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What Could We Expect If A Supereruption Were To Occur Today?

Monk-Eye

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"What Could We Expect If A Supereruption Were To Occur Today?"

NOVA - The Next Big One by Peter Tyson

A supereruption would not only take out the summit but the entire mountain and much else besides. The caldera that underlies Yellowstone National Park—"caldera" essentially means humongous crater—is over 50 miles long and nearly 30 miles wide. You could fit four Manhattans placed end to end inside. The amount of magma, or molten rock, thrown out by its most recent supereruption 640,000 years ago was a staggering 240 cubic miles, with an ash volume two to three times that.

“Probably something like a third of the United States would be more or less uninhabitable maybe for a few months, even a year or two.”

The intensity of such convulsions matches the magnitude. In A.D. 79, Vesuvius belched out an astounding 100,000 cubic yards of magma per second over a 24-hour period. Yet this is chicken feed compared to supereruptions, which can emit volcanic debris at up to 100 million cubic yards per second. You might have thought such violence was reserved for astronomical events like supernovas and gamma-ray bursts, but no—our own Earth can generate it.

All that erupted material wouldn't just fall nearby or waft harmlessly away like Semeru's ash clouds, either. If something the size of that 640,000-year-old Yellowstone eruption occurred under New York City, it would not only obliterate all five boroughs but bury what was left as well as large portions of Long Island, New Jersey, and Connecticut under half a mile of pyroclastic flow deposits (see diagram at right). Pyroclastic flows comprise all the heavy stuff that collapses out of an ash cloud, and in supereruptions they can travel up to 60 miles away at speeds of 100 yards per second—again, unimaginable fury. (A report published on the Web site of the Geological Society of London, which is the best single source for the layman on supereruptions that I've seen, puts the danger succinctly: "No living beings caught by a pyroclastic flow survive.")

Would anyone care to consider the consequences to agriculture given the water use of the Colorado River?!

Supervolcano (link)
 
Al Gore Throws Himself Into Toba Caldera - Ends Global Warming

"Al Gore Throws Himself Into Toba Caldera - Ends Global Warming"
Toba Catastrophe Theory
History
Within the last three to five million years, after human and other ape lineages diverged from the hominid stem-line, the human line produced a variety of species.

According to the Toba catastrophe theory, a massive volcanic eruption severely reduced the human population. This may have occurred around 70–75,000 years ago when the Toba caldera in Indonesia underwent an eruption of category 8 (or "mega-colossal") on the Volcanic Explosivity Index. This released energy equivalent to about one gigaton of TNT, which is three thousand times greater than the 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens. According to Ambrose, this reduced the average global temperature by 5 degrees Celsius for several years and may have triggered an ice age.

Ambrose postulates that this massive environmental change created population bottlenecks in the various species that existed at the time; this in turn accelerated differentiation of the isolated human populations, eventually leading to the extinction of all the other human species except for the two branches that became Neanderthals and modern humans.

Toba is probably the largest resurgent caldera on Earth.

Explosive Calderas
If the magma is rich in silica, the caldera is often filled in with ignimbrite, tuff, rhyolite, and other igneous rocks. Silica-rich magma is very viscous. As a result, gases tend to become trapped at high pressure within the magma. When the magma gets near the surface of the Earth, the gas expands quickly, causing explosions and spreading volcanic ash over wide areas. Further lava flows may be erupted, and the center of the caldera is often uplifted in the form of a resurgent dome by subsequent intrusion of magma. A silicic or rhyolitic caldera may erupt hundreds or even thousands of cubic kilometers of material in a single event. Even small caldera-forming eruptions, such as Krakatoa in 1883 or Mount Pinatubo in 1991, may result in significant local destruction and a noticeable drop in temperature around the world. Large calderas may have even greater effects.

When Yellowstone Caldera (last) erupted 640,000 years ago it released 1,000 cubic kilometers of material, covering all of North America in up to two meters of debris. By comparison, when Mount St. Helens erupted in 1980, it released 1.2 cubic kilometers of ejecta. The ecological effects of the eruption of a large caldera can be seen in the record of the Lake Toba eruption in Indonesia. About 75,000 years ago, this volcano released 2,800 cubic kilometers of ejecta, the largest known eruption within the Quaternary Period (last 1.8 million years). In the late 1990s, archeologist Stanley Ambrose [1] proposed that a volcanic winter induced by this eruption reduced the human population to a few thousand individuals, resulting in a population bottleneck (see Toba catastrophe theory). Even larger caldera-forming eruptions are known, especially La Garita Caldera in the San Juan Mountains of Colorado, where the 5,000 cubic kilometer Fish Canyon Tuff was blasted out in a truly major single eruption 27.8 million years ago.
 
People on the surface will still survive. I don't think it is worse than the infamous doomsday device which is equivalent to 500,000 megatons. That was suppose to kill everything on the surface and if you were underground you might have to stay there between 5 to 10 years, come out and survive provided that you have not been eaten by your fellow survivors.. LOL.
 
Blow Out

"Blow Out"
People on the surface will still survive. I don't think it is worse than the infamous doomsday device which is equivalent to 500,000 megatons. That was suppose to kill everything on the surface and if you were underground you might have to stay there between 5 to 10 years, come out and survive provided that you have not been eaten by your fellow survivors.. LOL.
500,000 megatons is a science fiction number for a movie based on the Project Icarus.

Is there a megaton number considered to be a doomsday value?

Toba Eruption (link) released on gigaton of energy in its last eruption. A gigaton is equal to 1,000 megatons. In addition it has been calculated that 1010 metric tons of sulphuric acid was ejected into the atmosphere by the event, causing acid rain fallout.

Torino Scale (link) The Little Boy weapon dropped on Hiroshima had a yield of approximately 13 kilotons of TNT. Thus, a megaton of TNT is equivalent to roughly 77 Hiroshima bombs.

It would not be pretty under any circumstances.
 
Re: Blow Out

"Blow Out"


Is there a megaton number considered to be a doomsday value?

A black hole might be the doomsday device. If the theory is correct, it will rip apart this planet. The doomsday device would only kill most of the inhabitants but in theroy a black hole will destroy all.
 
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