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A new paper published in the peer reviewed journal Nature Climate Change reviews the statistical methods used to estimate uncertainty in the IPCC's 5th report and finds that they are inappropriate and out of date leading to poor estimates of uncertainty.
In other words, for one thing they over-estimate the accuracy of their predictions, as we are seeing now in terms of the number of hurricanes they said we'd have, the global temperature, precipitation, tornadoes, etc.
But if they use good methods they'll probably find that they can't make alarming predictions.
HT: THE HOCKEY SCHTICK
In other words, for one thing they over-estimate the accuracy of their predictions, as we are seeing now in terms of the number of hurricanes they said we'd have, the global temperature, precipitation, tornadoes, etc.
But if they use good methods they'll probably find that they can't make alarming predictions.
HT: THE HOCKEY SCHTICK