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War in Ukraine: Moscow empire the Loser, the US a Winner

Litwin

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something what our " isolationists" /putin´s useful idiots are never mentioning 😖

Russia. The loser.
Its armies smashed and scattered across the Ukrainian steppe; its elite soldiers dead or dismembered; its traditional energy export markets shuttered, and its economy teetering, flimsy and Potemkin-like on the brink of ruin.


It has been said too rarely that the Western oil price cap on Russian crude is having a real effect, with Urals oil trading at close to a one-third discount to Brent. Few people write about this, but many Global South nations (India, China, and others) are now benefitting hugely by securing cut-price oil, energy, and commodity supplies from Russia. The war is now producing an economic win or benefit for many low-income countries.



Forced to sell its commodities at below market prices at a cost of untold billions of dollars, the war has also sparked a very significant capital flight from Russia (who, after all, would leave their assets anywhere near a kleptocratic Kremlin?)


While higher oil and energy prices bolstered Russia’s trade and fiscal surpluses last year, helping create a current account surplus of $227bn in 2022, there was also a foreign exchange drawdown of close to $50bn, and more than $100bn is estimated to have left the country, excluding deleveraging.

  • U.S.-Europe trade in goods reached an all-time high of $1.2 trillion (€1.12 trillion.)
  • U.S. company affiliates in Europe earned an estimated $325 billion (€303 billion), while European affiliates in the US earned $150 billion (€140 billion), the second highest level ever.
  • U.S. exports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to Europe hit their highest levels ever. U.S. exporters shipped roughly 2.5 times more LNG supplies to Europe in 2022 than in 2021.
 
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