What terrible choices. I have said it before, and I will say it again. Hillary has little chance at the nomination. The early front runner with Republicans usually gets the nomination. The early front runner with Democrats never gets the nomination. I bet, I don't know, but I bet, that Al Gore ends up running. If Al Gore runs, and its the current crop of candidates then he will probably get the nomination. Now wait a minute, I know a lot of guys on the right are thinking "Al Gore...He would be a terrible candidate". People seem to forget though that Al Gore got more votes than Bush did in 2000. Since then, Al Gore has went back to the progressive ideals he had earlier in his political career and is more his own man. Maybe this is good, maybe not, but if he runs, he stands a good chance at the nomination.
On the Republican side, at this point, it looks like McCain. Its hard to say though, the social conservatives and religious right hold a lot of sway in the Republican Party, and they don't like McCain at all. He is trying to court them (much like Hillary), but it leaves to be seen whether that will work. Just the same, he stands the best chance at it. The problem McCain is going to have running in 2008 is his age. The man is going to be 72 years old. Now, I know what a lot of people are thinking, Ronald Reagan was old too, but Ronald Reagan also was very physically fit and started suffering from memory problems in his second term. I don't know if voters are going to still be as open to electing a man in his seventies.
So, I think there is a good possibility that 2008 will be a Gore / McCain match-up. If that is the case, it will be a very close race. If Iraq just goes to total crap, or really, just keeps on its present course, then Gore will probably win because McCain has been a strong supporter of the war. If Iraq turns around between now and then, McCain may stand a good chance of winning.
Just the same, its way to early to try to guess it now. It is worth pointing out though that Richard Nixon narrowly lost to JFK and 8 years later won in a landslide because of an unpopular war, and that was back when the Dems were much stronger politically than the Republicans are today.