You're the one who got lucky. Most don't.
I do not deny that there's luck involved. There's luck involved in everything we do, but I also had foresight and the balls to hold through some of the hardest ups and downs that you could imagine.
Okay then. Why don't you ever talk about the people who have lost money on Bitcoin? Why do you downplay the fraud and criminality that happen in Bitcoin?
Well, when it comes to Bitcoin, if you hold properly over the long term, then you're not ever losing money so far. That's just 100% true. I'm not saying that it's easy to do. It's technically difficult. And I'm definitely sorry for people who've lost their keys and therefore lost access to fortunes. That's terrible.
But it's not Bitcoin's fault. I mean, people lose things. It's just how it works. It's how life works.
And please note, the idea that Bitcoin is somehow "special" is ludicrous.
We're gonna differ on this one. I think Bitcoin is special. And I believe that the vast majority of projects that came after Bitcoin, though some of them have good ideas, or are interesting experiments, are mostly just scams.
Ethereum had a pre-mine. Ripple did too, but even bigger, and they claimed they lost the first several blocks from their blockchain. And then there's all kinds of smart contract-based garbage things designed to make people want to gamble and rip them off. I think a lot of your ire is properly directed at most of crypto, but not Bitcoin.
I'm just tired of hearing people claiming that crypto is the "future of hard money," because they are pushing crypto.
Then quit listening to them, and I would like to say that I'm not one of those people. I don't think crypto is the future of money. I think Bitcoin is.
That's an awfully selective set of "truths" you share.
"Well, that's just like your opinion, man." - the Dude
Yep, that is what it is. Don't forget that a lot of early adopters made very expensive mistakes, such as
- forgetting a password, and only having one last guess on forgotten password that has sole access to 7,000 BTC (current value $721,044,693.76)
- accidentally throwing out a hard drive with the keys for 8,000 BTC
- spending 10,000 BTC for two pizzas in 2010 (current value: $1,027,740,096.79)
I addressed the lost key issue above. I too have lost Bitcoin to various things early on. It was part of the price of being involved with it early. It was even harder to do back then.
But the pizza example really is incorrect. Yes, Lazlo Hayek spent 10,000 Bitcoin on two Papa John's pizzas, I think.
And all the people in the world look at what he did with hindsight and call him a fool. Like you.
But what he actually did was bootstrap the Bitcoin economy that day. He actually put value on Bitcoin. And Bitcoin became something that people understood that could be used in a transactional way. The pizza day is celebrated by all Bitcoiners and I'm sure Lazlo as well.
And believe me, 10,000 Bitcoin is not all that he held. Lazlo is most certainly doing just fine.
And it's because he had foresight and knowledge and fortitude and the guts to make a transaction that later in life people would make fun of... and he held through all of it. And like you like to point out, he was lucky.
Bitcoin is nothing more than the latest bubble. Its ability to find more suckers than past bubbles doesn't change that.
I simply disagree. I don't think I even have to give a reason why this is an opinion. The chart goes up if you zoom out.
Because altruistically, most people who "invest" in crypto lose money.
I've been advising people not to invest in "crypto" for about 12 years now.
By the way, I've noticed that your justifications for Bitcoin shift quite a bit.
I'm a capricious person. I might say all kinds of crazy stuff. But most of those things I agree with, some of those things I think I would add a lot of nuance to, I don't tend to see things in black and white.
And I think the jury is out on what a deflationary asset can or can't do. It might fail because of that. That would be the Keynesian position. But we haven't lived in a world with an internet that and a asset that's working that way in any of our lifetimes. So, we'll have to see.
So far, the future looks bright. Here's to the next bubble. Lol. (Although Each cycle is a little flatter than the ones before.)