Ad that's just in Our galaxy.The known odds of something — or someone — living far, far away from Earth improved beyond astronomers’ boldest dreams on Monday.
Astronomers reported that there could be as many as 40 billion habitable Earth-size planets in the galaxy, based on a new analysis of data from NASA’s Kepler spacecraft.
One out of every five sunlike stars in the galaxy has a planet the size of Earth circling it in the Goldilocks zone — not too hot, not too cold — where surface temperatures should be compatible with liquid water, according to a herculean three-year calculation based on data from the Kepler spacecraft by Erik Petigura, a graduate student at the University of California, Berkeley.
Mr. Petigura’s analysis represents a major step toward the main goal of the Kepler mission, which was to measure what fraction of sunlike stars in the galaxy have Earth-size planets. Sometimes called eta-Earth, it is an important factor in the so-called Drake equation used to estimate the number of intelligent civilizations in the universe. Mr. Petigura’s paper, published Monday in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, puts another smiley face on a cosmos that has gotten increasingly friendly and fecund-looking over the last 20 years.
“It seems that the universe produces Plentiful real estate for life that somehow resembles life on Earth,” Mr. Petigura said.
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None of that makes any difference for human or human like occupation if the gravity profile isn't exactly the same as Terra.
We now have a much better handle on probability of... possibility of life.
Since we don't know the exact 'cause' of life, I was very careful in my OP using the secondary/conditional "probability of... Possibility of".No we don't.
We have a better handle on how many habitable Earth-size planets there likely are in the galaxy.
We're not one micrometer closer to having a "better handle on probability of... possibility of life".
You people are positively religious in your need to not be all alone.
It's unsettling.
Buy a woobie and stop trying to replace God with aliens.
Trying to be "scientific" about things doesn't make your child-like monophobia any more attractive.
When we find some, ANY evidence of extraterrestrial life then you can talk about the likelihood.
Until then, the number of Earth-like planets doesn't tell you ANYTHING, the fact that there might be ice on Mars doesn't tell you ANYTHING, the fact that Europa has a liquid something core doesn't tell you ANYTHING, the fact that we've found amino acids on meteorites doesn't tell you ANYTHING.
All interesting stuff, no doubt, and great information in it's own right, but it doesn't make the Gospel according to Sagan any more relevant.
No we don't.
We have a better handle on how many habitable Earth-size planets there likely are in the galaxy.
We're not one micrometer closer to having a "better handle on probability of... possibility of life".
You people are positively religious in your need to not be all alone.
It's unsettling.
Buy a woobie and stop trying to replace God with aliens.
Trying to be "scientific" about things doesn't make your child-like monophobia any more attractive.
When we find some, ANY evidence of extraterrestrial life then you can talk about the likelihood.
Until then, the number of Earth-like planets doesn't tell you ANYTHING, the fact that there might be ice on Mars doesn't tell you ANYTHING, the fact that Europa has a liquid something core doesn't tell you ANYTHING, the fact that we've found amino acids on meteorites doesn't tell you ANYTHING.
All interesting stuff, no doubt, and great information in it's own right, but it doesn't make the Gospel according to Sagan any more relevant.
No we don't.
We have a better handle on how many habitable Earth-size planets there likely are in the galaxy.
We're not one micrometer closer to having a "better handle on probability of... possibility of life".
You people are positively religious in your need to not be all alone.
It's unsettling.
Buy a woobie and stop trying to replace God with aliens.
Trying to be "scientific" about things doesn't make your child-like monophobia any more attractive.
When we find some, ANY evidence of extraterrestrial life then you can talk about the likelihood.
Until then, the number of Earth-like planets doesn't tell you ANYTHING, the fact that there might be ice on Mars doesn't tell you ANYTHING, the fact that Europa has a liquid something core doesn't tell you ANYTHING, the fact that we've found amino acids on meteorites doesn't tell you ANYTHING.
All interesting stuff, no doubt, and great information in it's own right, but it doesn't make the Gospel according to Sagan any more relevant.
If there were were virtually No planets like us in Size and in the 'Goldilocks zone', I think I could fairly say that odds of life elsewhere went down.. as it turns out, I'd fairly say, they just went up.
Your vehemence is what smacks of religious fervor, not the other way around.
Agreed.
I won't wishfully believe something completely out of hand until I see some evidence for it.
VERY religious.
No.Why does life NEED a 'Goldilocks zone'?
No reason that I can think of.
We know that we live on a planet that lies within a 'Goldilocks zone', but we also know that there is plenty of life on this planet that lives in ecosystems that are very un-Goldilocks-like?
We know that there are creatures that live here on Earth at temperatures, pressures, and chemical concentrations that would kill us in less than a second.
What's to say that those sorts of lifeforms wouldn't be the rule and we the exception?
What's to say that we shouldn't be looking for "that" type of planet rather than "this" type of planet?
As I suspected, its ignorance of simple facts that leads to your position.
Unless one believes 'God created man' and 'uniquely in his image', the odds of life went up.. Big Time. Even if one does believe that, it is cause for doubt if the believer is anything but 100% brainwashed.
None of that makes any difference for human or human like occupation if the gravity profile isn't exactly the same as Terra.
So, sentience doesn't count unless that life is identical to us, being as we are "The God's Image" folks?
With all due respect, that is "human" arrogance, not analysis. The chances that we are the one and only form of life are virtually zero.
And why does it have to be exactly?
Too much, even by a little and our organs are smooshed, blood doesn't flow. Too little, even by a bit and our bones disintegrate and our blood again has flow problems, organs balloon. Gravity affects chemistry, electro-chemistry and pretty much everything that comprises sentient life as we know it.
Just the brief time astronauts are in a different gravity environment causes lifetime effects. They never regain the bone loss fully.
Btw, Goldilocks zones are named that way for the fairy tale, not too hot or too cold. That's why the search for them is supposed for HUMAN occupation or the development of human like life.
Too much, even by a little and our organs are smooshed, blood doesn't flow. Too little, even by a bit and our bones disintegrate and our blood again has flow problems, organs balloon. Gravity affects chemistry, electro-chemistry and pretty much everything that comprises sentient life as we know it.
Just the brief time astronauts are in a different gravity environment causes lifetime effects. They never regain the bone loss fully.
Btw, Goldilocks zones are named that way for the fairy tale, not too hot or too cold. That's why the search for them is supposed for HUMAN occupation or the development of human like life.
Not my point. They talk about these worlds being human habitable. Probably very few of those billions are. Also I have read in the past where there is speculation that sentience as we know it also relies on a certain gravity profile like we have here.
I think you're overstating the gravity issue quite a bit. It's not like 1.1g or 0.9g would cause these problems.
I've seen plenty of speculation that we could adapt to substantially different gravity... and no studies saying we HAVE to have exactly 1.0000g to thrive.
Granted, 40 billion is certainly optimistic for finding Earth-like conditions... but a planet could vary a fair bit from Earth's profile and still harbor earthlike life.
Definitions and qualificationsI would say this that life would adapt to whatever gravity that it finds itself on if the genetics or other mechanism is flexible enough.
Human habitation I bet would get by just fine on range of gravitational pulls, from a .3g to 1.5 and maybe more depending on how we modify ourselves.
So I think that while one would have to subtract many for reason of surface condition/nature, one might have to add back others only slightly smaller than Earth that weren't counted in the "1-2 times earth size", data set.http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/11/04/earth-like-habitable-planets-kepler-space-video_n_4214758.html said:[......]
Taking a planet census
Petigura and his colleagues painstakingly developed software to sift through Kepler's mammoth data set. The spacecraft's field of view includes about 150,000 stars, but most of these fluctuate in brightness too much for a planet to be detectable. The team examined 42,000 of the "quietest" stars, finding 603 planet candidates around these stars, 10 of which were Earth-size and lay in the habitable zone.
The team defined Earth-size planets as ones having a radius one to two times that of Earth. Planets were considered to be in the habitable zone if they received about as much light as the Earth does from the sun (within a factor of four). [7 Ways to Discover Alien Planets]
They used the Keck I telescope in Hawaii to take spectra of the stars, in order to pin down the radii of the planets.
But this wasn't the end of the story. Just as taking a census requires some statistical corrections for the people the survey misses, the researchers had to make corrections for planets Kepler missed.
[.......]
Chances for life
The researchers were quick to point out that the fact that these planets are Earth-size and lie in the habitable zone does not mean they could support life. The planets might have scorching-hot atmospheres, or no atmospheres at all, they said. Even if the planets have all the basic ingredients for life, scientists don't know the probability that life would ever get started.
The definition of Earth-size planets in this study was pretty broad, Fressin said. For instance, a planet that has a radius twice the size of Earth's might not even be rocky, he said.
Kepler mission scientist Natalie Batalha, an astronomer at NASA's Ames Research Center who was not involved with the study, agrees it's a generous definition. Rocky planets with a radius about 1 to 1.5 times the size of Earth's have been found, but the fraction of larger planets that are rocky is probably much lower, Batalha told SPACE.com. Still, it's a fair start, she said.
"Kepler's prime objective was to understand the prevalence of habitable planets in the galaxy," Batalha said at a news conference. "This is the first time a team has offered such a number for stars like the sun."
[......]
Actually, its more like trillions and the gravity "theory" is exactly that - a theory.
Obviously you have never been abducted by aliens. The next time they come for me, I'll recommend you to them.
(just being entertaining)
If aliens abduct you Mr. Martian ambassador, that would be a breach of professional ethics. Only Earthlings from trailer parks are allowed to be abducted.
Not my point. They talk about these worlds being human habitable. Probably very few of those billions are. Also I have read in the past where there is speculation that sentience as we know it also relies on a certain gravity profile like we have here.
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