UP: 2011 West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil (WTI) Prices
WTI at 02/16/12 $102.31.
Its interesting that the difference is so high for so long. WTI and Brent have been showing a spread that is honestly ridiculous.
Yep.. and Brent is ALWAYS higher than OPEC or West Texas crude.
Yeah but generally not that much of a difference nor does it go on for this long.
My sense of it is that they are taking advantage of the politics and nerves.
A 20% spread of, both handles, between the price of WTI and brent is a signal that the market believes the risk of a supply shock is quite high.
It's gonna hit the roof with Iran using oil as a weapon.
It's gonna hit the roof with Iran using oil as a weapon.
Neither side can afford to seem weak on the West, but whoever wins the struggle will face a dire economic situation, and the only way to relieve it is to find markets for Iranian oil and thus to reduce the global temperature.
Let's not forget that the Iranians are having an election soon, March 2nd, is it? Some see these elections representing a showdown between Khamenei and Ahmadinejad (see StrategyPage, for example). But mainly, the issue within the country is the economy, with the government now resorting to barter in its effort to evade sanctions.
As one observer wrote,
Persisting in belligerence does not seem to be in their best interests. But do they know that?
The people would probably know that.
There have been rumors of a coup for months.
Sadly, I doubt any election could shake control away frm the clerics.
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