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Russia economy meltdown as Putin given dire 'two-year' warning

Surrealistik

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Russia's declining economy has been dealth another blow as Vladimir Putin is warned he cannot fund his war for much longer. Moscow continues to pour a staggering amount of money into funding the conflict with Ukraine amid soaring inflation and costs. Defence strategist Nicholas Drummond said the Russian president can continue on this path for no more than two years before the war becomes financially unviable.

He told the Express: "While the Russian economy has benefitted in the short-term by being put on a war footing, there is staggering inflation and a shortage of goods. There is a consensus among economists that Russia cannot sustain the war longer than another 24 months."

Surprised no one posted this earlier; this aligns with my own estimate that Russia has only a couple of years of gas left in the tank, and Ukraine's route to success is through Russia's economic depravation and destruction. Meanwhile, at its current rate of advance, Russia would take at least 14 years to conquer Eastern Ukraine alone.

In otherwords, keep calm and rope a dope on.

And to preempt the usual Russian apologists who will undoubtedly point to moronic talking heads that inaccurately spoke of imminent Russian collapse in response to Western sanctions:

#1: Talking heads are polemists and commentators, not economists; they do not have the information, nor the expertise or background to make an intelligent analysis of the Russian economy, nevermind accurately draw such conclusions.

#2: We are more than three years into this war where economists both have the time and data to make informed conclusions about the trajectory of the Russian economy, which is extremely unhealthy even by the admission of its own economists and central bank.
 
I believe Chinese diplomats only slightly more than I believe Republicans.
I believe them, between Russia acting as a focal point/lightning rod for Western concern that distracts from China, and the substantial covert and overt support they've provided for Russia, in terms of being a middle man for sanctioned/controlled goods, providing a ready market for its resources and supplying it with key materiel, supplies and soldiery, including vehicles, weapons and weapon components. China has been a critical lifeline for Putin; without it, this war would either be over or winding up.
 
I post about the Russian economy often in the Ukraine War thread.

Russia is also now experiencing shortages in gas and oil domestically as Ukraine targets Russian gas and oil refineries, storage tank farms, pipelines, and rail lines that serve the energy industries.

The Kremlin has spared Moscow and St. Petersburg, but in the republics there are long lines at gas stations and many gas stations have closed.

Russia is also experiencing a spike in crime with conscripted convicts returning home.

Recently the EU lowered the cap price for Russian oil to ~$47 a barrel. The EU will also be ending the Druzhba oil pipeline loophole for Hungary and Slovakia.
 




Surprised no one posted this earlier; this aligns with my own estimate that Russia has only a couple of years of gas left in the tank, and Ukraine's route to success is through Russia's economic depravation and destruction. Meanwhile, at its current rate of advance, Russia would take at least 14 years to conquer Eastern Ukraine alone.

In otherwords, keep calm and rope a dope on.

And to preempt the usual Russian apologists who will undoubtedly point to moronic talking heads that inaccurately spoke of imminent Russian collapse in response to Western sanctions:

#1: Talking heads are polemists and commentators, not economists; they do not have the information, nor the expertise or background to make an intelligent analysis of the Russian economy, nevermind accurately draw such conclusions.

#2: We are more than three years into this war where economists both have the time and data to make informed conclusions about the trajectory of the Russian economy, which is extremely unhealthy even by the admission of its own economists and central bank.



Lol How long have we been hearing this?
 
Lol, far less time that we've been hearing in that Russia could take Ukraine in a few weeks.



Especially from a basket case like the British economy
 
It’ll be an ongoing project since Ukraine is increasingly attacking their infrastructure deeper and deeper in Russia.
Their oil and gas facilities as well. Ukraine is building drones at an astounding rate and for reasonable costs (about 4 million drones annually). They are outsmarting Russia. If they continue to build drones at this and increasing rates and target Russia's infrastructure and oil and gas facilities, Russia will go broke.

My fear is that Putin will do something irrational before an economic collapse. Nuclear deployment. If that happens it will be a real cluster ****.
 
Their oil and gas facilities as well. Ukraine is building drones at an astounding rate and for reasonable costs (about 4 million drones annually). They are outsmarting Russia. If they continue to build drones at this and increasing rates and target Russia's infrastructure and oil and gas facilities, Russia will go broke.


4 million drones annually! It doesnt take an Einstein to calculate that that boils down to Ukraine producing 10 thousand drones per day!

Is Ukraine hammering Russians with 10 thousand drones daily?



My fear is that Putin will do something irrational before an economic collapse. Nuclear deployment. If that happens it will be a real cluster ****.



What is astounding is that Ukraine can claim it produces 4 million drones annually in the absolute confidence that its gullible audience in the west will not do a simple calculation to see if total daily drone use by both sides even comes to a fraction of that
 
Since late 2024 at earliest from the people who actually matter: economists, including Russia's own.

Try reading the pre-empt next time.



This nonsense has been going on since February 2022. Even you should challenge these economic charlatans of the west to either put up, or shut up
 
and you will be hearing the same for more years



Exactly! The same economic charlatans had Russia running out of missiles in 2022. Seems like the Russians didn't get the memo. I hate when Russians do that. It makes the west look like idiots.
 




Surprised no one posted this earlier; this aligns with my own estimate that Russia has only a couple of years of gas left in the tank, and Ukraine's route to success is through Russia's economic depravation and destruction. Meanwhile, at its current rate of advance, Russia would take at least 14 years to conquer Eastern Ukraine alone.

In otherwords, keep calm and rope a dope on.

And to preempt the usual Russian apologists who will undoubtedly point to moronic talking heads that inaccurately spoke of imminent Russian collapse in response to Western sanctions:

#1: Talking heads are polemists and commentators, not economists; they do not have the information, nor the expertise or background to make an intelligent analysis of the Russian economy, nevermind accurately draw such conclusions.

#2: We are more than three years into this war where economists both have the time and data to make informed conclusions about the trajectory of the Russian economy, which is extremely unhealthy even by the admission of its own economists and central bank.
With due respect the moment the war was started articles began about Putin dying, plots yo kill him. civilian uprisings soon to remove him as well as economic class. The article you quite simply continues recycled stories.

Its kind of like reading stories of how Trump will fall. The one thing nature has taught is that parasites and negative energy can linger far longer that what is predicated by so called specialists. Russia's cancer can feed off its oil being exported to China, India for years to come. No one knows if and when Putin will die or be toppled. When it happens everyone will be surprised.

I have myself been waiting for fat Donny or fatboy Kim to choke on their fried chicken. Both seem to grw more chins but don't seem to do anything but get fatter and more repulsive. As for Putin he is like famous Russian face warts. They grow and take over the face but their hosts seem to keep living.


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With due respect the moment the war was started articles began about Putin dying, plots yo kill him. civilian uprisings soon to remove him as well as economic class. The article you quite simply continues recycled stories...

First of all, once again, no economist worth mentioning had ever made a 2 year forecast of Russia's economic ruin at the outset of the war, nevermind a consensus; if you would like to argue otherwise, I challenge you to find me an article supporting your claim.

Second, Russia's economy now shows clear and obvious signs of explicit and serious economic stress, to the point that its own central bank and senior economists have been warning about it, and there has been explicit tension/dissent between them and Putin on this matter.

The article does not contain recycled matter because that would be utterly impossible vis a vis prior years, and certainly not relative to the beginning of this conflict. Russia's economy was relatively healthy at the outset of the war; it is most certainly not that as of late 2025, with excess inflation, badly depleted currency reserves, chronic energy, ammunition and fuel shortages and stagnant growth plaguing it on a systemic level, many of these having been caused by Ukraine's highly successful strategic assault on Russia's infrastructure itself, above and beyond sanctions.


This nonsense has been going on since February 2022. Even you should challenge these economic charlatans of the west to either put up, or shut up
No, it hasn't. Talking heads have perhaps opined as much, but no one with actual authority has. Speaking of put up or shut up, if economists were indeed roundly forecasting Russia's economic collapse within 2 years as of February 2022 or sometime adjacent as you are implying, surely it should be trivial for you to produce an article demonstrating such.
 
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This nonsense has been going on since February 2022. Even you should challenge these economic charlatans of the west to either put up, or shut up

Give us your citations whereas economists stated Russia was going broke in February 2022. Otherwise, I call BS.
 
With due respect the moment the war was started articles began about Putin dying, plots yo kill him. civilian uprisings soon to remove him as well as economic class.

Perhaps you should stop obtaining your news from social media feeds. They're filled to the gills with fake Russian accounts and conspiricist nonsense.
 
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