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Syria unrest: Thousands march in Deraa

today:


http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/02/world/middleeast/02yemen.html?_r=1&hp

national security, anyone?

the gulf?

protecting civilian lives?

islamic "militants" in yemen, who could they be?

party on, peaceniks
 
Yemen is a mess and it offers elevated risk of evolving into a failed state. More and more, it appears that the so-called "democratic uprising" there was merely a slow reignition of another civil war driven, in part, by perceptions of eroding central power. At this point in time, it is unclear whether any of the parties currently vying for power would be inclined to create a more democratic and inclusive government. Al Qaeda also adds an extra dimension to the potentially re-emerging civil war.

Unlike Libya, Yemen does pose some real risks e.g., if its turmoil cannot be contained within its borders, risks to shipping in one of the region's vital waterways would increase and risk of unrest could spread into Saudi Arabia. In short, it is a situation that will need to be managed carefully, as the fallout could be much greater than that in Libya. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) has been very concerned and has tried to ease a leader who is widely viewed as illegitimate out of power in the hope that such a move would allow stability to return. There is no assurance of such an outcome even if the current government falls (probably more likely than not).

Whether or not the GCC would then consider deploying troops to Yemen under such circumstances not dissimilar from what happened in Bahrain remains to be seen, but the risks involved in Yemen would very likely be much greater than those in tiny Bahrain. Given those notably higher risks, my guess is that there would be no such military deployment. Instead, the GCC could try to bolster the security along the borders of Yemen.
 
today:


Saleh well after palace shelled: Yemen official | Reuters
 
today:


Dozens Dead as Syrian Forces Open Fire on Anti-Government Protesters

both yemen on the gulf, with its powerful aqap presence, and syria across the jordan, with its strong ties to hamas, hezbollah and iran, appear to have passed the tipping point and now look inevitably to be lurching towards civil war

what's going on in libya?

actually, a great deal is going down today concerning OBAMA'S WAR against gadhaffi---in the united states house of representatives

stay tuned
 
the next day:


http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/05/world/middleeast/05syria.html?ref=todayspaper

more from the gray lady: no warnings, no tear gas, just snipers suddenly opening up on crowds, including boys

smaller numbers killed in al rastan, damascus, has in idlib, deir al zour and daraa where it all started

including at least four more children

the govt has shut down the internet, still 100000 turned out for funerals of martyred teenagers, their coffins carried down city streets

cellphone images are playing a big role

cnn's anderson cooper, for example, son of the poor little rich girl gloria vanderbildt, has LED his hour repeatedly with gruesome videos of protesters shot down, including kids and ambulance drivers and lifelessly spattered syrians in pools of blood

pray
 
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today:


Attack kills 120 Syrian forces; crackdown feared - Yahoo! News

the street is fighting back

it's gonna get uglier
 
today:


Syrian army 'launches raid on flashpoint town' - Yahoo! News

march 27: Clinton calls Syrian tyrant a reformer
 
today:


obama cited the plight of refugees as one of his prime directives to justify his involvement "from behind" in libya

Abdullah, who like many refugees would give only his first name, said troops had now reached Ziayni, a town just six kilometres from the Turkish border.

"They torched all the crops, they slaughtered the goats, the cows," he said.

Syrian army pursues scorched earth campaign - SYRIA - FRANCE 24

who's a reformer, again, mrs clinton?
 
today: Syrian forces open fire on protesters; 16 killed - Yahoo! News


according to one of the ten thousand refugees in turkey, "a sugar factory in jjisr al shughour was turned into a jail where they hold quick trials and execute anyone who they believe participated in protests"

acid has been used as a form of torture

protests are erupting in central cities homs and hama, in southern villages dael and otman, in latakia and banias on the coast, in the damascus suburbs and downtown, in amouda and qamishli in the northeast


why is libya on the president's radar screen while syria is NOT?

Also Friday, the Syrian unrest appeared to be spilling into neighboring Lebanon.

surprised?
 
why is libya on the president's radar screen while syria is NOT?
Empire building comes first.

democracy can wait as far as Syria, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain are concerned.

no wonder no one in the Middle East respects us.
 
From today's edition of The Jerusalem Post:


Barak predicts Assad 'has crossed point of... JPost - Middle East

I disagree.

Just as one should not have confused Bashar Assad as a reformer, one should not discount his staying power. He will offer, at best, timid reforms that assure his party's retention of power. In doing so, he will attempt to diffuse some pressure and try to divide those arrayed against him. However, he will be careful not to touch off a process under which he would lose control of events. Hence, he will also continue to use Syria's security forces to suppress dissent. Given Syria's strategic importance to Iran, the Assad regime can continue to count on Iranian support. Together, those two states will do what is necessary for Assad to retain power.

The determined pursuit of survival over the popular will is a thread that both the Iranian and Syrian regimes share. Despite international criticism, Assad has little reason to lose confidence in his capacity to survive. He merely needs to look beyond the current turmoil to his Pesian ally where the "Green Movement" has largely been emasculated. That's the playbook that will continue to guide his decision making. As Assad expects to survive, he will maintain a course of brutality to try to do so, rather than embrace the kind of political reforms that would usher an end to his rule.
 
today:


Syrian security forces open fire on demonstrators - SYRIA - FRANCE 24

in damascus, in kiswah in the south, homs in the center, deir ezzor in the east...

assad the reformer, mrs clinton?
 
today:


Syrians mount biggest protests so far, 12 killed | Reuters

secretary of state clinton on march 27 told cbs' bob schieffer that bashar al assad is "a reformer"

from libya to iran, china to mexico, israel to russia, mrs clinton's legacy is universal failure

what IS american foreign policy, beyond libya and afghanistan?

"reaching out" and "changing america's image abroad" have become passe

meeting with the leaders of iran, with or without preconditions, appears preposterous

returning to 67's borders is unreal

where are climate accords

as the face of barack obama's comprehensive foreign policy, ms hillary has really hurt her brand

she needed to get out a long time ago
 
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