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In Georgia special election, can a Democrat get above 50%?

Chomsky

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re: The thread title

It would seem he might be 72% of the way there!

"As of 10:15 p.m. ET, Ossoff had 50.4% of the vote, with 72% of the vote in, according to Edison Research."

Source: CNN: In Georgia special election, can a Democrat get above 50%?

This is being billed as a referendum on Trump. While I can't ascertain that claim, both parties have been throwing tons of resources at this in terms of dollars, media, people, and pols. And Trump himself did 6 Tweets in two days with a robo-call for good luck!

We shall see. But it's looking close.
 

It's both, a referendum on Trump, and an example of population demographic and ideological change.

This district has been an island surrounded by Democrat districts, and has been long overdue for a shift in voting.
 

I think it's gonna be pretty close, but still not enough to pull out a win.
 
It was a pretty big mistake hanging symbolic hopes on a House race in a red district, regardless of how far behind a Democrat was historically supposed to be. But as with the Kansas race, the Republican candidates are working ridiculously hard for every win where it should have been a breeze.
 

Here's a site for live election results: Election Night Reporting
 
Wooohooo. We get to drag out the election some more.
 
Cardinal said:
It was a pretty big mistake hanging symbolic hopes on a House race in a red district, regardless of how far behind a Democrat was historically supposed to be.
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It's a bit hard to be a cheap knock-off of a cheap knock-off (2010-2014 Tea Party). They will get the hang of it sooner or later.
 
TheGoverness said:
I think it's gonna be pretty close, but still not enough to pull out a win.
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Yeah, that's my feeling too for some unknown reason.

It just seems to be a Dem quality as of late ...
 
Chomsky said:
Yeah, that's my feeling too for some unknown reason.

It just seems to be a Dem quality as of late ...
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It's hard to be optimistic in these times. But I'm kind of the pessimistic type anyways, so whatever.
 
Beaudreaux said:
It's both, a referendum on Trump, and an example of population demographic and ideological change.

This district has been an island surrounded by Democrat districts, and has been long overdue for a shift in voting.
Click to expand...

Nah... even if Ossoff wins, I expect it to flip back in the next election. North of Atlanta is not liberal in any stretch of the imagination. It is upper class suburbia.
 
poweRob said:
Nah... even if Ossoff wins, I expect it to flip back in the next election. North of Atlanta is not liberal in any stretch of the imagination. It is upper class suburbia.
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Yes, agreed that it will likely flip back in a regular election due to a preponderance of GOP voters.

But as a special election, it is interesting in that some believe it gives reflection of mood and enthusiasm. With Trump's heavy involvement, at the least it would be seen as another in the line of his consistent failures.
 
Chomsky said:
Yeah, that's my feeling too for some unknown reason.

It just seems to be a Dem quality as of late ...
Click to expand...

Ossoff is the first of the millenial generation, has excited a new base in the South, has a fantastic ground game and an awesome small donor fund-raising machine.

As a pragmatic moderate who can speak without insulting others as trump did to him, he's attracting INDYs and causing thoughtful GOPs to take a 2nd look.

This is just the beginning, as GOPs also have MT-AL to worry about next month .
 

There's no need for GA-6 to flip back if Ossoff wins. Where have Price, Gingrich and Isakson been for trump's disastrous 89 days? They'll be out the next 9 weeks for Handel, who has been a very poor candidate in the past.

The only thing preventing DEMs from coalescing is DEMs in-fighting themselves. Instead of bitching and complaining at each other about what happened last year, follow the lead of DEMs like Ossoff for next year .
 
There was something anecdotal that might give Dems some solace. Some showing-up at the election claimed they were sorry for staying home for 2016 and for not having taken it seriously.

If the above is even a slight mood among Dems, that would be a very good thing. It wouldn't have taken much additional turnout to have stopped Trump.
 
The ramifications of a dem victory could start a solid movement eventually pushing some reps of the Trump wagon. h Next 9 months will be interesting.
 
poweRob said:
What is this race you speak of?
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May 25, 2017; to replace MT-at large Rep. Zinke, who is now Sec. Of Interior; Dem Quist v. GOP Gianforte; Quist is a folk legend in MT; Gianforte is a billionaire from NJ trying to buy this at-large seat .
 
NIMBY said:
May 25, 2017; to replace MT-at large Rep. Zinke, who is now Sec. Of Interior; Dem Quist v. GOP Gianforte; Quist is a folk legend in MT; Gianforte is a billionaire from NJ trying to buy this at-large seat .
Click to expand...

Well I like the looks of this:


Only the 2nd endorsement by Sanders since the November election.
 

I don't have time to look at last year. trump can't figure out which way to send his 'armada' and is now debating dropping out of the Iran nuke deal.

DEMs must learn from each election this year, including two big ones in NOV in NJ and VA for governor, and take notice right this moment that Sen. Sanders and DNC Chair Perez are on an 8-state tour .
 
poweRob said:
Well I like the looks of this:


Only the 2nd endorsement by Sanders since the November election.
Click to expand...

MT is gaining in population, with a huge 508,000 voting in their one CD last year. They're on the border line to gain a 2nd CD next decade.

DEMs really didn't lose that bad to Zinke and they're energized. It's hard to tell at this point how the Green, Libertarian and write-in will affect the race. As always, I'm using the green papers .
 
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He just dropped below 50% to 48.61%.
 
Welp, it ain't over. Ossoff got more than everybody else put together (so far).

Again, it should be noted that a Democrat wasn't supposed to be able to do this.
 
There was a really red area that was late reporting for some reason. (I'm guessing illegals). That will give the repub the win.
 
Porkuloss said:
There was a really red area that was late reporting for some reason. (I'm guessing illegals). That will give the repub the win.
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They were republicans probably coming in via busloads from Massachussetts and all. There are witnesses and stuff.
 
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