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Three days later: Hey, Republicans really did get clobbered

Rogue Valley

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Three days later: Hey, Republicans really did get clobbered

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11/9/18
It turns out the 2018 midterm elections were pretty much a rout. Counting all the votes makes all the difference in the world. In the House, as of this writing, the Democratic gains are up to 30 with about five more races still to be called — in which Democrats are leading. A gain of 35 seats would be the largest House pickup for Democrats since the first post-Watergate midterm election in 1974. The Democrats picked up seven governorship's, with Stacey Abrams, as of now, still fighting to make it to a runoff in Georgia, and Andrew Gillum trailing by 0.4 percentage points, enough to trigger a recount in Florida. In the Senate, Democrats may not quite have pulled off an inside straight, but they had two aces — in Nevada and Arizona. With 26 seats to defend, many in red states, it now looks as if their losses will be small. Democrats won in Nevada and are now poised to pick up a seat in Arizona. In the latter, Rep. Kyrsten Sinema surged into the lead as additional Maricopa County ballots were counted.) Meanwhile, Democrats have an outside chance to hold on to Florida. There, Republican Gov. Rick Scott leads by only 0.2 percentage points over Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson. Simply because Trump did not see all these losses on Election Night does not make them any less real or consequential for Republicans. Put differently, outside the deepest-red enclaves Republicans took a beating up and down the ballot.

If you then turn to exit polls, voters said by big margins: they disapprove of Trump (54 percent to 45 percent ); regard the GOP unfavorably (52 percent to 44 percent); think the country is on the wrong track (54 percent to 42 percent), thought Trump’s immigration policies were too harsh (46 percent, with 33 percent saying they were about right and 17 saying not tough enough); favor tougher gun laws (59 percent to 37 percent); think his foreign policy makes the country less safe (46 percent to 38 percent); disapprove of Supreme Court Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh (47 percent to 44 percent); want to uphold Roe v. Wade (66 percent to 25 percent); think it is somewhat or very important to elect more minorities (72 percent to 24 percent) and somewhat or very important to elect more women (78 percent to 20 percent); think sexual harassment is a big problem (84 percent to 14 percent); and are more concerned about people being denied the right to vote than voter fraud (53 percent to 36 percent). Democrats just had an extremely successful election and are winning most major policy debates.

With the 26 Senate seats Democrats had to defend, 10 in states that Trump won in 2016 - Indiana, Ohio, Wisconsin, Montana, Florida, Michigan, Missouri, West Virginia, Pennsylvania and North Dakota - Republicans should have won at least five of these contests and perhaps even seven seats which would have given the GOP 60 Senate seats and enough floor votes to break a filibuster. At the most two Senate seats? And perhaps only one Senate seat pickup? That ..... is an ass-kicking.
 

MrWonka

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That ..... is an ass-kicking.

Not to mention the reality that it was heavy heavy gerrymandering in the House of Representatives that kept Democrats from only gaining 35 seats. Given a fair House map it would have likely been much closer to 60.
 

trouble13

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Three days later: Hey, Republicans really did get clobbered

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With the 26 Senate seats Democrats had to defend, 10 in states that Trump won in 2016 - Indiana, Ohio, Wisconsin, Montana, Florida, Michigan, Missouri, West Virginia, Pennsylvania and North Dakota - Republicans should have won at least five of these contests and perhaps even seven seats which would have given the GOP 60 Senate seats and enough floor votes to break a filibuster. At the most two Senate seats? And perhaps only one Senate seat pickup? That ..... is an ass-kicking.
Whatever you need to tell yourself lol

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MovingPictures

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Not to mention the reality that it was heavy heavy gerrymandering in the House of Representatives that kept Democrats from only gaining 35 seats. Given a fair House map it would have likely been much closer to 60.
And that gerrymandering is about to go in many places like Virginia, Michigan, Ohio, Missouri, and Illinois.

We saw what happened in Pennsylvania once the map was drawn fairly, and if that happens in those other states, the Republicans could lose 15-20 seats next election, and lose them for good.
 

RetiredUSN

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Not to mention the reality that it was heavy heavy gerrymandering in the House of Representatives that kept Democrats from only gaining 35 seats. Given a fair House map it would have likely been much closer to 60.

Democrats don't gerrymander?

Go read.
 
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