- Joined
- Aug 10, 2013
- Messages
- 24,957
- Reaction score
- 31,396
- Location
- Cambridge, MA
- Gender
- Male
- Political Leaning
- Slightly Liberal
A conservative commentator makes an important point: as with so many things many are now rebelling against, the prevalence of chronic conditions to a large extent is a symptom of us being victims of our own success. Where once we died from ailments, we now live with them, often for many years.
Hard not to view the sudden DOGE/MAGA/Trump war on biomedical research and the health care system in general through this lens.
What RFK Jr. Gets Wrong About Chronic Disease
Hard not to view the sudden DOGE/MAGA/Trump war on biomedical research and the health care system in general through this lens.
What RFK Jr. Gets Wrong About Chronic Disease
RFK also claimed, “We spent zero on chronic disease during the Kennedy administration. Today we spend $4.3 trillion a year.” The first statistic is clearly false (cancer and heart disease existed in the early 1960s); and much of the second can be explained by increased longevity.
Chronic disease is often a price of medical success and of aging. Improved treatment has turned the most serious medical conditions, such as heart disease, into things that people live with for years instead of dying quickly—and cheaply. Consider: age-adjusted deaths from heart disease fell by 67 percent from 1970 to 2018, while those from strokes declined by 75 percent. Deaths from prostate, colorectal, lung, and stomach cancers have all been halved since 1990.
The more medicine advances, the more work it has to do. Tissues, glands, and bones degenerate over time, and the effectiveness of medical care diminishes with age. The longer medical progress helps people live into old age, the more drawn out the period of bodily decline will be, with intractable and hard-to-cure conditions figuring more prominently.
This burden of chronic disease falls largely on the elderly. Relative to adults aged 35 to 50, those over 80 are nine times more likely to have cancer, ten times more likely to have diabetes, 18 times more likely to have COPD, and 47 times more likely to have a stroke. Whereas Alzheimer’s disease afflicts only 2 percent of those aged 65 to 74, it touches 43 percent of those 85 and older.
Environmental toxins and unhealthy lifestyles can certainly precipitate bodily decay, but they are they are not the main reason for the rising cost of chronic illness. Increased spending on the treatment of chronic medical conditions is the product of a wealthier society with greater longevity. It’s an unpleasant problem, but it beats the alternative.
Elsewhere, though, his instincts lead him astray. Kennedy told Congress, “I was raised in a time when we did not have a chronic disease epidemic,” and suggested that, since his uncle’s presidency, the proportion of children with chronic illnesses had surged from 2 percent to 66 percent.
These seemingly alarming statistics owe much to greatly broadened definitions and increases in the diagnosis of food allergies and behavioral health conditions that no one was tracking when JFK was in the White House. In reality, child health has improved dramatically, and the rate of mortality per 100,000 children has declined from 68.6 in 1962 to 24.9 in 2018.