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So you want to be in charge of monetary policy?

Rhapsody1447

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From the Federal Reserve of San Francisco's website.

Fed Chairman Game

Ironic to note that 4 years of zero interest rates land you at a 38% inflation rate :3oops:
 
From the Federal Reserve of San Francisco's website.

Fed Chairman Game

Ironic to note that 4 years of zero interest rates land you at a 38% inflation rate :3oops:

With the numbers shown at the start, probably would leave the fed funds rate unchanged.

In addition, this one change does not automatically change unemployment and inflation as we have seen with the rate at zero for the last three years.
 
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With the numbers shown at the start, probably would leave the fed funds rate unchanged.

The trick is managing it for a period of time. I tried 16 quarters, inflation sneaks up on you fast.
 
The trick is managing it for a period of time. I tried 16 quarters, inflation sneaks up on you fast.

The real world is not as simplistic as the model would indicate.
 
That's what I hate about people. People think they're so smart and could be better than the people they're complaining about and provide idealistic and unpractical solutions, but when they're given the chance to actually do the job, then they fail miserably, even worse than Bush
 
With the numbers shown at the start, probably would leave the fed funds rate unchanged.

In addition, this one change does not automatically change unemployment and inflation as we have seen with the rate at zero for the last three years.

if you leave it unchanged you end up with 12.5% inflation. but only 1.5% unemployment - i guess these guys don't believe in stagflation.

by staying only within the range of 4.75-3.0 % you can end up with 2% inflation and 4.37% unemployment.

reinforcing my general belief that it is usually government overcorrection that does the most damage.


my main problem with this model being that it overestimates the power of the Fed.
 
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Made me stop and think that, when unemployment drops significantly, inflation is probably a given. "More money chasing more goods."

'Course I do have to wonder if the calculator is intentionally "loaded." Cynical me.
 
That's what I hate about people. People think they're so smart and could be better than the people they're complaining about and provide idealistic and unpractical solutions, but when they're given the chance to actually do the job, then they fail miserably, even worse than Bush

Some are that smart though. There were people stating the mess the policy of long term ultralow interest rates was going to cause. To be fair though, one really didn't have to be smart, just have common sense.
 
Some are that smart though. There were people stating the mess the policy of long term ultralow interest rates was going to cause. To be fair though, one really didn't have to be smart, just have common sense.

Where are those people now that we have had three years of zero interest rates. When/ where will the next bubble burst, that is the trillion dollar question.
 
Where are those people now that we have had three years of zero interest rates. When/ where will the next bubble burst, that is the trillion dollar question.

They are still being ignored.
 
They are still being ignored.

As more and more liquidity gets thrown into our economy it seems that the bubbles are getting bigger and the consequences worse. If interest rates normalize on Treasuries losses on "safe" bond funds will be enormous.
 
No, I don't want to be in charge of monetary policy. Central economic planning always fails, as can be seen from our current predicament.

Monetary policy should be outlawed in the constitution. Oh, wait...it is.
 
No, I don't want to be in charge of monetary policy. Central economic planning always fails, as can be seen from our current predicament.

Monetary policy should be outlawed in the constitution. Oh, wait...it is.

Got a Link?
 
if you leave it unchanged you end up with 12.5% inflation. but only 1.5% unemployment - i guess these guys don't believe in stagflation.

by staying only within the range of 4.75-3.0 % you can end up with 2% inflation and 4.37% unemployment.

reinforcing my general belief that it is usually government overcorrection that does the most damage.


my main problem with this model being that it overestimates the power of the Fed.

Of course the model is overly simplistic, it ignores money supply and economic trends. The Fed can have more of a psychological effect than a fiscal effect. Although, obviously the real world is not as simple as a flash game, I just thought it was an interesting thought experiment.
 
Aren't you arguing in a different thread that that's just a temporary arrangement that can be broken at any time? :lol:

Yes. I believe that it is within the rights of any state that wishes to to leave the union. However, most states don't wish to do so. As long as a state wishes to remain in the compact, it must abide by the terms to which it agreed.
 
To the section you are referring to? I know how to find the Constitution on google.

Article I, section 8. Congress may tax and borrow money. It may also fashion money into coins of standard weight and measure. That is the extent of its powers regarding money. There is no power in the constitution to undertake "monetary policy".
 
From the Federal Reserve of San Francisco's website.

Fed Chairman Game

Ironic to note that 4 years of zero interest rates land you at a 38% inflation rate :3oops:
Hmm...why is the federal reserve spending time designing video games?

I'm half kidding.
 
Article I, section 8. Congress may tax and borrow money. It may also fashion money into coins of standard weight and measure. That is the extent of its powers regarding money. There is no power in the constitution to undertake "monetary policy".

Congress doesn't set monetary policy.
 
Then who does?

The central bank it charters.

Coinage, Weights, and Measures

The power ''to coin money'' and ''regulate the value thereof'' has been broadly construed to authorize regulation of every phase of the subject of currency. Congress may charter banks and endow them with the right to issue circulating notes, 1281 and it may restrain the circulation of notes not issued under its own authority. 1282 To this end it may impose a prohibitive tax upon the circulation of the notes of state banks 1283 or of municipal corporations. 1284 It may require the surrender of gold coin and of gold certificates in exchange for other currency not redeemable in gold. A plaintiff who sought payment for the gold coin and certificates thus surrendered in an amount measured by the higher market value of gold was denied recovery on the ground that he had not proved that he would suffer any actual loss by being compelled to accept an equivalent amount of other currency. 1285 Inasmuch as ''every contract for the payment of money, simply, is necessarily subject to the constitutional power of the government over the currency, whatever that power may be, and the obligation of the parties is, therefore, assumed with reference to that power,'' 1286 the Supreme Court sustained the power of Congress to make Treasury notes legal tender in satisfaction of antecedent debts, 1287 and, many years later, to abrogate the clauses in private contracts calling for payment in gold coin, even though such contracts were executed before the legislation was passed. 1288 The power to coin money also imports authority to maintain such coinage as a medium of exchange at home, and to forbid its diversion to other uses by defacement, melting or exportation. 1289

FindLaw: U.S. Constitution: Article I: Annotations pg. 37 of 58
 
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