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Wagner's rebellion could be the end game of this war.

Prigozhin's rebellion could be the end game of this war.


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Litwin

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SS Utkin & PRIGOZHIN are “COMMITTING MUTINY” WROTE ️Girkin ...

BACKGOUND :



❗️Prigozhin stated that PMC (gru) Wagner would not be subordinate to the 🇷🇺 Ministry of Defense, saying,


“Those orders and decrees that Shoigu makes, they apply to employees of the 🇷🇺 Ministry of Defense and military personnel.

PMC Wagner will not sign any contracts with Shoigu. PMC Wagner is organically built into the overall system, PMC Wagner coordinates its actions with the generals on the right, left, with unit commanders. What can happen after this order - we will not be given weapons and ammunition - we will figure it out, as they say, when the thunder strikes, they will come running and bring everything.”

- Prigozhin of PMC Wagner

❗️Girkin (Strelkov), a key 🇷🇺 figure in the 2014 invasion, called Prigozhin's refusal to submit to Shoigu as ‘military mutiny.’

❗️Prigozhin’s chicken video is likely, based on his early statements, referring to the 🇷🇺 military leadership as being cowards and ‘roosters’ (it is 🇷🇺 prison slang for submissive homosexual).

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GRU Wagner Boss Prigozhin says that Moscow’s objectives of "denazifying" and "demilitarising" Ukraine have failed , we’ve militarised Ukraine!"​



 
GRU (SS) Utkin vs. Shaigu ( Kadyrov gang behind ) who´d win ?



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Hmmmm...I remember what happened to the SA.
 
Wagner are probably Putins most effective ground forces. If they're not on board I don't expect Russia to make any serious gains or even effectively hold territory.

Defective equipment and apathetic conscripts won't hold up well against motivated Ukranians with sophisticated western materiel.
 
Is it a fair assessment that the Russian war effort has been hamstrung by equipment failures and inventories not being there because of graft and corruption?
 
Is it a fair assessment that the Russian war effort has been hamstrung by equipment failures and inventories not being there because of graft and corruption?
That's a fair point. I suspect that, were it not for the many billions of ₽ siphoned from the Russian government by oligarchs, they would have had much more and better equipment, and in much better condition, to fight a conventional war against Ukraine.
 
I am given to wonder if the Putin regime isn’t setting Prighozin up as the scapegoat for why the war was such a colossal failure. They put him in an intolerable position that they know he will refuse, then they pin everything on him. So even if the war is lost, the narrative the Putin regime will try to spin is that it was not due to Putin’s mismanagement and foolish decision to launch the war, but rather due to Prighozin’s betrayal.
 
I am given to wonder if the Putin regime isn’t setting Prighozin up as the scapegoat for why the war was such a colossal failure. They put him in an intolerable position that they know he will refuse, then they pin everything on him. So even if the war is lost, the narrative the Putin regime will try to spin is that it was not due to Putin’s mismanagement and foolish decision to launch the war, but rather due to Prighozin’s betrayal.
Wasn’t the Wagner Group’s performance in the last campaign that was somewhat successful….Bakhmut (sp?)
 
Wasn’t the Wagner Group’s performance in the last campaign that was somewhat successful….Bakhmut (sp?)

Perhaps. But if I were to make some grand assumptions, destroying a major dam and ruining land you intend to add to your empire is not the act of a government that feels 100% confident in the prospect of ultimate victory.
 
Perhaps. But destroying a dam and ruining land you intend to add to your empire is not the act of a government that feels confident in the prospect of ultimate victory.
I agree, just the infighting doesn’t make any sense. The Russian don’t need to open another front at this point. Are we not hearing about the Russian people protesting the government any longer or have they been squelched?
 
Perhaps. But if I were to make some grand assumptions, destroying a major dam and ruining land you intend to add to your empire is not the act of a government that feels 100% confident in the prospect of ultimate victory.
Kind of like Saddam setting Kuwait's oil wells alight on the way out.
 
Kind of like Saddam setting Kuwait's oil wells alight on the way out.
You think Putin has thrown in the towel?
 
I am given to wonder if the Putin regime isn’t setting Prighozin up as the scapegoat for why the war was such a colossal failure. They put him in an intolerable position that they know he will refuse, then they pin everything on him. So even if the war is lost, the narrative the Putin regime will try to spin is that it was not due to Putin’s mismanagement and foolish decision to launch the war, but rather due to Prighozin’s betrayal.

The fear I have is that the open dissent is going to force Putin to consider radical options. He's moving his tac-nukes to Belarus. I think we and NATO need to make it clear what happens if even so much as a tac-nuke lands on Ukraine soil.
 
The fear I have is that the open dissent is going to force Putin to consider radical options. He's moving his tac-nukes to Belarus. I think we and NATO need to make it clear what happens if even so much as a tac-nuke lands on Ukraine soil.
That's been communicated to Putin. A single nuke goes off and NATO forces move in.
 
That's been communicated to Putin. A single nuke goes off and NATO forces move in.
If Putin is in DILLIGAF mode, where does that put the world?
 
If Putin is in DILLIGAF mode, where does that put the world?

I do not think he is in DILLIGAF mode. I think Putin wants to preserve his existence (read: his hold on power) for as long as possible. In order to do that, and if the war results in defeat, the regime needs a scapegoat. And he has two to choose from: his toady ministry of defense Shoigu or his mercenary army commander Prighozin. Shoigu is a total incompetent but is unfailingly and slavishly loyal to Putin. Prighozin is somewhat less incompetent but mouths off a bit much and is seen as too ambitious. Who to choose? I think the answer is obvious.
 
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Just an aside for you Litwin, many of us here are sympathetic and in agreement with you.

Your threads are tedious and borderline insane. They are laced with obviously propagandized selectively curated supporting videos and images.

My thoughts when I look at any of your threads is that you are doing more harm than good. Take that as you may, it's just my outside constructive opinion.
 
Just an aside for you Litwin, many of us here are sympathetic and in agreement with you.

Your threads are tedious and borderline insane. They are laced with obviously propagandized selectively curated supporting videos and images.

My thoughts when I look at any of your threads is that you are doing more harm than good. Take that as you may, it's just my outside constructive opinion.

Litwin was our resident stopped clock, Marduc. He had been railing and barking at the moon over Russian imperialism and perfidiousness for years since I joined. And then in February 2022 he was vindicated.
 
Just an aside for you Litwin, many of us here are sympathetic and in agreement with you.

Your threads are tedious and borderline insane. They are laced with obviously propagandized selectively curated supporting videos and images.

My thoughts when I look at any of your threads is that you are doing more harm than good. Take that as you may, it's just my outside constructive opinion.
He's right Litwin. This OP has interesting discussion potential but the presentation discourages participants.
 
Litwin was our resident stopped clock, Marduc. He had been railing and barking at the moon over Russian imperialism and perfidiousness for years since I joined. And then in February 2022 he was vindicated.
I know. I have not posted much over the course of several years, but I have been in observer mode for quite some time.
 
Wagner are probably Putins most effective ground forces. If they're not on board I don't expect Russia to make any serious gains or even effectively hold territory.

Defective equipment and apathetic conscripts won't hold up well against motivated Ukranians with sophisticated western materiel.
a GOOD POINT, what is SS Utkin wants ? what is GRU Wagner´s plan ?



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