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BRIANNE PFANNENSTIEL | Des Moines Register
Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds holds an 8-point lead over Democratic challenger Deidre DeJear as Iowa’s race for governor begins to take shape.
The latest Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows 51% of likely midterm election voters say they would support Reynolds, and 43% say they would support DeJear. Another 5% are not sure and 1% say they would not support either candidate.
The results come on the heels of Reynolds’ high-profile State of the Union response and as she prepares to formally launch her reelection campaign next week. She is seeking a second full term.
DeJear, a Des Moines businesswoman and activist, is the only Democrat actively running a campaign after state Rep. Ras Smith, D-Waterloo, ended his candidacy in January. The candidate filing period closes March 18.
According to the poll, 96% of likely Republican voters support Reynolds and 90% of likely Democratic voters support DeJear in the potential matchup. Independents mirror the overall result with 49% supporting Reynolds and 41% supporting DeJear.
Pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., called the results “surprising” because DeJear continues to have very low name recognition across the state. She said she would have expected a greater percentage of people to say they weren’t sure who they would vote for in November, given DeJear’s low visibility.
“It just says that people are voting on party, really,” Selzer said. “And that explains pretty much all of what’s happening in this early test of that vote.”
She said the numbers indicate this race will be “a fight for the independent vote.”
“The play will be in converting the independents and then getting them to turn out, because independents are notoriously unreliable voters,” she said. “So, if you can’t get them to go on the DeJear side, it’ll be hard to win.”
The poll of 813 Iowa adults, including 612 likely voters, was conducted Feb. 28 to March 2 by Selzer & Co. The questions of all Iowans have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points; it’s plus or minus 4 percentage points for questions asked of likely voters.
Interesting.
“Only“ 8% ahead against a virtually unknown Democratic candidate. Only 30% of voters know her.
Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds holds an 8-point lead over Democratic challenger Deidre DeJear as Iowa’s race for governor begins to take shape.
The latest Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows 51% of likely midterm election voters say they would support Reynolds, and 43% say they would support DeJear. Another 5% are not sure and 1% say they would not support either candidate.
The results come on the heels of Reynolds’ high-profile State of the Union response and as she prepares to formally launch her reelection campaign next week. She is seeking a second full term.
DeJear, a Des Moines businesswoman and activist, is the only Democrat actively running a campaign after state Rep. Ras Smith, D-Waterloo, ended his candidacy in January. The candidate filing period closes March 18.
According to the poll, 96% of likely Republican voters support Reynolds and 90% of likely Democratic voters support DeJear in the potential matchup. Independents mirror the overall result with 49% supporting Reynolds and 41% supporting DeJear.
Pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., called the results “surprising” because DeJear continues to have very low name recognition across the state. She said she would have expected a greater percentage of people to say they weren’t sure who they would vote for in November, given DeJear’s low visibility.
“It just says that people are voting on party, really,” Selzer said. “And that explains pretty much all of what’s happening in this early test of that vote.”
She said the numbers indicate this race will be “a fight for the independent vote.”
“The play will be in converting the independents and then getting them to turn out, because independents are notoriously unreliable voters,” she said. “So, if you can’t get them to go on the DeJear side, it’ll be hard to win.”
The poll of 813 Iowa adults, including 612 likely voters, was conducted Feb. 28 to March 2 by Selzer & Co. The questions of all Iowans have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points; it’s plus or minus 4 percentage points for questions asked of likely voters.
Iowa Poll: As 2022 governor's race takes shape, Kim Reynolds leads Deidre DeJear
According to the latest Iowa Poll, 51% of likely midterm election voters say they support Gov. Kim Reynolds, and 43% say they support Deidre DeJear.
eu.desmoinesregister.com
Interesting.
“Only“ 8% ahead against a virtually unknown Democratic candidate. Only 30% of voters know her.
