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Post your electoral map here

Electoral Map.webp

Here is mine.... I think the only "swing state" that swings Trump's way is Ohio.
 
maxparrish said:
After the last two elections, I am a Nate Silver believer (I used to scoff at him...no longer. He nailed 2012). And Silver has also been revising his methods the entire season, to account for Trump's unexpected strength, which has even surprised him. Other pollsters seem to still under-estimate Trump.

As of today, here are the percentages of probability for each swing State voting for either Trump or Hillary...

Florida: Trump 56 percent chance of winning
NC: Trump 63 percent...
Ohio: 63 percent...
Iowa: 67 percent...
Nevada: 53 percent...


Colorado: Clinton 63 percent of winning
Virginia: Clinton 76 percent...
PA: 70 percent
NH: 64 percent
WI: 70 percent
MI: 71 percent

As you might note, Nevada and Florida are Trump's weakest chances (less than 60 percent) of being "winning states", while Colorado (or NH) (63 and 64 percent) are Hillary's weakest states. None the less, most of Hillary's critical state probabilities are 70 percent or above.

It is less likely that Hillary will lose Colorado, and more likely Trump will lose either Nevada or Florida. As Trump almost has to have Florida and probably Colorado (Hillary's other states look much harder to take) she has the advantage.

Still, if Trump could keep Nevada and take NH from Hillary, he'd win. Or he could lose Nevada and take Colorado and still win. He can't lose Florida or its over.

So I'm looking at three states: Nevada, NH, and Colorado as the keys...
Click to expand...

Of course, the Nate Silver update says this is a 345-193 Clinton win... and all of those odds that were 50-65% Clinton in mid-September are now 75-90% Clinton in mid-October.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Trump's path to victory that was narrow is now non-existent.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...trump-electoral-college-victory-non-existent/
 
Can't do it here but this would be a good betting pool game.
 
My_Prediction2016.jpg
 
My final prediction before the big day tomorrow.

W806j.png
 
Phys251 said:
My final prediction before the big day tomorrow.

W806j.png
Click to expand...

Very reasonable map. The only thing I would question is maybe all 4 in Maine will go for Hillary... dunno.
 
AGENT J said:
NpGkW.png



Here's mine
Playing with these maybes just follow solidifies my opinion Trump will not be our next president. My friendly bet is still up for grabs if theres any takers :)
Click to expand...

Day before the election and I'm sticking with my map
 
Josie said:
How am I doing? Honestly, this was one moment in the campaign when I thought maybe Trump would win. That feeling went away quickly, but maybe in this moment I was right.
Click to expand...

You were closer than anyone else here.
 
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