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I’m sure everyone on this site is aware of the decline of crossover voters, we may be seeing its inevitable outcome (for the less popular party, at least). The article also has an interesting thumbnail sketch of the history of crossover voting, at least in the House.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— The number of “crossover” districts — those won by different parties for president and House — has generally been declining over time.
— Under the current congressional district lines, there were only 16 crossover districts in 2020, with Republicans winning 9 Biden-won seats and Democrats winning 7 Trump-won seats.
— Based on the new district lines, and with a few states still outstanding, there are currently 16 incumbents running in districts that their party did not win for president: 11 Republicans in Biden seats and 5 Democrats in Trump seats.
— The Democrats may not hold a single Trump district next year, and the Republicans very well could hold many more Biden-won seats.