- Jun 3, 2021
- Reaction score
- 🇦🇹 Austria 🇦🇹
- Political Leaning
|SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for 11Alive News in Atlanta looks ahead to the general election this November and finds ...|
In the race for Governor, should incumbent Republican Brian Kemp be the GOP candidate, as SurveyUSA's primary polling suggests is likely, Kemp in an election today defeats Democrat Stacey Abrams by a 5-point margin, 50% to 45%.
Men back Kemp by 12 points; women narrowly favor Abrams by 2, a 14-point gender gap. Abrams leads by 8 among 18 to 34 year-olds, by 5 among 35 to 49 year-olds; Kemp leads by 10 points among those aged 50 to 64, and by 21 points among the oldest and typically most reliable voters. White voters choose Kemp by a 3:1 margin; Black voters choose Abrams by 7:1. Abrams leads by 76 points among the 5% of the electorate which says voter suppression is the most important issue, by 70 points among the 5% who say racial injustice is most important, and by 20 points among the 9% who point to health care; Kemp is up by 87 points among the 8% of voters most focused on immigration, by 34 points among the 31% who say the economy is the most important issue, and by 12 points among the 10% most focused on crime. Voters with the lowest household incomes back Abrams by an 11-point margin; voters with the highest incomes back Kemp by 24. Abrams leads by 26 points in greater Atlanta, offset by Kemp's 23-point margin in Northwest GA and 12 points in the South and East.
Should former US Senator David Perdue instead be the nominee, the race narrows by 2 points, with Perdue edging Abrams by 3 points, 49% to 46%. Perdue runs similarly but with smaller margins than Kemp among most voting groups, faring 2 points worse among men, 3 points worse among women, for example. Kemp holds 92% of Republicans, Perdue 90%; Abrams takes 90% of Democratic votes running against Kemp, 91% running against Perdue. Among the larger differences: Perdue runs 13 points more strongly than Kemp among those voters focused on crime as the most important issue.
In the race for United States Senator from Georgia, Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock today defeats near-certain Republican nominee Herschel Walker by 5 points today, 50% to 45%.
While Warnock holds 95% of the Democratic base, Walker only holds 84% of Republicans, 9% of whom cross over to vote for the incumbent Democrat. Independents break for Warnock, 49% to 43%. Warnock leads by 13 points among women; Walker leads by 3 among men, a 16-point gender gap. Voters 18 to 34 back Warnock by a 20-point margin; 35 to 49 year-olds back Warnock by 12; 50 to 64 year-olds prefer Walker by 3, and those 65+ back Walker by 8. White voters support Walker by a 4:1 margin; Black voters support Warnock by 11:1. Warnock leads by 40 points in urban areas, by 11 in the suburbs; Walker leads by 28 in rural GA.
62% of likely November voters say candidates' plans to address crime will be a major factor in their votes this fall, up and down the ballot; 26% say these plans will be minor factor in their vote; 7% say they won't be a factor at all.
|About the Poll / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,000 Georgia adults online 04/22/22 through 04/27/22, using sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. Of the adults, 1,587 were registered to vote; of the registered voters, 1,278 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election and were asked the questions which follow. The pool of adult survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership.|
Kemp +5 and Warnock +5.
I take it.
Warnock is a good fundraiser and Walker is a wife-beating anti-science fool.