An interesting take on modeling.“At the end of the Journey: Projection uncertainty grows much faster than any possible GHG signal.
Large systematic errors make projections of future Earth temperatures entirely unreliable.
“What do climate models reveal about future global average temperature? Nothing.
“What do climate models reveal about a human GHG fingerprint on the terrestrial climate? Nothing.”
Climate Models Provide No Rational Basis for Predicting Future Global Average Temperature
An interesting take on modeling.
It is about the reliability and accuracy of the computer models.From your link-
"E. Calvin Beisner, Ph.D., is Founder and National Spokesman of The Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation and a scholar on the application of Biblical worldview, theology, and ethics to economics, government, and public policy."
I haven't watched the video yet. Does it have anything to do with Noah, the Flood and Rainbows and god's promise to mankind? Or what the Bible reveals about predicting the weather?
It is about the reliability and accuracy of the computer models.
That is not what the lecture was about.You mean the ones which quite accurately predicted over 30 years ago that we would be living in the warmest decade ever recorded, and coincidentally, we are living in the warmest year and through much of it, the warmest month ever recorded?
You mean those models that missed by so much?
I guarantee that 30 years ago, you were insisting that temperatures would be as likely to decline as rise.
That is not what the lecture was about.
Perhaps you can enlighten us with your interpretation, oh wait, you likely did not watch the lecture?
So it is as I said, you have not watched the lecture, you feel compelled to comment about your lack of information.I've been around long enough to recognize denier nonsense by the title and Cornwall Alliance credentials.
So it is as I said, you have not watched the lecture, you feel compelled to comment about your lack of information.
IOW: All weather forecasts are total BS.
:lol:
Climate Models Provide No Rational Basis for Predicting Future Global Average Temperature
An interesting take on modeling.
So still not willing to look at new information, I guess that is what passes for Science in your world.I have the information- computer models 30 years ago, and reality now.
They match up pretty well.
I am not sure about the author, but the lecture by Dr. Patrick Frank is fairly good, about how he addresses theSo the author doesn't know what the word "rational" means ?
So still not willing to look at new information, I guess that is what passes for Science in your world.
Just ignore anything that disagrees with your preconceived reality.
As long as you only look at concepts that agree with what you already believe, your dogma is safe.You remind me of a homeopathy salesman.
I guess I just deny science if I won't look at this study of 10x echinacea for melanoma!
I am not sure about the author, but the lecture by Dr. Patrick Frank is fairly good, about how he addresses the
uncertainty of the models.
As long as you only look at concepts that agree with what you already believe, your dogma is safe.
I try to stick with real science, homeopathic medicine studies, seem to be your area, at least you talk about it a lot.And you'll continue to waste your time mulling the impact of homeopathic medicine studies.
I try to stick with real science, homeopathic medicine studies, seem to be your area, at least you talk about it a lot.
It is not that, it is not an area of interest to me, and not relevant to this discussion.What? You're not going to even look at it?
Some open scientific mind you've got there. Just ignoring anything that doesn't fit your preconceived reality.
I guess it must be your dogma.
.Dr. Patrick Frank says the models are incapable of predicting future temperatures
It is not that, it is not an area of interest to me, and not relevant to this discussion.
With AGW, there are real scientist with alternative theories about the observed warming,
Or in Dr. Patrick Frank case, have brought forward concerns of our ability to project future temperature
with the available inputs. This is relevant to a discussion entitled,
.
Yet you want to discuss the topic without even viewing his lecture on what the weaknesses in the models are.
I guess you will never know, unless you actually view the lecture.Well, from what it looks like to me, it's a chemist weighing in on criticizing climate modeling, which has all the gravitas of a brain surgeon criticizing paleontology.
I guess you will never know, unless you actually view the lecture.
From your link-
"E. Calvin Beisner, Ph.D., is Founder and National Spokesman of The Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation and a scholar on the application of Biblical worldview, theology, and ethics to economics, government, and public policy."
I haven't watched the video yet. Does it have anything to do with Noah, the Flood and Rainbows and god's promise to mankind? Or what the Bible reveals about predicting the weather?
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