One Week to Go

[US&THEM]

It is about the economy and the recovery is real and very good.

 

[element94]

Trump has a 0.4% lead in the popular vote and leads in all the battleground states. Betting odds are approaching 2-1 for Trump. That's called pulling away.

Other questions present themselves.

• Is Harris losing or is it the whole party?
• How will the apparent imbalance affect turnout?
• How long are Trump's coattails? Three Midwestern battleground states have tight Senate races, as does neighboring Ohio.
• Will a Republican top 50% for the first time since the 1980s?
• Obama won by 3.8% in 2008. Can Trump match that?
• Is a more-than-5% blowout possible?

A source for such claims, or just off the top of your head?

 

[element94]

There is a major difference.

In both cases, the Democrats were the incumbent party. That is part of their package of fundamentals, supporting Clinton in 2016 and Harris in 2024.


Thank you.

Missed that off the cuff.


What do you think a national poll polls?

Trump is ahead 0.4% in the popular vote polling. That number has moved 2.6% toward Trump since the first of the month.


Harris has regained the lead in Michigan. My bad.


View attachment 67540205

Whaddaya know, your claim was superseded within minutes.

 

[bullseyelqcs]

Hawaii (4) has more electoral votes than Alaska (3).

Hawaii has twice as many people as Alaska, but 1 more electoral vote. That was kinda the point.

Harris, IMO, has won even if all 7 of the States you refer to go solid for Trump.

Glad you are so optimistic. I don't share that same confidence. This is probably gonna be a nail biter.

Won't be much longer and we'll know for certain.

Got that right at least.

 

[Individual]

Hawaii has twice as many people as Alaska, but 1 more electoral vote. That was kinda the point.



Glad you are so optimistic. I don't share that same confidence. This is probably gonna be a nail biter.



Got that right at least.

Land was a poor word choice, maybe States would have helped make your point.

My nails may need clipped soon, but nothing to do with the election.

Don't worry, it'll be over soon.

 

[Jay59]

Hawaii (4) has more electoral votes than Alaska (3).
Harris, IMO, has won even if all 7 of the States you refer to go solid for Trump.
Won't be much longer and we'll know for certain.

2016, 2018, 2020, 2022

Try 2014.

A source for such claims, or just off the top of your head?

I claim that the numbers quoted were accurate at the time and that the polling data is suggestive.

Is that what you mean.

Whaddaya know, your claim was superseded within minutes.

Superceded is not a word that works in this context

Care to try again?

 

[upsideguy]

One other question presents itself: if Harris wins, how quickly will the OP start a thread claiming that the election was stolen, the voting machines were hacked, the hurricanes were steered, the cats were eaten and/or the ballots were eaten?

They have been working to set up that argument.

 

[Individual]

View attachment 67540251


Try 2014.


I claim that the numbers quoted were accurate at the time and that the polling data is suggestive.

Is that what you mean.


Superceded is not a word that works in this context

Care to try again?

 

[Jay59]

View attachment 67540444

Quoted tomorrow?

 

[Individual]

Quoted tomorrow?

It's always today where I live.