Which party will do well in November?
Who will win the presidential election?
Which party will control the House?
Which party will control the Senate?
I predict that Trump will win rather easily; that Repubs will re-take the House.
The Senate might go either way.
So much can happen between now and November. All it takes is one major unforeseen event to set an election on its ear. So I will stick with the caveat of having the election held today. Then a gut feeling for November which no one know outside of a SWAG.
If the election were held today, Biden would win easily. He's ahead in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan and more important Florida. Biden also leads in Arizona. The House, the GOP picks up 5 seats. The senate goes into a 50-50 tie at best for the GOP.
I expect November to be a closer race than it is today. The campaign hasn't started and once it does, things tighten up quite a bit. Then momentum fluctuates as seen in 2016. Who has the momentum during the last two weeks of the campaign, usually wins. So watch for that.
The House seems secure for the Democrats, The Democrats at the moment have 27 seats that are competitive, that could swing the other other way vs. the Republicans 19 seats. There won't be any massive 40 seat change of party this year. Perhaps a net gain of 5 seats either way. The senate, the GOP has more seats to defend and the Democrats have come up with some very good candidates. Kelly in Arizona, Bullock in Montana, Hickenlooper in Colorado, Gideon in Maine, Cunningham in North Carolina, McGrath in Kentucky. Arizona, Colorado and Maine look like sure pickups for the Democrats, the GOP picks up Alabama. The rest are 50-50 shots, pure tossups. At least at this point. So the Democrats will end up with somewhere between 49-52 seats.
The SWAG, Biden become president, The Democrats will retain control of the House with 230-240 seats, the Democrats will take control of the senate either in a 50-50 tie with Biden's VP casting the deciding vote or outright 51-49.