‘Biden bump is real’: president gains on Trump in six battleground states | US elections 2024 | The Guardian
Bide leads Trump in Wisconsin and is tied in Pennsylvania and Michigan, new poll showsamp.theguardian.com
Now, who knows why this is happening. All we can do is speculate. And I will do just that right now.
1. State of the Union was a big hit. It took the fight directly to Trump and the Republicans and it exposed them for being childish partisans playing games.
2. Good economic conditions are coming to fruitions. The perception is finally catching up
3. The image of Trump as a successful businessman has come crashing down. He lies about his fortune. Lies about his assets. And he is a fraud. The public is seeing that in real time.
The race was always going to tighten. You left off the most important reason in this poll. Tossing Israel to the curb.
Yes! That seems to be his only path forward. To the extent he would lose some moderates, his base is more important
As I said earlier time will tell. What seems to be key in recent presidential elections is turnout and impact of 3rd parties. That is why I find polls to be not meaningful this early in the race.
Yeah, as I recall the libertarian vote seemed high in 2020.
I don’t think you can automatically just give the libertarian to Republicans. But, a good chunk of them maybe are casting protest votes.
I was a 3rd party voter until Trump. I voted Green every year. Never planned on voting for the Dems. So, there are people that just vote 3rd party
I agree with the first sentence. And I agree he has done what you said in the last sentence. We'll see how that ultimately goes for him.The race was always going to tighten. You left off the most important reason in this poll. Tossing Israel to the curb.
RFK Jr is still a big wild card that I suspect could really hurt Biden.
Maybe. That seems to be the political calculation Biden is making.Yes! That seems to be his only path forward. To the extent he would lose some moderates, his base is more important
He's an anti-establishment, anti-vax nut so his appeal is to the kinds of minds drawn to Trump.
Certainly the Trump team seems to realize this.
3rd party and turnout are obviously and always critical factors.As I said earlier time will tell. What seems to be key in recent presidential elections is turnout and impact of 3rd parties. That is why I find polls to be not meaningful this early in the race.
It has been so long since reality was popular. Good to see it creeping back in.‘Biden bump is real’: president gains on Trump in six battleground states | US elections 2024 | The Guardian
Bide leads Trump in Wisconsin and is tied in Pennsylvania and Michigan, new poll showsamp.theguardian.com
Now, who knows why this is happening. All we can do is speculate. And I will do just that right now.
1. State of the Union was a big hit. It took the fight directly to Trump and the Republicans and it exposed them for being childish partisans playing games.
2. Good economic conditions are coming to fruitions. The perception is finally catching up
3. The image of Trump as a successful businessman has come crashing down. He lies about his fortune. Lies about his assets. And he is a fraud. The public is seeing that in real time.
Hard to see much difference between a Donald rally and the Jerry Springer show.Trump's last rally was a disaster and now they appear to be trying to keep him under wraps.
Will he get out from under it and continue to publicly unravel between now and election day when voters are paying closer attention?
I doubt he'd lose any significant number of moderates to Trump specifically though. And there's a good chance that he would easily make up for that from the stronger base, supporters of a 2 state solution, Palestinian Americans who know that Trump and the right is not going to be good for them.Yes! That seems to be his only path forward. To the extent he would lose some moderates, his base is more important
I think RFK Jr is more likely to hurt Trump than Biden, as many more on the right like RFK Jr than the left. Those on the left that prefer him likely are so progressive they wouldn't have voted for Biden even if RFK Jr wasn't on the ballot (and I think he might not be in some states, if I remember correctly) or are basing their support off of name alone, something that would get diminished to some degree in later campaigning if he makes it onto ballots.RFK Jr is still a big wild card that I suspect could really hurt Biden.
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