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How long will it take for Iran to successfully detonate a nuclear weapon?

Starting from 2025-06-21, how long will it take for Iran to successfully detonate a nuclear weapon?

  • Total voters
    11
B

bythoughts

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"Many presidents have dreamed of delivering the final blow to Iran’s nuclear programme. And none could – until President Trump." -- Pete Hegseth

For this poll, any seismographically detectable use a nuclear weapon counts, including underground tests or wartime use. Merely having a nuke, or claiming to have one, does not count. Votes can't be changed. So some people will be objectively right and most others objectively wrong ... unless some city gets blown up by an anonymous nuke and we never decide for sure who did it.
 
Sometimes I think if they did and "tested it" on one country in the Middle East it would actually end most ME conflicts.
 
bythoughts said:
"Many presidents have dreamed of delivering the final blow to Iran’s nuclear programme. And none could – until President Trump." -- Pete Hegseth

For this poll, any seismographically detectable use a nuclear weapon counts, including underground tests or wartime use. Merely having a nuke, or claiming to have one, does not count. Votes can't be changed. So some people will be objectively right and most others objectively wrong ... unless some city gets blown up by an anonymous nuke and we never decide for sure who did it.
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Tomorrow, be afraid, very afraid and it's aimed at you directly. Fox news Pete Hegseth? I'm hearing the same kind of bullshit from the right I heard before W lied us into Iraq. Weapons of mass destruction.
 
I think it's safe to say Iran's little nuclear hobby is over.

Israel (and possibly the US) will continue to target their nuclear weapon infrastructure and scientists.

When they meet to negotiate the terms will be much tougher than the last agreement.
 
Allan said:
I think it's safe to say Iran's little nuclear hobby is over.

Israel (and possibly the US) will continue to target their nuclear weapon infrastructure and scientists.

When they meet to negotiate the terms will be much tougher than the last agreement.
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Iran has no reason to ever give up on gaining nuclear weapons at this point, because the West has proven negotiations are meaningless.

Israel has been trying that for decades. Iran hasn’t been deterred in the slightest.
 
Thats anyones guess.

But I would surmise that it won't take long at all for many "terrorist" type events to be directed at Americans at home and all around the globe in response to Crooked donnie trumps war of aggression.

Book it. (y)
 
Tigerace117 said:
Iran has no reason to ever give up on gaining nuclear weapons at this point, because the West has proven negotiations are meaningless.

Israel has been trying that for decades. Iran hasn’t been deterred in the slightest.
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They might try but Israel and the US can blow shit up faster than they can build it.
 
Allan said:
They might try but Israel and the US can blow shit up faster than they can build it.
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The US and Israel waging a blatant war of aggression is unlikely to convince Iran they don’t need nukes.
 
The Brad Dad said:
Sometimes I think if they did and "tested it" on one country in the Middle East it would actually end most ME conflicts.
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I'm hoping you aren't suggesting they blow up Israel to end the conflict in the ME. History would not favor your assesment as there have been conflicts across the ME that did not involve Israel.
Here are some examples of modern conflicts in the Middle East that have involved nations other than Israel:
  • Iran-Iraq War (1980-1988): This conflict, the longest conventional war of the 20th century, involved Iran and Iraq for nearly eight years. Iraq initiated the attack, fearing the spread of Iran's new revolutionary ideology into Iraq. The war resulted in over one million deaths and featured the use of chemical weapons by Iraq. It is often described as resembling World War I in its trench warfare and human wave attacks. Although a UN-brokered ceasefire was reached in 1988, it reinforced authoritarian rule in both countries and did not result in significant territorial changes.
  • Gulf War (1990-1991): This conflict was triggered by Iraq's invasion of Kuwait in August 1990. It involved a coalition of 35 nations led by the United States against Iraq. The coalition sought to liberate Kuwait and launched a massive air and ground offensive. This war featured advanced military technology and achieved its objective quickly, culminating in a ceasefire in February 1991. Although Iraq was defeated, Saddam Hussein remained in power.
  • Yemeni Civil War (2014-present): This ongoing civil war began when the Houthi movement, a Shia rebel group, seized control of the capital, Sanaa. It has evolved into a multilateral conflict with the internationally recognized government, backed by a Saudi-led coalition, retaining control of southern territories. The war is widely seen as a proxy conflict between regional powers like Iran and Saudi Arabia. It has had a devastating impact on Yemen, causing a severe humanitarian crisis and displacing millions.
  • Syrian Civil War (2011-present): This war began as a government crackdown on anti-government protests, but it quickly escalated into a complex and bloody civil war with various factions involved. It has also drawn in regional and international powers who have supported different sides.
These are examples of conflicts in the modern Middle East that have involved nations other than Israel. The region continues to face complex political and security challenges, with ongoing conflicts and rivalries influencing the dynamics of the region.
 
Allan said:
I think it's safe to say Iran's little nuclear hobby is over.

Israel (and possibly the US) will continue to target their nuclear weapon infrastructure and scientists.

When they meet to negotiate the terms will be much tougher than the last agreement.
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Nah. They'll just get them the Israeli way.
 
Tigerace117 said:
The US and Israel waging a blatant war of aggression is unlikely to convince Iran they don’t need nukes.
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Or any other country.

Of course they may decide to buy them from other countries
 
Allan said:
I think it's safe to say Iran's little nuclear hobby is over.

Israel (and possibly the US) will continue to target their nuclear weapon infrastructure and scientists.

When they meet to negotiate the terms will be much tougher than the last agreement.
Click to expand...
I hope you're right. We do have to worry about a radical ideology that still believes there are virgins on the other side waiting for heroic jihadists.
 
CaughtInThe said:
Man, it didn't take long for the cult (who said they were against war) to fall right in line when the cult leader tells them what to do.
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The left is even funnier. Other than TDS they're clueless as to how to think. They're waiting for AOC to give her marching orders.
 
bythoughts said:
"Many presidents have dreamed of delivering the final blow to Iran’s nuclear programme. And none could – until President Trump." -- Pete Hegseth
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Isn't this guy the drunken suck up?

I expect they already have nuke and it is on a ship near NYC harbor.
 
NatMorton said:
I hope you're right. We do have to worry about a radical ideology that still believes there are virgins on the other side waiting for heroic jihadists.
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We already have a radical ideology in this country, and it’s in charge of our government. Radical Christians present the greatest threat to our country’s security and stability.
 
NatMorton said:
That rather depends on the consequences to Iran from that "blatant war."
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According to your narrative Iran would happily sacrifice its cities in nuclear fire.

Why should anyone believe regular bombings would deter them, if your claims were true?
 
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