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Who will win the 2026 House Midterms?

Who will win the 2026 House Mid-Terms

  • GOP

    Votes: 12 26.7%

  • DEM

    Votes: 19 42.2%

  • Other

    Votes: 3 6.7%

  • Unsure

    Votes: 11 24.4%
  • Total voters
    45
  • This poll will close: .
Josie said:
This assassination will resonate for a long time, IMO.
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Resonance with those who are already entrenched is vacuous and arguably inconsequential.

Its preaching to the same 40% core that has been an unwavering constant for a decade.
 
Again with the Cook Political Report link from comment 127. For the sake of conversation, let's say that all the solid, likely, and leans stay as they are now. I know that's unlikely, but it is reflective of the situation as it stands right now.

From the 18 toss ups, the Dems would need to win 16 of those 18 to take House control. The GOP would only need to win 3 of those 18 to keep House control.
 
Democrats will regain both the House and Senate as long as the cheating that Republicans are already starting with Gerrymandering, doesn't succeed. of course you can't Gerrymander the Senate. As long as we still have a democracy a year from November, Republicans will be toast.
 
gbg3 said:
Thanks for that Cook Political Report link. Looking at the graph near the top of that link, how does that make you feel about the chances of a House win for Dems?
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Based on their's and Sabato's Crystal Ball current projections looks tougher than some others believe. Toss ups are hard to predict this far out. Have recent history on Midterm elections to consider. Will come down to turnout.

Only suggesting your poll is less relevant than Generic Polling and looking at individual races.
 
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iamwhatiseem said:
No one milked anything. But I would not expect a single Democrat to understand this. At all.
Whether anyone likes it or not, on the conservative side - Trump is at the top of the heap. PERIOD.
Not that far under him in influence and favor among conservatives was Charlie Kirk. VERY well liked and respected. VERY.
The best of all the influencers. No one else comes close.
And a leftist nut job who got radicalized into hating Kirk murdered him. But that is not the worst of it. Then as conservatives - AND RIGHT HERE ON THIS FORUM - we saw hoards of people on the left - celebrating - Charlie's death. This is just as bad as the murder itself. The harm done to Democrats because the murderer is a leftist nut is bad. But so many on the left celebrated it??????

And then we saw the left media refuse to acknowledge that the killer is a radical left nut??? Tried to even say he was a Trump supporter???

You are greatly underestimating this. What you see now happening since Charlie was killed... it has just begun.
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Democrats didn't kill Kirk.

This means nothing.
 
Hip octogenarian said:
Democrats will regain both the House and Senate as long as the cheating that Republicans are already starting with Gerrymandering, doesn't succeed. of course you can't Gerrymander the Senate. As long as we still have a democracy a year from November, Republicans will be toast.
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Newsom should have left it as is with Texas. Now more states are involved. With OH, IN, MI, and FL joining TX, the Democrats are worse off than just TX.

www.nytimes.com

If Redistricting Goes as Expected, Which Party Will Come Out Ahead?

Democrats would probably need to win the national popular vote by two or three percentage points to retake the House next year.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com

The Dem controlled states like IL and MD are already gerrymandered so badly that there are no significant gains to be had.
 
JMB1911A1 said:
Newsom should have left it as is with Texas. Now more states are involved. With OH, IN, MI, and FL joining TX, the Democrats are worse off than just TX.

www.nytimes.com

If Redistricting Goes as Expected, Which Party Will Come Out Ahead?

Democrats would probably need to win the national popular vote by two or three percentage points to retake the House next year.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com

The Dem controlled states like IL and MD are already gerrymandered so badly that there are no significant gains to be had.
Click to expand...
Disagree, was important for Dems to show some fight. Even if we lose Gerrymandering war there's a chance based on how unpopular mid decade redistricting is might result in better messaging for Democrats for Midterms.

Posted in convo on California polling on Prop 50, only 1/3 of Texans approve and Missouri voters are against.

 
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