMAO, "Blue Wave...."
None of the networks want to declare a winner. They figured it was too close to call for anyone to embarrass themselves; however, the New York Times has 100% reporting in all the counties in district 12 (Franklin, Delaware, Licking, Richland, Muskingun, Morrow, and Marion).
More results are probably going to come in, but I'm calling the final results: Troy Balderson (R-OH) 101,574, Danny O'Connor (D-OH) 99,820, Joe Manchik (G-OH)
Are you really that dense?
2016
(R)Pat Tiberi 66.5%
(D)Ed Albertson 29.8%
2018
(R)Troy Balderson 50.2%
(D)Danny O'Connor 49.3%
THAT'S where the blue wave came in - even if it fell just short.
And guess what? There are over sixty seats closer than this one come November.
There are quite a few (8,000?) votes yet to be counted...absentee, etc. They could easily cause a recount.
It is too early to call. God knows why Trump would like to draw attention to the fact that "his" guy had such a sad performance?
Are you really that dense?
2016
(R)Pat Tiberi 66.5%
(D)Ed Albertson 29.8%
2018
(R)Troy Balderson 50.2%
(D)Danny O'Connor 49.3%
THAT'S where the blue wave came in - even if it fell just short.
And guess what? There are over sixty seats closer than this one come November.
With 3435 provisional ballots and 5048 absentee ballots not counted there is no way anyone can declare a victory until those 8.5k votes are counted. If a .9% gain drops below .5% there will be an automatic recount for sure. Noting that provisional and absentee ballots tend to favor Democrats historically.
It's "too early to call" because the sun hasn't risen near the studios in New York City.There are quite a few (8,000?) votes yet to be counted...absentee, etc. They could easily cause a recount. It is too early to call. God knows why Trump would like to draw attention to the fact that "his" guy had such a sad performance?
I don't know where you are getting those numbers from, so for now I'm going to assume you made them up.
This race was another data point in a clear trendline. So, really, there wasn't much more to look for in a special election.
Now, your commentary, on the other hand is lacking just about everything I would look for about a special election.
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What clear trend would that be: Democrats losing at the ballot box?
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