North Carolina Council of State races (10 in all)

[Safiel]

The ten offices are Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Auditor, State Treasurer, Secretary of State, Attorney General, Superintendent of Public Instruction, Commissioner of Agriculture, Commissioner of Labor and Commissioner of Insurance.

Currently a 6 to 4 Republican split, though Democrats currently hold the two most important offices, Governor and Attorney General.

Ticket splitters, such as myself, will likely be the margin in most of these races.

The Governor's race was an exceedingly easy choice for me, Robinson is a lunatic and Stein is a decent candidate.

For Lieutenant Governor, Rachel Hunt's effectiveness as a minority party legislator helped swing my choice here.

For Attorney General, Jeff Jackson is a relatively easy choice over Dan Bishop. Not a fan of putting Mr. Bathroom Bill in charge of this office.

For Secretary of State, no need to rock the boat, sticking with the incumbent Marshall.

For State Auditor, Jessica Holmes.

For State Treasurer, Brinner.

For Superintendent of Public Instruction, I would have enthusiastically voted for the incumbent, but MAGA replaced her with a lunatic, so voting for Mo Green.

For Labor and Insurance, voting for the respective Republican candidates.

So a 7 to 3 Democratic split for me, though it would have been 6 to 4 had Truitt survived. Last time around I split 5 to 5 on the Council of State.

Even if Trump carries the State, by no means assured, I think Democrats will likely score 4 to 6 seats on the Council of State, including the Governor.

Because Republicans will clearly retain large majorities in the State Legislature, I am not too concerned of any negative policy consequences from the Democratic side. The Republican Legislature will keep a sufficient check on any Democratic Council of State Officeholders, so I feel pretty confident in ticket splitting against those I find a bit too far to the right for my taste.

I kind of like the current balance of power.

 

[Safiel]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4845247-north-carolina-governor-poll-mark-robinson-josh-stein/

Robinson is down by 18 points in the same survey that found Harris up by 1 point.

Robinson could drag Harris and a lot of other Democrats across the finish line in North Carolina with his pathetic performance and his litany of scandals.

 

[Volunteer]

The ten offices are Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Auditor, State Treasurer, Secretary of State, Attorney General, Superintendent of Public Instruction, Commissioner of Agriculture, Commissioner of Labor and Commissioner of Insurance.

Currently a 6 to 4 Republican split, though Democrats currently hold the two most important offices, Governor and Attorney General.

Ticket splitters, such as myself, will likely be the margin in most of these races.

Because Republicans will clearly retain large majorities in the State Legislature, I am not too concerned of any negative policy consequences from the Democratic side. The Republican Legislature will keep a sufficient check on any Democratic Council of State Officeholders, so I feel pretty confident in ticket splitting against those I find a bit too far to the right for my taste.

I kind of like the current balance of power.

Your admittance to ticket splitting is admirable, and rare. However, I disagree that there is a balance of power in NC. The Republican control of the General Assembly denies even the simplest improvements in, and remedies to, our environmental and energy problems.

 

[Safiel]

With the great drag of Robinson and polling across all ten races, Democrats are looking at a possible 8 to 2 majority on the Council of State, with Republicans only favored for Commissioner of Agriculture and Commissioner of Insurance.

 

[roguenuke]

I'm voting straight blue here. I doubt that Democrats will pull off every one of those elections, but the more, the better. And hopefully we can swing a few of those legislature seats blue so that they can actually have some power.

 

[Safiel]

I'm voting straight blue here. I doubt that Democrats will pull off every one of those elections, but the more, the better. And hopefully we can swing a few of those legislature seats blue so that they can actually have some power.

I am still voting 7 to 3 Democrat on the Council of State. I think Democrats can flip a couple of seats in each house to at least break the Republican supermajorities which would greatly strengthen the hand of Stein.

Doesn't matter how I vote in my state legislative races as both are ultra safe Republican seats.

Stein will be in good shape to govern next year.

 

[Safiel]

Current polling:

Governor: Democrat +15
Lieutenant Governor: Democrat +2
Attorney General: Democrat +3
Secretary of State: Democrat +2
State Auditor: Even
State Treasurer: Republican +1
Superintendent of Public Instruction: Democrat +3
Commissioner of Agriculture: Republican +7
Commissioner of Labor: Republican +2
Commissioner of Insurance: Republican +3

So looking either at a 5 to 5 wash or 6 to 4 Democrat majority. Either way, Democrats will definitely have the Governorship and very likely will have the important post of Attorney General as well.

 

[Safiel]

Current polling:

Governor: Democrat +15
Lieutenant Governor: Even
Attorney General: Democrat +6
Secretary of State: Democrat +2
State Auditor: Republican +2
State Treasurer: Democrat +2
Superintendent of Public Instruction: Democrat +2
Commissioner of Agriculture: Republican +6
Commissioner of Labor: Republican +4
Commissioner of Insurance: Even

So 5 Democrat, 3 Republican and 2 even at the moment.

It is interesting that several races have moved in opposite directions, indicating that the swings are in relationship to those individual races only and not to voter sentiment in general.

The only races that I would be comfortable "predicting" at this moment is Governor for Democrats, Attorney General for Democrats and Commissioner of Agriculture for Republicans.

Other races are just too close to predict at this moment.

 

[roguenuke]

Current polling:

Governor: Democrat +15
Lieutenant Governor: Even
Attorney General: Democrat +6
Secretary of State: Democrat +2
State Auditor: Republican +2
State Treasurer: Democrat +2
Superintendent of Public Instruction: Democrat +2
Commissioner of Agriculture: Republican +6
Commissioner of Labor: Republican +4
Commissioner of Insurance: Even

So 5 Democrat, 3 Republican and 2 even at the moment.

It is interesting that several races have moved in opposite directions, indicating that the swings are in relationship to those individual races only and not to voter sentiment in general.

The only races that I would be comfortable "predicting" at this moment is Governor for Democrats, Attorney General for Democrats and Commissioner of Agriculture for Republicans.

Other races are just too close to predict at this moment.

Honestly, the main ones for me are Governor (and Lt Gov, but mainly because I feel more comfortable if the governor can leave the state on occasion without giving up power), the AG, and the Superintendent of Public Instruction (I hope we don't get that M4L jerk in). The rest it wouldn't really bother me, make a difference for which way they go.