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The truth of global warming II

2,000 posts, and what did we establish?

Global warming is real, and human activity is accelerating it. Every scientific organization in the world is on board with that.

Of course, there is the possibility that they might all be in a giant conspiracy to keep government funding flowing by telling the governments of the world what they want to hear.

Which is plausible if you believe that all of the governments of the world are the same.

So, can we now start to talk about what is really controversial:

Will global warming be a disaster, will it be a boon, or a mixture of both?
Could we actually do something about it if we had the will? Do we have the will?

(Those are positions 3 and 4 from the previous 2,000 posts. Positions 1 and 2 are already settled).
 
MassBaptismGlobalWarmingAlarmisConvention.jpg
 
We've re-affirmed an old axiom:
"A Picture Is Worth A Thousand Words"

There is another axiom: annoying formatting accompanied by pointless pictures tends to make others dismiss all those words.
 
2,000 posts, and what did we establish?

Global warming is real, and human activity is accelerating it. Every scientific organization in the world is on board with that.

Of course, there is the possibility that they might all be in a giant conspiracy to keep government funding flowing by telling the governments of the world what they want to hear.

Which is plausible if you believe that all of the governments of the world are the same.

So, can we now start to talk about what is really controversial:

Will global warming be a disaster, will it be a boon, or a mixture of both?
Could we actually do something about it if we had the will? Do we have the will?

(Those are positions 3 and 4 from the previous 2,000 posts. Positions 1 and 2 are already settled).

Nice try all that was proved is GW scientist lie and deceive
 
Must-see video lays out the empirical evidence for human-caused global warming

March 1, 2010
"Our favorite climate de-crocker, Peter Sinclair has a terrific new video on the basic facts of climate science (with links to the literature)":

Must-see video lays out the empirical evidence for human-caused global warming « Climate Progress

"A common skeptic argument is that there is no empirical evidence for man-made global warming. People who make this claim can’t have looked very hard. As most don’t have the time to scour through the peer-reviewed scientific literature, the multiple lines of independent evidence for global warming are given here….

Also be sure to check out the (more info) link in the right margin where links to all the peer-reviewed papers are provided. This is a powerfully visual way of communicating the science of climate change — I strongly recommend you all view the video, pass it onto your friends (and if you’re feeling really energetic, follow the paper links to learn more about the science)."
 
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Nice try all that was proved is GW scientist lie and deceive

nice spin, all that was shown is non-scientists spewing lies at the credible peer reviewed journals.

I'm now going to debunk everything you say in exactly the way you do it.
 
nice spin, all that was shown is non-scientists spewing lies at the credible peer reviewed journals.

I'm now going to debunk everything you say in exactly the way you do it.

You have debunked nothing and have refused to address the facts of my links
 
You have debunked nothing and have refused to address the facts of my links

You've yet to post any links here. Also, let's look back at the last thread, shall we, and expose your hypocrisy in that quote?

iamitter said:
Actually, those scientists manipulated the data with derivatives as noise amplifiers, so there's no point explaining it.
There was a peer-reviewed rebuttal http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/Trenbert..._formatted.pdf in the very same journal a year later.

For actual science on ENSO, refer to Climate Modeling and Diagnostics Group Home Page | Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory

ENSO for cold : Northern Hemisphere winter snow anomalies: ENSO, NAO and the winter of 2009/10

Only somewhat related, but it's about ENSO and I helped work on it way back, so what the hell: ftp://texmex.mit.edu/pub/emanuel/PAP...el_jclim07.pdf


"Abstract. McLean et al. [2009] claim that the El Ni˜no/Southern Oscillation (ENSO),
as represented by the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), accounts for as much as 72%
of the global tropospheric temperature anomaly (GTTA) and an even higher 81% of this
anomaly in the tropics. They conclude that the SOI is a “dominant and consistent influence
on mean global temperatures,” “and perhaps recent trends in global temperatures”.
However, their analysis is incorrect in a number of ways, and greatly overstates
the influence of ENSO on the climate system. This comment first briefly reviews what
is understood about the influence of ENSO on global temperatures, then goes on to show
that the analysis of MFC09 severely overestimates the correlation between temperature
anomalies and the SOI by inflating the power in the 2–6 year time window while filtering
out variability on longer and shorter time scales. It is only because of this faulty analysis
that they are able to claim such extremely high correlations. The suggestion in their
conclusions that ENSO may be a major contributor to recent trends in global temperature
is not supported by their analysis or any physical theory presented in that paper,
especially as the analysis method itself eliminates the influence of trends on the purported
correlations."

Your response:
ptif219 said:
Data manipulation? The GW scientist do that better tyhan anyone else

Right from here. http://www.debatepolitics.com/envir...-truth-global-warming-194.html#post1059304336
Indeed, I'm going to quote you here and show you that "You have debunked nothing and have refused to address the facts of my links".
 
No I just watch the GW scientist lie and manipulate data

OK, ptif, hold your nose:

I baptize you in the name of the Limbaugh, the Beck, and the Holy Hannity, amen.

(comes out of the water) Halleluah! I've been converted! I'm saved, I'm saved!
 
You have debunked nothing and have refused to address the facts of my links

ptif219, I honestly don't want to offend you, but could you provide some data that supports your point of view?

right now, all I'm seeing is no facts and all opinion/conjecture
 
OK, ptif, hold your nose:

I baptize you in the name of the Limbaugh, the Beck, and the Holy Hannity, amen.

(comes out of the water) Halleluah! I've been converted! I'm saved, I'm saved!

Sorry I never listen to Beck or Hannity
 
I really don't like to get my information from budsimmons... :coffeepap

Non partisan/non biased site you got there Ptif...

No site I use will you like and biased and partisan is a way to avoid the facts in the article
 
2,000 posts, and what did we establish?

That the debate is not nearly as over as it is claimed to be... and if the debate IS over, it's NOT in the favor of the alarmists.

Global warming is real,

Yes, the earth HAS been on a 150 year or so warming trend overall.

and human activity is accelerating it.

At least you worded that in such a way that concedes that the earth would have warmed regardless of human activity... But, really only to the degree that the less then 0.5 degree change in that time has been caused by changes in CO2 levels.

Every scientific organization in the world is on board with that.

Which could simply be their 'official statements', as a way to make sure that they don't shake the boat, so to speak.

Or that they are on board with the fact that Co2 has a warming influence, while not necessarily being in line with Pachaury and the rest of the IPCC...

I haven't examined the statements of every single one and seen them all defend that position... so, this is honest questions and relates to your next point.

Of course, there is the possibility that they might all be in a giant conspiracy to keep government funding flowing by telling the governments of the world what they want to hear.

Stop calling it a 'giant conspiracy'... the FACT is that these people that you would call 'conspirators' have written SEVERAL books about the true nature of the AGW alarmist agenda... AND IF YOU READ their books you will understand that they intend to USE the hype because they have a LEGITIMATE BELIEF that their plan is 'what is best for all'... JUST LIKE a doctor cutting off your leg is doing so because he LEGITIMATELY BELIEVES that it's in the best interest of all that the limb be removed.

Conspiracy REQUIRES that it be a nefarious intention, and this is NOT a demonstrable position... WHAT IS demonstrable is what these people have as "solutions"... "solutions" to which I object morally, intellectually, and selfishly, because of the implications of what these solutions entail...

That said, IF YOU JUST hear the 'solutions' then YES you'll have to call it 'conspiracy', because 'nobody would want to do anything like that', BUT we can ONLY engage in a debate on these issues when we finally come to accept the totality of the facts.

Which is plausible if you believe that all of the governments of the world are the same.

It is tropism. There's 195 countries in the world, and the vast majority of them are run by dictators. There are only so many ways that a dictator will act... and if it's not from the outset, then it occurs later as the regime becomes more corrupt with power.

So, can we now start to talk about what is really controversial:

Will global warming be a disaster, will it be a boon, or a mixture of both?

MOSTLY a boon, but there's ALWAYS disasters, they are always tragic, but there's nothing that can be done to avoid that. The only reason that it might seem that there are more disaster is because news has spread to a global medium with the capacity to report world evens within minutes.

The fact is that crops can be shifted to adjust for climate, brings about longer growing seasons for food, etc.. so, warmer climate is preferable. Unless we're talking about scorched earth hot, but that would be as bad as the earth becoming a spinning ball of ice.

Could we actually do something about it if we had the will?

No. Humans only have a VERY LIMITED capacity to change the environment through CO2.

If, however, you're talking about environmental DAMAGE and not specifically climate temperature, then Yes, there IS the capacity to do stuff to fix many problems going on.

Do we have the will?

A better question : Is our will to to become more environmentally responsible while maintaining our standards of living MORE then the will of the global 'elites' to create a post-industrial world ??

To your question, I would have to maintain a level of pessimism because of the extent of the corruption involved in the AGW Alarmist camp... which has been more public then the corruption of those not buying into the alarmism.

(Those are positions 3 and 4 from the previous 2,000 posts. Positions 1 and 2 are already settled).

Position 1 : the earth has been on a warming trend for the past 150 or so years... yes, that's not really debated...

Position 2 : Not the way you phrased it.
 
I have shown many links that show the lies and data manipulation of the IPCC and others

CLIMATE CHANGE IS NATURAL: 100 REASONS WHY « The Global Warming Hoax

Fair enough. I don't agree with some of the article, but I think it definitely does have some valid points. What I don't understand is your (implied) belief (and correct me if I am wrong in saying this) that we are not hurting the environment/contributing to climate change.

It seems to me that you are saying we should leave it be and keep things the way they are, and that more than anything is what I disagree with. I'm definitely no alarmist, but I do think we shoud be doing more to protect the environment in general.
 
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