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Biden numbers tick up. GOP loses lead on generic ballot....

American

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No, I don't buy it because there is no reason for any uptick. He is continually failing in every area.
 

Common Sense 1

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I hope the Biden disinformation office looks at this story.......
Looks like there is a big bunch of disinformation going on here?
 

VanceMack

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The WaPo...as reported on MSNBC. Listen to the first 40 seconds and see if you can guess why the numbers might be suspect.
 

Common Sense 1

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From the Biden supporting Washington Post

How good that new poll is — and isn’t — for Democrats​


It’s been more than six months since Democrats have seen much of anything you could pass off as a good poll, so you could forgive them for firing off a celebratory tweet or two over the last 24 hours.


House Democrats’ campaign chief, Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (N.Y.), deployed one on Monday in response to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. The poll showed President Biden’s approval rating recovering a bit and — more importantly for Maloney’s present job — Democrats drawing even with Republicans in 2020 on the generic congressional ballot.

“So, a lot can happen in 6 months,” Maloney said, pointing to a graph that showed Democrats erasing their 10-point deficit from November.

That much is certainly true. How much Democrats have truly begun climbing out of their hole — and could continue to do so over the next six months — isn’t quite so clear.

The first thing we can say is that the generic ballot, overall, hasn’t shown signs of shifting so markedly across all polls. FiveThirtyEight’s tracker of the generic ballot — asking “If the election were held today, would you prefer a generic Democrat or a generic Republican?” — has held relatively steady for months, with the GOP leading by between two and three points. And in fact, it’s most recent GOP advantage, of 2.7 points, is actually the highest to date.




Everyone knows what is going to happen in November! Landslide or Tsunami take your pick.


1651529757547.png
 

OrphanSlug

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The aggregate across all polls does not support what Washington Post / ABC News is suggesting.

While you might be able to argue the numbers have leveled off from the decline what has not happened is some massive reclaim of approval. More importantly, Independents and moderates still feel enough economic pain as well as exclusion from who is doing the talking for the party.

The projection suggests the midterms are still looking rough for Democrats. By the raw numerics of how Presidents do with their first midterms something like ~28 seats may be lost to Republicans with some suggesting it could be as high as ~40.

Hold the bubbly.

 

Roadvirus

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Most likely this poll was taken before the Disinformation Governance Board thing came out, which means we'll see Biden's numbers crash again in the next couple of weeks.
 

Subieguy

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So....????

Was there a point to this.

Is this a "Hey look how we can people to buy crap" post or is it a "Look at our lying spin-doctor media" post ?
buy crap? What about 2016-2020? Now that was a a TON o' crap!!!! and obstruction, and lies, and LOL.
 

Jay59

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This is misinformation. One poll has an uptick for Biden, but his average is still in -11% to -13% range he has been in for the last several months. Only Trump has been worse and not much worse. One poll generic ballot favors the Democrats by 1%, but the average is still over 4% to the Republicans.

No, I don't buy it because there is no reason for any uptick. He is continually failing in every area.
This is normal sampling variance. Biden's numbers have settled into a range. At the moment is it toward the top of the range whereas two weeks ago it was toward the bottom.

Bidens numbers are getting better.
They aren't. If anything the opposite is true.

GOP is losing generic mid term ballot preference.
Up over 4% is not losing.

You have been listening to the cult's sermons too much.

On the subject of the generic ballot, it's worth noting that 5% in favor of the Republicans will likely assure them control of the Senate.
 
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Buckeyes85

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With all the money Biden is giving away to homeless, illegal immigrants, how can his numbers not be on the uptick?
 

Court Jester

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9b5.jpg
 

Subieguy

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This is misinformation. One poll has an uptick for Biden, but his average is still in -11% to -13% range he has been in for the last several months. Only Trump has been worse and not much worse. One poll generic ballot favors the Democrats by 1%, but the average is still over 4% to the Republicans.


This is normal sampling variance. Biden's numbers have settled into a range. At the moment is it toward the top of the range whereas two weeks ago it was toward the bottom.


They aren't. If anything the opposite is true.


Up over 4% is not losing.

You have been listening to the cult's sermons too much.

On the subject of the generic ballot, it's worth noting that 5% in favor of the Republicans will likely assure them control of the Senate.
I don't listen to the Trump Cult, but we all know who does.....
 

Jay59

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I don't listen to the Trump Cult, but we all know who does.....
There is another cult. They hate Trump and you quote them a lot.

I suppose they don't think of themselves as a cult, in this thread even.
 

Puigb

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From the Biden supporting Washington Post

How good that new poll is — and isn’t — for Democrats​


It’s been more than six months since Democrats have seen much of anything you could pass off as a good poll, so you could forgive them for firing off a celebratory tweet or two over the last 24 hours.


House Democrats’ campaign chief, Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (N.Y.), deployed one on Monday in response to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. The poll showed President Biden’s approval rating recovering a bit and — more importantly for Maloney’s present job — Democrats drawing even with Republicans in 2020 on the generic congressional ballot.

“So, a lot can happen in 6 months,” Maloney said, pointing to a graph that showed Democrats erasing their 10-point deficit from November.

That much is certainly true. How much Democrats have truly begun climbing out of their hole — and could continue to do so over the next six months — isn’t quite so clear.

The first thing we can say is that the generic ballot, overall, hasn’t shown signs of shifting so markedly across all polls. FiveThirtyEight’s tracker of the generic ballot — asking “If the election were held today, would you prefer a generic Democrat or a generic Republican?” — has held relatively steady for months, with the GOP leading by between two and three points. And in fact, it’s most recent GOP advantage, of 2.7 points, is actually the highest to date.




Everyone knows what is going to happen in November! Landslide or Tsunami take your pick.


View attachment 67388611

Polls are fake again when they don't suit your preferred narratives, eh comrade?
 

Puigb

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Most likely this poll was taken before the Disinformation Governance Board thing came out, which means we'll see Biden's numbers crash again in the next couple of weeks.

Biden probably just got re-elected to a second term with the recent news of the SCOTUS being "leaked". For your parties sake...you better hope it's not true.
 

Roadvirus

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Biden probably just got re-elected to a second term with the recent news of the SCOTUS being "leaked". For your parties sake...you better hope it's not true.
This will hardly do anything for him. Nor will it do much for Congressional Dems in November.
 

Puigb

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This will hardly do anything for him. Nor will it do much for Congressional Dems in November.

Well, then you got nothing to worry about then, eh?;)
 

Metric Mouse

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I'm continually surprised that people are surprised that draft dodgers born in the 1940s make unpopular presidents...
 
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